METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 303: Pereira vs. Prochazka 2
Las Vegas, USA
29 Jun 2024
Light Heavyweight
VS
49%
Smith
51%
Dolidze
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Roman DolidzewinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Anthony Smith · UFC 303: Pereira vs. Prochazka 2
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Dolidze
→
Actual result
Dolidze wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Smith at 49% vs Dolidze at 51% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Risk flags
Smith's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Dolidze has a chin rating of 58 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
SmithDolidze
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Smith
Dolidze
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'4"+
Height
6'2"
76"
Reach
76"
38
Age
38
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Smith
Dolidze
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
58.3
60.6
50.7
Performance Avg
50.3
50
Quality of Victory
44
100
Momentum Score
100
Smith
Dolidze
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
4.9
/ 10
6.8
/ 10
6.9
Style: Pressure
5.7
2.3
Style: Volume
4.8
5 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
5 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
17
Head
17
1
Body
4
4
Leg
9
RangeRange
22Distance30
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Smith
Dolidze
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.5
/ 10
1.1
/ 10
2.4
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.8
3.9
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
5
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Smith
Dolidze
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
58
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
KO risk
6
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
1
Avg R2.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
25/60 fights
Chin rating based on
15/20 fights
Smith
Dolidze
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
100
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
L · KO · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R4
W · Dec · R5
W · KO · R1
Smith
Dolidze
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
77%
56%
5
KO / TKO Wins
5
5
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
4
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Smith
Dolidze
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.8
3.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.1
2.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.8
3.9
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.7
2.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.8
SmithDolidze
Strike Zones
Smith
Attacking
22 landedAbsorbing
30 absorbedDolidze
Attacking
30 landedAbsorbing
22 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Smith targets the head (77% of attacks) — Dolidze absorbs 77% of strikes there
🎯Dolidze targets the head (57% of attacks) — Smith absorbs 57% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Smith
RND
Dolidze
0/0R00/0
Smith · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Zhang MingyangKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Machado Garry vs. Prates · 2025-04
L · KO · R2
Dominick ReyesKO/TKO
UFC 310: Pantoja vs. Asakura · 2024-12
L · Dec · R3
Roman DolidzeDecision
UFC 303: Pereira vs. Prochazka 2 · 2024-06
W · Sub · R1
Vitor PetrinoSubmission
UFC 301: Pantoja vs. Erceg · 2024-05
L · KO · R3
Khalil Rountree Jr.KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Gutierrez · 2023-12
Dolidze · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Reinier de RidderKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs. Rodrigues · 2026-08
L · Dec · R3
Christian Leroy DuncanDecision
UFC Fight Night: Evloev vs. Murphy · 2026-03
L · Sub · R4
Anthony HernandezSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Hernandez · 2025-08
W · Dec · R5
Marvin VettoriDecision
UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Dolidze 2 · 2025-03
W · KO · R1
Kevin HollandKO/TKO
UFC 307: Pereira vs. Rountree Jr. · 2024-10