METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 238: Cejudo vs. Moraes
Chicago, USA
8 Jun 2019
Featherweight
VS
32%
Lamas
68%
Kattar
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 4:06
★ Official Result
Calvin KattarwinsKO/TKOR1 · 4:06
def. Ricardo Lamas · UFC 238: Cejudo vs. Moraes
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Kattar
→
Actual result
Kattar wins
KO/TKO · R1
Pre-fight analysis
Kattar holds a meaningful edge at 68% per the CFR ratings — but Lamas has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 24 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Risk flags
Lamas's chin rating of 28 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Kattar has a chin rating of 64 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
LamasKattar
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Lamas
Kattar
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"
Height
+5'11"
71"
Reach
+72"
44
Age
+38
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Lamas
Kattar
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
20.7
44.3
52.0
Performance Avg
44.4
44
Quality of Victory
43
98
Momentum Score
33
Lamas
Kattar
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
4.9
/ 10
6.7
/ 10
6.4
Style: Pressure
5.4
4.2
Style: Volume
4.4
4 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
4 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
2
Head
11
4
Body
11
6
Leg
0
RangeRange
12Distance16
0Clinch2
0Ground4
Lamas
Kattar
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.0
/ 10
1.0
/ 10
2.1
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.7
2.7
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
3
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Lamas
Kattar
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
28
64
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
3
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
3 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
17/28 fights
Chin rating based on
15/33 fights
Lamas
Kattar
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
98
33
Current form
5-fight 📉 slide
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R5
Lamas
Kattar
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
64%
57%
4
KO / TKO Wins
4
3
Submission Wins
0
4
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Lamas
Kattar
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.7
3.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.0
2.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.7
2.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.4
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.4
4.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.4
LamasKattar
Strike Zones
Lamas
Attacking
12 landedAbsorbing
22 absorbedKattar
Attacking
22 landedAbsorbing
12 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Lamas targets the legs (50% of attacks) — Kattar absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Kattar targets the head (50% of attacks) — Lamas absorbs 50% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Lamas
RND
Kattar
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Lamas · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Bill AlgeoDecision
UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Rakic · 2020-08
L · KO · R1
Calvin KattarKO/TKO
UFC 238: Cejudo vs. Moraes · 2019-06
W · KO · R3
Darren ElkinsKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Magny vs. Ponzinibbio · 2018-11
L · Dec · R3
Mirsad BekticDecision
UFC 225: Whittaker vs. Romero 2 · 2018-06
L · KO · R1
Josh EmmettKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lawler vs. Dos Anjos · 2017-12
Kattar · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Steve GarciaDecision
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Teixeira · 2025-07
L · Dec · R3
Youssef ZalalDecision
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Rodrigues · 2025-02
L · Dec · R3
Aljamain SterlingDecision
UFC 300: Pereira vs. Hill · 2024-04
L · KO · R2
Arnold AllenKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Allen · 2022-10
L · Dec · R5
Josh EmmettDecision
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Emmett · 2022-06