UFC 303: Pereira vs. Prochazka 2
Las Vegas, USA
29 Jun 2024
Light Heavyweight
VS
48%
Smith
52%
Dolidze
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Anthony
Anthony Smith
"Lionheart"
38 – 22
6'4"76" reachOrthodox37 yrs3-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 58
Roman
Roman Dolidze
15 – 5
Striker2-fight slide37 yrsOrthodox76" reach6'2"
CFR 63

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Dolidze

This is a genuine toss-up — Smith at 48% vs Dolidze at 52% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Striking split: Dolidze throws more volume but Smith connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Smith's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Smith
Dolidze
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'4"+
Height
6'2"
76"
Reach
76"
37
Age
37
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Smith
Dolidze
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
58.3
63.3
50.7
Performance Avg
52.0
50
Quality of Victory
44
100
Momentum Score
100
Smith
Dolidze
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.3
1.3
52%
Strike Accuracy
47%
4.9
Striking Style Score (/10)
6.8
5 KOs
KO Finishes
5 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
17
Head
17
1
Body
4
4
Leg
9
RangeRange
22Distance30
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Smith
Dolidze
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
3.5
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.1
2.4
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.8
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Smith
Dolidze
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
80
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Never stopped
6
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
1
Avg R2.5 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
25/60 fights
Chin rating based on
14/20 fights
Smith
Dolidze
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
100
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
L · KO · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R4
W · Dec · R5
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
Smith
Dolidze
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
77%
56%
5
KO / TKO Wins
5
5
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
4

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Smith
Dolidze
Striking4.9 / 6.8Volume2.3 / 4.8Grappling3.5 / 1.1Wrestling2.4 / 0.8Submission3.9 / 0.0Pressure6.9 / 5.8
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.8
3.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.1
2.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.8
3.9
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.8
2.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.8
Smith
Strike Zones
Dolidze
Smith
Attacking
17HEAD1BODY4LEGS22 landed
Absorbing
17HEAD4BODY9LEGS30 absorbed
Dolidze
Attacking
17HEAD4BODY9LEGS30 landed
Absorbing
17HEAD1BODY4LEGS22 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Smith targets the head (77% of attacks) — Dolidze absorbs 77% of strikes there
🎯Dolidze targets the head (57% of attacks) — Smith absorbs 57% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Smith
RND
Dolidze
0/0R00/0

Smith · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.0
0101.5L4.5W5.5L5.2W5.5W5.5W2.8L5.0W5.0W6.0W7.3L5.4W4.4L5.6L5.0W5.5W5.4W4.3L6.3L4.9W4.9L6.1W6.9L3.8L3.5L2013-062018-062020-112024-052025-04
WinLossTrend

Dolidze · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.6
0105.0W4.5W5.7L4.5W5.6W5.0W6.2W6.3L6.9L5.7W5.6W5.3W4.8L7.0L2020-072022-062024-022025-082026-03
WinLossTrend

Smith · Last 5

L · KO · R1
Zhang MingyangRating 3.5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Machado Garry vs. Prates · 2025-04
L · KO · R2
Dominick ReyesRating 3.8
KO/TKO
UFC 310: Pantoja vs. Asakura · 2024-12
L · Dec · R3
Roman DolidzeRating 6.9
Decision
UFC 303: Pereira vs. Prochazka 2 · 2024-06
W · Sub · R1
Vitor PetrinoRating 6.1
Submission
UFC 301: Pantoja vs. Erceg · 2024-05
L · KO · R3
Khalil Rountree Jr.Rating 4.9
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Gutierrez · 2023-12

Dolidze · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Christian Leroy DuncanRating 7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Evloev vs. Murphy · 2026-03
L · Sub · R4
Anthony HernandezRating 4.8
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Hernandez · 2025-08
W · Dec · R5
Marvin VettoriRating 5.3
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Dolidze 2 · 2025-03
W · KO · R1
Kevin HollandRating 5.6
KO/TKO
UFC 307: Pereira vs. Rountree Jr. · 2024-10
W · Dec · R3
Anthony SmithRating 5.7
Decision
UFC 303: Pereira vs. Prochazka 2 · 2024-06

News & Media

Anthony Smith · Roman Dolidze
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