UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Stephens
Orlando, USA
24 Feb 2018
Bantamweight
VS
72%
Yahya
28%
Doane
Win Probability
Submission
Round 3 · 2:32
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Yahya
Yahya is a strong favourite at 72% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 26 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Doane has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Yahya's chin rating of 48 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Doane has a chin rating of 60 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Yahya
Doane
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"
Height
+5'7"
67"
Reach
+70"
41
Age
+39
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Yahya
Doane
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
42.3
16.4
50.5
Performance Avg
41.9
39
Quality of Victory
45
39
Momentum Score
49
Yahya
Doane
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.5
1.3
38%
Strike Accuracy
43%
1.4
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.1
0 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
0
Head
0
0
Body
2
2
Leg
0
RangeRange
2Distance2
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Yahya
Doane
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.3
Sub Attempts / fight
0.4
5.4
Grappling Style Score (/10)
3.5
3.8
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.4
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Yahya
Doane
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
48
60
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Never stopped
2
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
3
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
21/40 fights
Chin rating based on
8/23 fights
Yahya
Doane
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
39
49
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · KO · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
Upcoming
Last 5
L · Sub · R3
W · KO · R1
L · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
Yahya
Doane
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
54%
67%
0
KO / TKO Wins
1
7
Submission Wins
1
6
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Yahya
Doane
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.1
5.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.5
3.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.4
5.4
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.3
5.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.8
5.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.4
YahyaDoane
Strike Zones
Yahya
Attacking
2 landedAbsorbing
2 absorbedDoane
Attacking
2 landedAbsorbing
2 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Yahya targets the legs (100% of attacks) — Doane absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Doane targets the body (100% of attacks) — Yahya absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Yahya
RND
Doane
0/0R00/0
Yahya · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.0WinLossTrend
Doane · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.2WinLossTrend
Yahya · Last 5
L · KO · R3
Victor HenryRating 4.9KO/TKO
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L · KO · R1
Montel JacksonRating 2.4KO/TKO
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W · Dec · R3
Kyung Ho KangRating 5.4Decision
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W · Sub · R2
Ray RodriguezRating 5.2Submission
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Upcoming
Enrique BarzolaDecision
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Doane · Last 5
L · Sub · R3
Rani YahyaRating 4.4Submission
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Stephens · 2018-02
W · KO · R1
Kwan Ho KwakRating 5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Correia · 2017-06
L · Sub · R1
Mirsad BekticRating 1.5Submission
UFC 204: Bisping vs. Henderson · 2016-10
L · Sub · R1
Pedro MunhozRating 2Submission
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Alvarez · 2016-07
L · Dec · R3
Jerrod SandersRating 5.5Decision
The Ultimate Fighter: American Top Team vs. Blackzilians Finale · 2015-07