METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 181: Hendricks vs Lawler II
Las Vegas, USA
6 Dec 2014
Featherweight
VS
57%
White
43%
Collard
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Clay CollardwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Alex White · UFC 181: Hendricks vs Lawler II
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
White
→
Actual result
Collard wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — White at 57% vs Collard at 43% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
White has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 16 points.
White has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
White's chin rating of 58 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
WhiteCollard
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
White
Collard
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"+
Height
5'11"
71"
Reach
+73"
37
Age
+33
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
White
Collard
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
13.2
10.1
40.8
Performance Avg
25.0
41
Quality of Victory
25
15
Momentum Score
33
White
Collard
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.6
1.0
48%
Strike Accuracy
28%
5.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.5
2 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
9
Head
4
6
Body
2
2
Leg
3
RangeRange
9Distance6
7Clinch3
1Ground0
White
Collard
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.2
/ 10
2.4
/ 10
0.8
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.7
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
White
Collard
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
58
74
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R3.0 stoppage
8 fights ago
Last KO loss
3 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
10/19 fights
Chin rating based on
4/21 fights
White
Collard
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
15
33
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R3
White
Collard
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
0%
2
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
White
Collard
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.5
1.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
0.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.8
4.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.5
WhiteCollard
Strike Zones
White
Attacking
17 landedAbsorbing
9 absorbedCollard
Attacking
9 landedAbsorbing
17 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯White targets the head (53% of attacks) — Collard absorbs 53% of strikes there
🎯Collard targets the head (44% of attacks) — White absorbs 44% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
White
RND
Collard
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
White · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.8WinLossTrend
Collard · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.2WinLossTrend
White · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Rafael FizievRating 6.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Maia vs. Askren · 2019-10
W · Dec · R3
Dan MoretRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Dos Santos · 2019-03
L · Sub · R1
Jim MillerRating 1.9Submission
UFC 228: Woodley vs. Till · 2018-09
L · Dec · R3
James KrauseRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Stephens vs. Choi · 2018-01
W · KO · R2
Mitch ClarkeRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC 215: Nunes vs Shevchenko 2 · 2017-09
Collard · Last 4
L · Dec · R3
Tiago dos Santos e SilvaRating 5.5Decision
UFC 191: Johnson vs Dodson 2 · 2015-09
L · Dec · R3
Gabriel BenitezRating 5.7Decision
UFC 188: Velasquez vs Werdum · 2015-06
W · Dec · R3
Alex WhiteRating 4.5Decision
UFC 181: Hendricks vs Lawler II · 2014-12
L · KO · R3
Max HollowayRating 5.1KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Henderson vs Dos Anjos · 2014-08