UFC Fight Night: Condit vs Alves
Goiania, Brazil
30 May 2015
Welterweight
VS
35%
Noons
65%
Oliveira
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 2:51
KN
KJ Noons
"King"
13 – 9
5'10"70" reachOrthodox43 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 16
AO
Alex Oliveira
"Cowboy"
22 – 12
Well-Rounded4-fight slide38 yrsOrthodox76" reach5'11"
CFR 30

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Oliveira

Oliveira holds a meaningful edge at 65% per the CFR ratings — but Noons has real paths to victory.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 14 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Oliveira has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Oliveira has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Noons
Oliveira
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"
Height
+5'11"
70"
Reach
+76"
43
Age
+38
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Noons
Oliveira
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
16.1
29.9
41.5
Performance Avg
46.5
43
Quality of Victory
43
43
Momentum Score
100
Noons
Oliveira
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.1
1.1
41%
Strike Accuracy
54%
5.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.7
1 KOs
KO Finishes
4 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
5
Head
1
0
Body
0
2
Leg
2
RangeRange
6Distance3
1Clinch0
0Ground0
Noons
Oliveira
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
1.2
/ 10
3.0
/ 10
0.8
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.1
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
2.7
0
Submission wins
3
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Noons
Oliveira
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
84
0
Never stopped
Verdict
KO risk
0
KO/TKO Losses
2
1
Sub Losses
5
—
KO round context
Avg R2.5 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
6/22 fights
Chin rating based on
22/34 fights
Noons
Oliveira
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
43
100
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
Upcoming
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
Noons
Oliveira
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
64%
1
KO / TKO Wins
4
0
Submission Wins
3
1
Decision Wins
4

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Noons
Oliveira
Striking5.8 / 4.7Volume4.8 / 4.0Grappling1.2 / 3.0Wrestling0.8 / 2.1Submission0.0 / 2.7Pressure4.7 / 6.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.7
1.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.0
0.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.1
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.7
4.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.0
4.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.0
Noons
Strike Zones
Oliveira
Noons
Attacking
5HEAD0BODY2LEGS7 landed
Absorbing
1HEAD0BODY2LEGS3 absorbed
Oliveira
Attacking
1HEAD0BODY2LEGS3 landed
Absorbing
5HEAD0BODY2LEGS7 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Noons targets the head (71% of attacks) — Oliveira absorbs 71% of strikes there
🎯Oliveira targets the legs (67% of attacks) — Noons absorbs 67% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Noons
RND
Oliveira
0/0R00/0

Noons · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.4
0105.5L4.5W5.0W1.5L5.5L2013-052013-102014-042015-052016-02
WinLossTrend

Oliveira · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.6
0104.2L5.0W4.5W5.5W1.5L4.5W5.5W5.3W5.2W4.0L5.2W5.0W3.8L5.5L5.8L5.1W4.5W3.6L2.4L6.2L3.4L2015-032016-102018-122021-042022-03
WinLossTrend

Noons · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Joshua BurkmanRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Hendricks vs Thompson · 2016-02
L · Sub · R1
Alex OliveiraRating 1.5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Condit vs Alves · 2015-05
Upcoming
Daron Cruickshank
The Ultimate Fighter: A Champion Will Be Crowned Finale · 2014-12
W · KO · R1
Sam StoutRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Bisping vs Kennedy · 2014-04
W · Dec · R3
George SotiropoulosRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 166: Velasquez vs Dos Santos 3 · 2013-10

Oliveira · Last 5

L · KO · R2
Kevin HollandRating 3.4
KO/TKO
UFC 272: Covington vs. Masvidal · 2022-03
L · Dec · R3
Niko PriceRating 6.2
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Walker · 2021-10
L · Sub · R1
Randy BrownRating 2.4
Submission
UFC 261: Usman vs. Masvidal 2 · 2021-04
L · Sub · R1
Shavkat RakhmonovRating 3.6
Submission
UFC 254: Khabib vs. Gaethje · 2020-10
W · Dec · R3
Peter SobottaRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Till · 2020-07

News & Media

KJ Noons · Alex Oliveira
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