UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Woodley
Las Vegas, USA
19 Sept 2020
Women's Bantamweight
VS
89%
Clark
11%
Alpar
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 3 · 4:21
JC
Jessica-Rose Clark
11 – 9
5'5"64" reachOrthodox38 yrs3-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 28
SA
Sarah Alpar
"Too Sweet"
9 – 6
Well-Rounded2-fight slide34 yrsSouthpaw63" reach5'4"
CFR 3

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Clark

Clark is a strong favourite at 89% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 24 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Clark has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 31 points.

Clark has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Clark's chin rating of 60 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Clark
Alpar
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'5"+
Height
5'4"
64"+
Reach
63"
38
Age
+34
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Clark
Alpar
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
27.7
3.3
36.5
Performance Avg
0.0
31
Quality of Victory
0
36
Momentum Score
0
Clark
Alpar
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.5
0.7
54%
Strike Accuracy
40%
3.4
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
1 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
25
Head
0
3
Body
1
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
5Distance1
7Clinch0
16Ground0
Clark
Alpar
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
1.8
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
1.3
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Clark
Alpar
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
60
76
Never stopped
Verdict
Moderate
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
3
Sub Losses
0
—
KO round context
Avg R3.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
9/20 fights
Chin rating based on
2/15 fights
Clark
Alpar
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
36
0
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Sub · R3
L · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R3
Clark
Alpar
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
25%
0%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Clark
Alpar
Striking3.4 / 0.0Volume6.9 / 0.0Grappling1.8 / 0.0Wrestling1.3 / 0.0Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure3.1 / 0.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
1.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
1.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
3.1
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
6.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
Clark
Strike Zones
Alpar
Clark
Attacking
25HEAD3BODY0LEGS28 landed
Absorbing
0HEAD1BODY0LEGS1 absorbed
Alpar
Attacking
0HEAD1BODY0LEGS1 landed
Absorbing
25HEAD3BODY0LEGS28 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Clark targets the head (89% of attacks) — Alpar absorbs 89% of strikes there
🎯Alpar targets the body (100% of attacks) — Clark absorbs 100% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Clark
RND
Alpar
0/0R00/0

Clark · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.5
0104.5W4.5W5.5L5.5L5.5W5.9W2.5L1.8L4.4L2017-112019-112022-022023-05
WinLossTrend

Alpar · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.5
0104.0L7.0L2020-092021-09
WinLossTrend

Clark · Last 5

L · Sub · R3
Tainara LisboaRating 4.4
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Almeida · 2023-05
L · Sub · R1
Julija StoliarenkoRating 1.8
Submission
UFC 276: Adesanya vs. Cannonier · 2022-07
L · Sub · R1
Stephanie EggerRating 2.5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Hill · 2022-02
W · Dec · R3
Joselyne EdwardsRating 5.9
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Costa vs. Vettori · 2021-10
W · KO · R3
Sarah AlparRating 5.5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Woodley · 2020-09

Alpar · Last 2

L · Dec · R3
Erin BlanchfieldRating 7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Spann · 2021-09
L · KO · R3
Jessica-Rose ClarkRating 4
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Woodley · 2020-09

News & Media

Jessica-Rose Clark · Sarah Alpar
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