UFC 181: Hendricks vs Lawler II
Las Vegas, USA
6 Dec 2014
Featherweight
VS
57%
White
43%
Collard
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
AW
Alex White
"The Spartan"
13 – 6
6'0"71" reachSouthpaw37 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 13
CC
Clay Collard
"Cassius"
14 – 7
Well-Rounded2-fight slide33 yrsOrthodox73" reach5'11"
CFR 10

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: White

This is a genuine toss-up — White at 57% vs Collard at 43% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

White has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 16 points.

White has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

White's chin rating of 58 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

White
Collard
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"+
Height
5'11"
71"
Reach
+73"
37
Age
+33
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
White
Collard
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
13.2
10.1
40.8
Performance Avg
25.0
41
Quality of Victory
25
15
Momentum Score
33
White
Collard
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.6
1.0
48%
Strike Accuracy
28%
5.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.5
2 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
9
Head
4
6
Body
2
2
Leg
3
RangeRange
9Distance6
7Clinch3
1Ground0
White
Collard
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
1.2
/ 10
2.4
/ 10
0.8
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.7
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
White
Collard
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
58
74
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R3.0 stoppage
8 fights ago
Last KO loss
3 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
10/19 fights
Chin rating based on
4/21 fights
White
Collard
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
15
33
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R3
White
Collard
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
0%
2
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
1

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

White
Collard
Striking5.8 / 0.5Volume4.8 / 8.5Grappling1.2 / 2.4Wrestling0.8 / 1.7Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure4.7 / 0.8
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.5
1.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
0.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.8
4.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.5
White
Strike Zones
Collard
White
Attacking
9HEAD6BODY2LEGS17 landed
Absorbing
4HEAD2BODY3LEGS9 absorbed
Collard
Attacking
4HEAD2BODY3LEGS9 landed
Absorbing
9HEAD6BODY2LEGS17 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯White targets the head (53% of attacks) — Collard absorbs 53% of strikes there
🎯Collard targets the head (44% of attacks) — White absorbs 44% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

White
RND
Collard
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

White · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.8
0105.0W4.0L5.5L4.5W5.5L5.2W5.5L1.9L4.5W6.5L2014-042016-022018-012019-10
WinLossTrend

Collard · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.2
0105.1L4.5W5.7L5.5L2014-082014-122015-062015-09
WinLossTrend

White · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Rafael FizievRating 6.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Maia vs. Askren · 2019-10
W · Dec · R3
Dan MoretRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Dos Santos · 2019-03
L · Sub · R1
Jim MillerRating 1.9
Submission
UFC 228: Woodley vs. Till · 2018-09
L · Dec · R3
James KrauseRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Stephens vs. Choi · 2018-01
W · KO · R2
Mitch ClarkeRating 5.2
KO/TKO
UFC 215: Nunes vs Shevchenko 2 · 2017-09

Collard · Last 4

L · Dec · R3
Tiago dos Santos e SilvaRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 191: Johnson vs Dodson 2 · 2015-09
L · Dec · R3
Gabriel BenitezRating 5.7
Decision
UFC 188: Velasquez vs Werdum · 2015-06
W · Dec · R3
Alex WhiteRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 181: Hendricks vs Lawler II · 2014-12
L · KO · R3
Max HollowayRating 5.1
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Henderson vs Dos Anjos · 2014-08

News & Media

Alex White · Clay Collard
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