METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Evloev vs. Murphy
London, United Kingdom
21 Mar 2026
Heavyweight
VS
23%
Sutherland
77%
Pericic
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 1:48
CFR 82
★ Official Result
Brando PericicwinsKO/TKOR1 · 1:48
def. Louie Sutherland · UFC Fight Night: Evloev vs. Murphy
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Pericic
→
Actual result
Pericic wins
KO/TKO · R1
Pre-fight analysis
Pericic is a strong favourite at 77% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 58 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Pericic has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 33 points.
Risk flags
Sutherland's chin rating of 54 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
SutherlandPericic
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Sutherland
Pericic
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"
Height
+6'5"
76"
Reach
+79"
32
Age
32
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Sutherland
Pericic
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
23.9
82.1
25.0
Performance Avg
75.0
25
Quality of Victory
58
17
Momentum Score
100
Sutherland
Pericic
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.5
/ 10
10.0
/ 10
0.8
Style: Pressure
10.0
8.5
Style: Volume
2.0
0 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
3 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
5
Head
13
2
Body
6
2
Leg
0
RangeRange
7Distance5
2Clinch9
0Ground5
Sutherland
Pericic
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.4
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
1.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Sutherland
Pericic
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
54
100
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
2
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
4/16 fights
Chin rating based on
3/8 fights
Sutherland
Pericic
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
17
100
Current form
3-fight 🔥 win streak
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R1
Last 5
W · KO · R2
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
Sutherland
Pericic
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
100%
0
KO / TKO Wins
3
0
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Sutherland
Pericic
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
10.0
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
0.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
10.0
8.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
2.0
SutherlandPericic
Strike Zones
Sutherland
Attacking
9 landedAbsorbing
19 absorbedPericic
Attacking
19 landedAbsorbing
9 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Sutherland targets the head (56% of attacks) — Pericic absorbs 56% of strikes there
🎯Pericic targets the head (68% of attacks) — Sutherland absorbs 68% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Sutherland
RND
Pericic
0/0R00/0
Sutherland · Last 4
L · Sub · R1
Jose MontanhaSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Gamrot vs. Salkilld · 2026-08
W · Dec · R3
Tai TuivasaDecision
UFC Fight Night: Della Maddalena vs. Prates · 2026-05
L · KO · R1
Brando PericicKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Evloev vs. Murphy · 2026-03
L · Sub · R1
Valter WalkerSubmission
UFC 321: Aspinall vs. Gane · 2025-10
Pericic · Last 3
W · KO · R2
Shamil GazievKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Della Maddalena vs. Prates · 2026-05
W · KO · R1
Louie SutherlandKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Evloev vs. Murphy · 2026-03
W · KO · R1
Elisha EllisonKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Ulberg vs. Reyes · 2025-09