METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Evloev vs. Murphy
London, United Kingdom
21 Mar 2026
Heavyweight
VS
26%
Sutherland
74%
Pericic
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 1:48
CFR 82
★ Official Result
Brando PericicwinsKO/TKOR1 · 1:48
def. Louie Sutherland · UFC Fight Night: Evloev vs. Murphy
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Pericic
→
Actual result
Pericic wins
KO/TKO · R1
Pre-fight analysis
Pericic is a strong favourite at 74% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 53 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Pericic has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 33 points.
Pericic has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Sutherland's chin rating of 66 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
SutherlandPericic
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Sutherland
Pericic
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"
Height
+6'5"
76"
Reach
+79"
32
Age
+31
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Sutherland
Pericic
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
28.7
82.1
28.3
Performance Avg
75.0
25
Quality of Victory
58
27
Momentum Score
100
Sutherland
Pericic
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.8
7.6
59%
Strike Accuracy
63%
0.7
Striking Style Score (/10)
10.0
0 KOs
KO Finishes
3 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
5
Head
13
2
Body
6
2
Leg
0
RangeRange
7Distance5
2Clinch9
0Ground5
Sutherland
Pericic
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
—
—
0.8
Sub Attempts / fight
—
2.4
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.0
1.7
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Sutherland
Pericic
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
66
100
Moderate
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
3/16 fights
Chin rating based on
3/8 fights
Sutherland
Pericic
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
27
100
Current form
3-fight 🔥 win streak
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R1
Last 5
W · KO · R2
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
Sutherland
Pericic
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
100%
0
KO / TKO Wins
3
0
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Sutherland
Pericic
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
10.0
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
1.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
10.0
8.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
2.0
SutherlandPericic
Strike Zones
Sutherland
Attacking
9 landedAbsorbing
19 absorbedPericic
Attacking
19 landedAbsorbing
9 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Sutherland targets the head (56% of attacks) — Pericic absorbs 56% of strikes there
🎯Pericic targets the head (68% of attacks) — Sutherland absorbs 68% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Sutherland
RND
Pericic
0/0R00/0
Sutherland · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.1WinLossTrend
Pericic · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.3WinLossTrend
Sutherland · Last 3
W · Dec · R3
Tai TuivasaRating 4.9Decision
UFC Fight Night: Della Maddalena vs. Prates · 2026-05
L · KO · R1
Brando PericicRating 3.9KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Evloev vs. Murphy · 2026-03
L · Sub · R1
Valter WalkerRating 3.4Submission
UFC 321: Aspinall vs. Gane · 2025-10
Pericic · Last 3
W · KO · R2
Shamil GazievRating 5.9KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Della Maddalena vs. Prates · 2026-05
W · KO · R1
Louie SutherlandRating 5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Evloev vs. Murphy · 2026-03
W · KO · R1
Elisha EllisonRating 5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Ulberg vs. Reyes · 2025-09