METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 105: Couture vs Vera
Manchester, United Kingdom
14 Nov 2009
Welterweight
VS
41%
Hardy
59%
Swick
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Dan HardywinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Mike Swick · UFC 105: Couture vs Vera
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Swick
→
Actual result
Hardy wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Hardy at 41% vs Swick at 59% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 7 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Swick has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 11 points.
Swick has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Hardy's chin rating of 62 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Swick has a chin rating of 60 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
HardySwick
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Hardy
Swick
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"
Height
+6'1"
74"
Reach
+77"
44+
Age
47
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Hardy
Swick
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
15.4
22.6
46.0
Performance Avg
55.0
37
Quality of Victory
47
38
Momentum Score
100
Hardy
Swick
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.9
0.9
34%
Strike Accuracy
36%
4.5
Striking Style Score (/10)
6.3
2 KOs
KO Finishes
5 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
9
Head
10
3
Body
0
3
Leg
3
RangeRange
8Distance12
3Clinch1
4Ground0
Hardy
Swick
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
1.6
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.3
1.1
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.6
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Hardy
Swick
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
62
60
Moderate
Verdict
Moderate
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
4 fights ago
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
10/35 fights
Chin rating based on
15/21 fights
Hardy
Swick
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
38
100
2-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
L · Sub · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R2
L · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
Hardy
Swick
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
33%
70%
2
KO / TKO Wins
5
0
Submission Wins
2
4
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Hardy
Swick
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.3
1.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.3
1.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.6
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.0
4.1
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.9
6.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.7
HardySwick
Strike Zones
Hardy
Attacking
15 landedAbsorbing
13 absorbedSwick
Attacking
13 landedAbsorbing
15 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Hardy targets the head (60% of attacks) — Swick absorbs 60% of strikes there
🎯Swick targets the head (77% of attacks) — Hardy absorbs 77% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Hardy
RND
Swick
0/0R00/0
Hardy · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.5WinLossTrend
Swick · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.8WinLossTrend
Hardy · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Amir SadollahRating 4.5Decision
UFC on FUEL TV: Struve vs Miocic · 2012-09
W · KO · R1
Duane LudwigRating 5KO/TKO
UFC 146: Dos Santos vs Mir · 2012-05
L · Sub · R3
Chris LytleRating 4Submission
UFC Live: Hardy vs Lytle · 2011-08
L · Dec · R3
Anthony JohnsonRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Nogueira vs Davis · 2011-03
L · KO · R1
Carlos ConditRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 120: Bisping vs Akiyama · 2010-10
Swick · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Alex GarciaRating 5.5Decision
UFC 189: Mendes vs McGregor · 2015-07
L · KO · R2
Matt BrownRating 3.1KO/TKO
UFC on FOX: Henderson vs Diaz · 2012-12
W · KO · R2
DaMarques JohnsonRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC on FOX: Shogun vs Vera · 2012-08
L · Sub · R2
Paulo ThiagoRating 2.8Submission
UFC 109: Relentless · 2010-02
L · Dec · R3
Dan HardyRating 5.5Decision
UFC 105: Couture vs Vera · 2009-11