UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. The Korean Zombie
Kallang, Singapore
26 Aug 2023
Heavyweight
VS
76%
Acosta
24%
Brzeski
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 3:01
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Acosta
Acosta is a strong favourite at 76% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 45 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Acosta has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 17 points.
Striking split: Acosta throws more volume but Brzeski connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Brzeski has a chin rating of 18 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Acosta
Brzeski
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'4"+
Height
6'3"
78"
Reach
78"
34
Age
34
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Acosta
Brzeski
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
65.8
21.3
55.7
Performance Avg
20.7
42
Quality of Victory
25
100
Momentum Score
30
Acosta
Brzeski
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.4
2.3
50%
Strike Accuracy
50%
6.5
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.3
5 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
9
Head
1
3
Body
3
3
Leg
10
RangeRange
12Distance14
3Clinch0
0Ground0
Acosta
Brzeski
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.3
1.2
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.4
0.8
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Acosta
Brzeski
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
94
18
Never stopped
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
0
KO/TKO Losses
3
0
Sub Losses
1
—
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
13/20 fights
Chin rating based on
7/16 fights
Acosta
Brzeski
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
30
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
Acosta
Brzeski
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
0%
5
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
5
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Acosta
Brzeski
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.3
1.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
0.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.4
5.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.3
AcostaBrzeski
Strike Zones
Acosta
Attacking
15 landedAbsorbing
14 absorbedBrzeski
Attacking
14 landedAbsorbing
15 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Acosta targets the head (60% of attacks) — Brzeski absorbs 60% of strikes there
🎯Brzeski targets the legs (71% of attacks) — Acosta absorbs 71% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Acosta
RND
Brzeski
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Acosta · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.6WinLossTrend
Brzeski · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.2WinLossTrend
Acosta · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Alexander VolkovRating 6.8Decision
UFC 328: Chimaev vs. Strickland · 2026-05
W · KO · R2
Derrick LewisRating 6.5KO/TKO
UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett · 2026-01
W · KO · R1
Shamil GazievRating 5.7KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Hooker · 2025-11
W · KO · R1
Ante DelijaRating 6KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Garcia vs. Onama · 2025-11
L · Dec · R3
Sergei PavlovichRating 6.7Decision
UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Zhang · 2025-08
Brzeski · Last 5
L · Sub · R1
Ryan SpannRating 1.9Submission
UFC 318: Holloway vs. Poirier 3 · 2025-07
L · KO · R1
Kennedy NzechukwuRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC 310: Pantoja vs. Asakura · 2024-12
L · KO · R1
Mick ParkinRating 2.6KO/TKO
UFC 304: Edwards vs. Muhammad 2 · 2024-07
W · Dec · R3
Valter WalkerRating 6.4Decision
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Curtis 2 · 2024-04
L · KO · R1
Waldo Cortes AcostaRating 3KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. The Korean Zombie · 2023-08