METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 105: Couture vs Vera
Manchester, United Kingdom
14 Nov 2009
Welterweight
VS
41%
Hardy
59%
Swick
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Dan HardywinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Mike Swick · UFC 105: Couture vs Vera
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Swick
→
Actual result
Hardy wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Hardy at 41% vs Swick at 59% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 7 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Swick has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 11 points.
Risk flags
Hardy's chin rating of 62 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Swick has a chin rating of 60 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
HardySwick
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Hardy
Swick
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"
Height
+6'1"
74"
Reach
+77"
44+
Age
47
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Hardy
Swick
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
15.4
22.6
46.0
Performance Avg
55.0
37
Quality of Victory
47
38
Momentum Score
100
Hardy
Swick
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
4.5
/ 10
6.3
/ 10
4.1
Style: Pressure
6.9
6.5
Style: Volume
3.7
2 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
5 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
9
Head
10
3
Body
0
3
Leg
3
RangeRange
8Distance12
3Clinch1
4Ground0
Hardy
Swick
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.6
/ 10
2.3
/ 10
1.1
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.6
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
2.0
0
Submission wins
2
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Hardy
Swick
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
62
60
Moderate
Verdict
Moderate
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
4 fights ago
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
10/35 fights
Chin rating based on
15/21 fights
Hardy
Swick
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
38
100
2-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
L · Sub · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R2
L · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
Hardy
Swick
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
33%
70%
2
KO / TKO Wins
5
0
Submission Wins
2
4
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Hardy
Swick
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.3
1.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.3
1.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.6
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.0
4.1
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.9
6.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.7
HardySwick
Strike Zones
Hardy
Attacking
15 landedAbsorbing
13 absorbedSwick
Attacking
13 landedAbsorbing
15 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Hardy targets the head (60% of attacks) — Swick absorbs 60% of strikes there
🎯Swick targets the head (77% of attacks) — Hardy absorbs 77% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Hardy
RND
Swick
0/0R00/0
Hardy · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Amir SadollahDecision
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W · KO · R1
Duane LudwigKO/TKO
UFC 146: Dos Santos vs Mir · 2012-05
L · Sub · R3
Chris LytleSubmission
UFC Live: Hardy vs Lytle · 2011-08
L · Dec · R3
Anthony JohnsonDecision
UFC Fight Night: Nogueira vs Davis · 2011-03
L · KO · R1
Carlos ConditKO/TKO
UFC 120: Bisping vs Akiyama · 2010-10
Swick · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Alex GarciaDecision
UFC 189: Mendes vs McGregor · 2015-07
L · KO · R2
Matt BrownKO/TKO
UFC on FOX: Henderson vs Diaz · 2012-12
W · KO · R2
DaMarques JohnsonKO/TKO
UFC on FOX: Shogun vs Vera · 2012-08
L · Sub · R2
Paulo ThiagoSubmission
UFC 109: Relentless · 2010-02
L · Dec · R3
Dan HardyDecision
UFC 105: Couture vs Vera · 2009-11