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All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC 181: Hendricks vs Lawler II
Las Vegas, USA
6 Dec 2014
Featherweight
VS
57%
White
43%
Collard
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
AW
Alex White
"The Spartan"
136
6'0"71" reachSouthpaw37 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 13
CC
Clay Collard
"Cassius"
147
Well-Rounded2-fight slide33 yrsOrthodox73" reach5'11"
CFR 10
★ Official Result
Clay CollardwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Alex White · UFC 181: Hendricks vs Lawler II

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
White
Actual result
Collard wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis

This is a genuine toss-up — White at 57% vs Collard at 43% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

White has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 16 points.

Risk flags

White's chin rating of 58 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
WhiteCollard
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
Strike Accuracy
White
Collard
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"+
Height
5'11"
71"
Reach
+73"
37
Age
+33
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
White
Collard
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
13.2
10.1
40.8
Performance Avg
25.0
41
Quality of Victory
25
15
Momentum Score
33
White
Collard
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
5.8
/ 10
0.5
/ 10
4.7
Style: Pressure
0.8
4.8
Style: Volume
8.5
2 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
9
Head
4
6
Body
2
2
Leg
3
RangeRange
9Distance6
7Clinch3
1Ground0
White
Collard
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.2
/ 10
2.4
/ 10
0.8
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.7
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
White
Collard
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
58
74
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R3.0 stoppage
8 fights ago
Last KO loss
3 fights ago
Strikes absorbed / min
10/19 fights
Chin rating based on
4/21 fights
White
Collard
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
15
33
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R3
White
Collard
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
0%
2
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
1

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

White
Collard
Striking5.8 / 0.5Volume4.8 / 8.5Grappling1.2 / 2.4Wrestling0.8 / 1.7Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure4.7 / 0.8
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.5
1.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
0.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.8
4.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.5
White
Strike Zones
Collard
White
Attacking
9HEAD6BODY2LEGS17 landed
Absorbing
4HEAD2BODY3LEGS9 absorbed
Collard
Attacking
4HEAD2BODY3LEGS9 landed
Absorbing
9HEAD6BODY2LEGS17 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯White targets the head (53% of attacks) — Collard absorbs 53% of strikes there
🎯Collard targets the head (44% of attacks) — White absorbs 44% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

White
RND
Collard
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

White · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Rafael Fiziev
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Maia vs. Askren · 2019-10
W · Dec · R3
Dan Moret
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Dos Santos · 2019-03
L · Sub · R1
Jim Miller
Submission
UFC 228: Woodley vs. Till · 2018-09
L · Dec · R3
James Krause
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Stephens vs. Choi · 2018-01
W · KO · R2
Mitch Clarke
KO/TKO
UFC 215: Nunes vs Shevchenko 2 · 2017-09

Collard · Last 4

L · Dec · R3
Tiago dos Santos e Silva
Decision
UFC 191: Johnson vs Dodson 2 · 2015-09
L · Dec · R3
Gabriel Benitez
Decision
UFC 188: Velasquez vs Werdum · 2015-06
W · Dec · R3
Alex White
Decision
UFC 181: Hendricks vs Lawler II · 2014-12
L · KO · R3
Max Holloway
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Henderson vs Dos Anjos · 2014-08

News & Media

Alex White · Clay Collard
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