UFC 238: Cejudo vs. Moraes
Chicago, USA
8 Jun 2019
Featherweight
VS
32%
Lamas
68%
Kattar
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 4:06
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Kattar
Kattar holds a meaningful edge at 68% per the CFR ratings — but Lamas has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 24 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Lamas has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Lamas's chin rating of 28 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Kattar has a chin rating of 64 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Lamas
Kattar
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"
Height
+5'11"
71"
Reach
+72"
44
Age
+38
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Lamas
Kattar
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
20.7
44.3
52.0
Performance Avg
44.4
44
Quality of Victory
43
98
Momentum Score
33
Lamas
Kattar
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.7
1.5
54%
Strike Accuracy
42%
4.9
Striking Style Score (/10)
6.7
4 KOs
KO Finishes
4 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
2
Head
11
4
Body
11
6
Leg
0
RangeRange
12Distance16
0Clinch2
0Ground4
Lamas
Kattar
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.4
Sub Attempts / fight
—
3.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.0
2.1
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Lamas
Kattar
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
28
64
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
3
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
3 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
17/28 fights
Chin rating based on
15/33 fights
Lamas
Kattar
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
98
33
Current form
5-fight 📉 slide
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R5
Lamas
Kattar
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
64%
57%
4
KO / TKO Wins
4
3
Submission Wins
0
4
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Lamas
Kattar
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.7
3.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.0
2.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.7
2.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.4
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.4
4.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.4
LamasKattar
Strike Zones
Lamas
Attacking
12 landedAbsorbing
22 absorbedKattar
Attacking
22 landedAbsorbing
12 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Lamas targets the legs (50% of attacks) — Kattar absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Kattar targets the head (50% of attacks) — Lamas absorbs 50% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Lamas
RND
Kattar
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Lamas · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.7WinLossTrend
Kattar · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.7WinLossTrend
Lamas · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Bill AlgeoRating 4.7Decision
UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Rakic · 2020-08
L · KO · R1
Calvin KattarRating 2KO/TKO
UFC 238: Cejudo vs. Moraes · 2019-06
W · KO · R3
Darren ElkinsRating 6KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Magny vs. Ponzinibbio · 2018-11
L · Dec · R3
Mirsad BekticRating 5.5Decision
UFC 225: Whittaker vs. Romero 2 · 2018-06
L · KO · R1
Josh EmmettRating 1.6KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lawler vs. Dos Anjos · 2017-12
Kattar · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Steve GarciaRating 7.4Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Teixeira · 2025-07
L · Dec · R3
Youssef ZalalRating 6.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Rodrigues · 2025-02
L · Dec · R3
Aljamain SterlingRating 6.5Decision
UFC 300: Pereira vs. Hill · 2024-04
L · KO · R2
Arnold AllenRating 3.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Allen · 2022-10
L · Dec · R5
Josh EmmettRating 5.6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Emmett · 2022-06