METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Woodley
Las Vegas, USA
19 Sept 2020
Women's Bantamweight
VS
89%
Clark
11%
Alpar
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 3 · 4:21
★ Official Result
Jessica-Rose ClarkwinsKO/TKOR3 · 4:21
def. Sarah Alpar · UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Woodley
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Clark
→
Actual result
Clark wins
KO/TKO · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Clark is a strong favourite at 89% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 24 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Clark has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 31 points.
Risk flags
Clark's chin rating of 60 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
ClarkAlpar
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Clark
Alpar
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'5"+
Height
5'4"
64"+
Reach
63"
38
Age
+35
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Clark
Alpar
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
27.7
3.3
36.5
Performance Avg
0.0
31
Quality of Victory
0
36
Momentum Score
0
Clark
Alpar
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.4
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
3.1
Style: Pressure
0.0
6.9
Style: Volume
0.0
1 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
25
Head
0
3
Body
1
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
5Distance1
7Clinch0
16Ground0
Clark
Alpar
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.8
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
1.3
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Clark
Alpar
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
60
76
Never stopped
Verdict
Moderate
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
3
Sub Losses
0
—
KO round context
Avg R3.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
9/20 fights
Chin rating based on
2/15 fights
Clark
Alpar
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
36
0
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Sub · R3
L · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R3
Clark
Alpar
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
25%
0%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Clark
Alpar
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
1.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
1.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
3.1
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
6.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
ClarkAlpar
Strike Zones
Clark
Attacking
28 landedAbsorbing
1 absorbedAlpar
Attacking
1 landedAbsorbing
28 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Clark targets the head (89% of attacks) — Alpar absorbs 89% of strikes there
🎯Alpar targets the body (100% of attacks) — Clark absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Clark
RND
Alpar
0/0R00/0
Clark · Last 5
L · Sub · R3
Tainara LisboaSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Almeida · 2023-05
L · Sub · R1
Julija StoliarenkoSubmission
UFC 276: Adesanya vs. Cannonier · 2022-07
L · Sub · R1
Stephanie EggerSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Hill · 2022-02
W · Dec · R3
Joselyne EdwardsDecision
UFC Fight Night: Costa vs. Vettori · 2021-10
W · KO · R3
Sarah AlparKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Woodley · 2020-09
Alpar · Last 2
L · Dec · R3
Erin BlanchfieldDecision
UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Spann · 2021-09
L · KO · R3
Jessica-Rose ClarkKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Woodley · 2020-09