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All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Allen
Las Vegas, USA
29 Oct 2022
Welterweight
VS
44%
Means
56%
Griffin
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 Β· 5:00
Tim
Tim Means
"The Dirty Bird"
33 – 17
6'2"75" reachOrthodox42 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 37
Max
Max Griffin
"Pain"
20 – 13
Well-Rounded3-fight slide40 yrsOrthodox76" reach5'11"
CFR 46
β˜… Official Result
Max GriffinwinsDecisionR3 Β· 5:00
def. Tim Means Β· UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Allen

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis Β· prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Griffin
β†’
Actual result
Griffin wins
Decision Β· R3
Pre-fight analysis

This is a genuine toss-up β€” Means at 44% vs Griffin at 56% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 10 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Risk flags

Means's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Griffin has a chin rating of 48 β€” a potential KO vulnerability.

This Fight β€” Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
MeansGriffin
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
β€”
Strike Accuracy
β€”
Means
Griffin
Physical Matchup
Height Β· Reach Β· Age Β· Stance
6'2"+
Height
5'11"
75"
Reach
+76"
42
Age
+40
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Means
Griffin
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
36.5
46.4
45.2
Performance Avg
39.0
41
Quality of Victory
37
40
Momentum Score
74
Means
Griffin
Striking
Career averages Β· see This Fight stats above
5.0
/ 10
4.6
/ 10
5.3
Style: Pressure
3.9
4.8
Style: Volume
5.8
6 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
3 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
3
Head
4
7
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
4Distance2
3Clinch0
3Ground2
Means
Griffin
Grappling
Career averages Β· see This Fight stats above
2.2
/ 10
1.5
/ 10
1.5
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.1
1.3
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
2
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Means
Griffin
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
48
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
2
KO/TKO Losses
1
6
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R3.0 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
18 fights ago
β€”
Strikes absorbed / min
β€”
30/50 fights
Chin rating based on
19/33 fights
Means
Griffin
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance β€” most recent weighted 30%
40
74
2-fight πŸ“‰ slide
Current form
3-fight πŸ“‰ slide
L Β· Sub Β· R1
L Β· KO Β· R1
W Β· KO Β· R3
L Β· Sub Β· R2
L Β· Dec Β· R3
Last 5
L Β· Dec Β· R3
L Β· Dec Β· R3
L Β· Sub Β· R3
W Β· Dec Β· R3
L Β· Dec Β· R3
Means
Griffin
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
53%
38%
6
KO / TKO Wins
3
2
Submission Wins
0
7
Decision Wins
5

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar β€” 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Means
Griffin
Striking5.0 / 4.6Volume4.8 / 5.8Grappling2.2 / 1.5Wrestling1.5 / 1.1Submission1.3 / 0.0Pressure5.3 / 3.9
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.6
2.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.5
1.5
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.1
1.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.9
4.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.8
Means
Strike Zones
Griffin
Means
Attacking
3HEAD7BODY0LEGS10 landed
Absorbing
4HEAD0BODY0LEGS4 absorbed
Griffin
Attacking
4HEAD0BODY0LEGS4 landed
Absorbing
3HEAD7BODY0LEGS10 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Means targets the body (70% of attacks) β€” Griffin absorbs 70% of strikes there
🎯Griffin targets the head (100% of attacks) β€” Means absorbs 100% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight Β· per-round breakdown

Means
RND
Griffin
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Means Β· Last 5

L Β· Sub Β· R1
Court McGee
Submission
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L Β· KO Β· R1
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KO/TKO
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W Β· KO Β· R3
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KO/TKO
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L Β· Sub Β· R2
Alex Morono
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Almeida Β· 2023-05
L Β· Dec Β· R3
Max Griffin
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Allen Β· 2022-10

Griffin Β· Last 5

L Β· Dec Β· R3
Victor Valenzuela
Decision
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L Β· Dec Β· R3
Chris Curtis
Decision
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L Β· Sub Β· R3
Michael Chiesa
Submission
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W Β· Dec Β· R3
Jeremiah Wells
Decision
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L Β· Dec Β· R3
Michael Morales
Decision
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News & Media

Tim Means Β· Max Griffin
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