UFC Fight Night: Evloev vs. Murphy
London, United Kingdom
21 Mar 2026
Heavyweight
VS
26%
Sutherland
74%
Pericic
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 1:48
Louie
Louie Sutherland
"Vanilla Gorilla"
11 – 5
6'3"76" reachOrthodox32 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 29
Brando
Brando Pericic
"The Balkan Bear"
7 – 1
Knockout Artist3-fight win streak31 yrsOrthodox79" reach6'5"
CFR 82

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Pericic

Pericic is a strong favourite at 74% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 53 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Pericic has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 33 points.

Pericic has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Sutherland's chin rating of 66 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Sutherland
Pericic
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"
Height
+6'5"
76"
Reach
+79"
32
Age
+31
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Sutherland
Pericic
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
28.7
82.1
28.3
Performance Avg
75.0
25
Quality of Victory
58
27
Momentum Score
100
Sutherland
Pericic
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.8
7.6
59%
Strike Accuracy
63%
0.7
Striking Style Score (/10)
10.0
0 KOs
KO Finishes
3 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
5
Head
13
2
Body
6
2
Leg
0
RangeRange
7Distance5
2Clinch9
0Ground5
Sutherland
Pericic
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.8
Sub Attempts / fight
—
2.4
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.0
1.7
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Sutherland
Pericic
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
66
100
Moderate
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
3/16 fights
Chin rating based on
3/8 fights
Sutherland
Pericic
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
27
100
Current form
3-fight 🔥 win streak
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R1
Last 5
W · KO · R2
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
Sutherland
Pericic
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
100%
0
KO / TKO Wins
3
0
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Sutherland
Pericic
Striking0.7 / 10.0Volume8.7 / 2.0Grappling2.4 / 0.0Wrestling1.7 / 0.0Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure1.0 / 10.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
10.0
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
1.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
10.0
8.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
2.0
Sutherland
Strike Zones
Pericic
Sutherland
Attacking
5HEAD2BODY2LEGS9 landed
Absorbing
13HEAD6BODY0LEGS19 absorbed
Pericic
Attacking
13HEAD6BODY0LEGS19 landed
Absorbing
5HEAD2BODY2LEGS9 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Sutherland targets the head (56% of attacks) — Pericic absorbs 56% of strikes there
🎯Pericic targets the head (68% of attacks) — Sutherland absorbs 68% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Sutherland
RND
Pericic
0/0R00/0

Sutherland · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.1
0103.4L3.9L4.9W2025-102026-032026-05
WinLossTrend

Pericic · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.3
0105.0W5.0W5.9W2025-092026-032026-05
WinLossTrend

Sutherland · Last 3

W · Dec · R3
Tai TuivasaRating 4.9
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Della Maddalena vs. Prates · 2026-05
L · KO · R1
Brando PericicRating 3.9
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Evloev vs. Murphy · 2026-03
L · Sub · R1
Valter WalkerRating 3.4
Submission
UFC 321: Aspinall vs. Gane · 2025-10

Pericic · Last 3

W · KO · R2
Shamil GazievRating 5.9
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Della Maddalena vs. Prates · 2026-05
W · KO · R1
Louie SutherlandRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Evloev vs. Murphy · 2026-03
W · KO · R1
Elisha EllisonRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Ulberg vs. Reyes · 2025-09

News & Media

Louie Sutherland · Brando Pericic
← Back to fights