UFC 222: Cyborg vs. Kunitskaya
Las Vegas, USA
3 Mar 2018
Heavyweight
VS
30%
Struve
70%
Arlovski
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
SS
Stefan Struve
"Skyscraper"
33 – 13
6'11"84" reachOrthodox38 yrs2-fight slidePressure Fighter
CFR 21
Andrei
Andrei Arlovski
"The Pitbull"
34 – 24
Well-Rounded4-fight slide47 yrsOrthodox77" reach6'3"
CFR 49

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Arlovski

Arlovski is a strong favourite at 70% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 29 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Struve has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Struve's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Arlovski has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Struve
Arlovski
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'11"+
Height
6'3"
84"+
Reach
77"
38+
Age
47
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Struve
Arlovski
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
20.6
49.1
51.7
Performance Avg
50.5
50
Quality of Victory
47
98
Momentum Score
94
Struve
Arlovski
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.8
1.5
52%
Strike Accuracy
47%
4.9
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.0
5 KOs
KO Finishes
9 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
2
Head
7
4
Body
11
7
Leg
6
RangeRange
13Distance23
0Clinch1
0Ground0
Struve
Arlovski
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.3
Sub Attempts / fight
—
4.1
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.9
2.8
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.4
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Struve
Arlovski
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
0
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
8
KO/TKO Losses
8
0
Sub Losses
3
Avg R1.6 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.8 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
24/46 fights
Chin rating based on
42/58 fights
Struve
Arlovski
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
98
94
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R2
W · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
Struve
Arlovski
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
85%
48%
5
KO / TKO Wins
9
6
Submission Wins
2
2
Decision Wins
12

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Struve
Arlovski
Striking4.9 / 5.0Volume2.3 / 5.3Grappling4.1 / 1.9Wrestling2.8 / 1.4Submission4.6 / 0.9Pressure7.5 / 5.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.0
4.1
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.9
2.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.4
4.6
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.9
7.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.0
2.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.3
Struve
Strike Zones
Arlovski
Struve
Attacking
2HEAD4BODY7LEGS13 landed
Absorbing
7HEAD11BODY6LEGS24 absorbed
Arlovski
Attacking
7HEAD11BODY6LEGS24 landed
Absorbing
2HEAD4BODY7LEGS13 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Struve targets the legs (54% of attacks) — Arlovski absorbs 54% of strikes there
🎯Arlovski targets the body (46% of attacks) — Struve absorbs 46% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Struve
RND
Arlovski
0/0R00/0

Struve · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.3
0101.5L5.2W5.0W4.5W1.5L5.2W5.0W1.5L5.2W5.2W5.0W6.2W4.0L1.5L4.5W5.5L5.0W5.2W4.0L6.2L5.9L5.9W2.8L1.9L2009-022010-122013-032017-092020-10
WinLossTrend

Arlovski · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.5
0105.0W4.0L4.0L5.0W5.0W5.2W5.0W5.0W5.0W1.5L5.5L5.0W4.5W5.2W4.5W5.0W5.0W4.5W2.6L2.1L2.8L1.9L5.9L4.5W4.5W5.9L5.5L5.7L4.5W2.6L5.2W5.1W5.2L4.5W4.5W4.5W4.5W2.1L3.1L7.0L6.5L2000-112006-122017-062021-042024-06
WinLossTrend

Struve · Last 5

L · KO · R1
Tai TuivasaRating 1.9
KO/TKO
UFC 254: Khabib vs. Gaethje · 2020-10
L · KO · R2
Ben RothwellRating 2.8
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Rozenstruik · 2019-12
W · Sub · R2
Marcos Rogerio de LimaRating 5.9
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs. Santos · 2019-02
L · Dec · R3
Marcin TyburaRating 5.9
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Shogun vs. Smith · 2018-07
L · Dec · R3
Andrei ArlovskiRating 6.2
Decision
UFC 222: Cyborg vs. Kunitskaya · 2018-03

Arlovski · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Martin BudayRating 6.5
Decision
UFC 303: Pereira vs. Prochazka 2 · 2024-06
L · Dec · R3
Waldo Cortes AcostaRating 7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Walker 2 · 2024-01
L · KO · R2
Don'Tale MayesRating 3.1
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Kara-France vs. Albazi · 2023-06
L · Sub · R1
Marcos Rogerio de LimaRating 2.1
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Allen · 2022-10
W · Dec · R3
Jake CollierRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Vera · 2022-04

News & Media

Stefan Struve · Andrei Arlovski
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