UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Allen
Las Vegas, USA
29 Oct 2022
Welterweight
VS
44%
Means
56%
Griffin
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Griffin
This is a genuine toss-up — Means at 44% vs Griffin at 56% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 10 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Means has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Means's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Griffin has a chin rating of 48 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Means
Griffin
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'2"+
Height
5'11"
75"
Reach
+76"
42
Age
+40
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Means
Griffin
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
36.5
46.4
45.2
Performance Avg
39.0
41
Quality of Victory
37
40
Momentum Score
74
Means
Griffin
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.1
1.0
51%
Strike Accuracy
45%
5.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.6
6 KOs
KO Finishes
3 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
3
Head
4
7
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
4Distance2
3Clinch0
3Ground2
Means
Griffin
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.2
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
2.2
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.5
1.5
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.1
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Means
Griffin
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
48
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
2
KO/TKO Losses
1
6
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R3.0 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
18 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
30/50 fights
Chin rating based on
19/33 fights
Means
Griffin
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
40
74
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R3
L · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Means
Griffin
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
53%
38%
6
KO / TKO Wins
3
2
Submission Wins
0
7
Decision Wins
5
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Means
Griffin
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.6
2.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.5
1.5
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.1
1.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.9
4.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.8
MeansGriffin
Strike Zones
Means
Attacking
10 landedAbsorbing
4 absorbedGriffin
Attacking
4 landedAbsorbing
10 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Means targets the body (70% of attacks) — Griffin absorbs 70% of strikes there
🎯Griffin targets the head (100% of attacks) — Means absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Means
RND
Griffin
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Means · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.5WinLossTrend
Griffin · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.6WinLossTrend
Means · Last 5
L · Sub · R1
Court McGeeRating 1.7Submission
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Uros MedicRating 3.3KO/TKO
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UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Allen · 2022-10
Griffin · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Victor ValenzuelaRating 6.8Decision
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