METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Lee vs. Iaquinta
Milwaukee, USA
15 Dec 2018
Middleweight
VS
20%
Smith
80%
Cummings
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Zak CummingswinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Trevor Smith · UFC Fight Night: Lee vs. Iaquinta
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Cummings
→
Actual result
Cummings wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Cummings is a strong favourite at 80% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 32 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Cummings has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 16 points.
Risk flags
Smith's chin rating of 26 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
SmithCummings
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Smith
Cummings
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"+
Height
6'0"
75"
Reach
75"
45
Age
+42
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Smith
Cummings
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
10.9
42.5
31.7
Performance Avg
53.3
25
Quality of Victory
41
45
Momentum Score
63
Smith
Cummings
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.8
/ 10
3.4
/ 10
1.3
Style: Pressure
6.3
8.8
Style: Volume
4.6
0 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
2 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
13
Head
12
3
Body
6
1
Leg
3
RangeRange
8Distance14
1Clinch3
8Ground4
Smith
Cummings
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.4
/ 10
4.2
/ 10
1.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.9
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
4.0
0
Submission wins
4
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Smith
Cummings
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
26
82
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
3
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.7 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
12/25 fights
Chin rating based on
14/32 fights
Smith
Cummings
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
45
63
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 🔥 win streak
L · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
W · KO · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R3
W · Dec · R3
Smith
Cummings
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
60%
0
KO / TKO Wins
2
0
Submission Wins
4
5
Decision Wins
4
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Smith
Cummings
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.4
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.2
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.9
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
4.0
1.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.3
8.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.6
SmithCummings
Strike Zones
Smith
Attacking
17 landedAbsorbing
21 absorbedCummings
Attacking
21 landedAbsorbing
17 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Smith targets the head (76% of attacks) — Cummings absorbs 76% of strikes there
🎯Cummings targets the head (57% of attacks) — Smith absorbs 57% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Smith
RND
Cummings
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Smith · Last 5
L · KO · R3
Makhmud MuradovKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Rozenstruik · 2019-12
L · Dec · R3
Zak CummingsDecision
UFC Fight Night: Lee vs. Iaquinta · 2018-12
L · Dec · R3
Elias TheodorouDecision
UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Till · 2018-05
W · Dec · R3
Chris CamozziDecision
UFC Fight Night: Gustafsson vs. Teixeira · 2017-05
L · Dec · R3
Andrew SanchezDecision
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Abdurakhimov · 2016-12
Cummings · Last 5
W · KO · R3
Ed HermanKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Allen · 2023-04
W · Dec · R3
Alessio Di ChiricoDecision
UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Rakic · 2020-08
L · Dec · R3
Omari AkhmedovDecision
UFC 242: Khabib vs. Poirier · 2019-09
W · Sub · R3
Trevin GilesSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Lee · 2019-05
W · Dec · R3
Trevor SmithDecision
UFC Fight Night: Lee vs. Iaquinta · 2018-12