UFC 236: Holloway vs. Poirier 2
Atlanta, USA
13 Apr 2019
Welterweight
VS
96%
Griffin
4%
Imadaev
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Griffin
Griffin is a strong favourite at 96% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 45 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Griffin has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 37 points.
Striking split: Imadaev throws more volume but Griffin connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Griffin's chin rating of 48 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Imadaev has a chin rating of 64 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Griffin
Imadaev
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"
Height
+6'0"
76"
Reach
76"
40
Age
+31
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Griffin
Imadaev
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
46.4
1.8
39.0
Performance Avg
0.0
37
Quality of Victory
0
74
Momentum Score
0
Griffin
Imadaev
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.0
1.3
45%
Strike Accuracy
37%
4.6
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
3 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
8
Head
22
8
Body
3
5
Leg
2
RangeRange
18Distance24
1Clinch3
2Ground0
Griffin
Imadaev
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
1.5
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.0
1.1
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Griffin
Imadaev
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
48
64
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
1
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
18 fights ago
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
19/33 fights
Chin rating based on
3/11 fights
Griffin
Imadaev
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
74
0
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Sub · R3
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
Griffin
Imadaev
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
38%
0%
3
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
5
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Griffin
Imadaev
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
1.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
1.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
3.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
5.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
GriffinImadaev
Strike Zones
Griffin
Attacking
21 landedAbsorbing
27 absorbedImadaev
Attacking
27 landedAbsorbing
21 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Griffin targets the head (38% of attacks) — Imadaev absorbs 38% of strikes there
🎯Imadaev targets the head (81% of attacks) — Griffin absorbs 81% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Griffin
RND
Imadaev
0/0R00/0
Griffin · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.6WinLossTrend
Imadaev · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.5WinLossTrend
Griffin · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Victor ValenzuelaRating 6.8Decision
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L · Sub · R3
Michael ChiesaRating 4.8Submission
UFC 310: Pantoja vs. Asakura · 2024-12
W · Dec · R3
Jeremiah WellsRating 5.9Decision
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Pyfer · 2024-02
L · Dec · R3
Michael MoralesRating 7.6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Magomedov · 2023-07
Imadaev · Last 3
L · Sub · R3
Michel PereiraRating 4.6Submission
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Sakai · 2020-09
L · KO · R2
Danny RobertsRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Zabit vs. Kattar · 2019-11
L · Dec · R3
Max GriffinRating 6.1Decision
UFC 236: Holloway vs. Poirier 2 · 2019-04