UFC 262: Oliveira vs. Chandler
Houston, USA
15 May 2021
Women's Flyweight
VS
24%
Mazany
76%
Cachoeira
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 4:51
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Cachoeira
Cachoeira is a strong favourite at 76% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 38 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Cachoeira has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 15 points.
Striking split: Cachoeira throws more volume but Mazany connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Mazany's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Cachoeira has a chin rating of 24 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Mazany
Cachoeira
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"
Height
+5'7"
68"+
Reach
65"
37
Age
37
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Mazany
Cachoeira
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
17.1
54.7
32.5
Performance Avg
46.6
38
Quality of Victory
52
30
Momentum Score
82
Mazany
Cachoeira
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.8
2.3
53%
Strike Accuracy
46%
5.5
Striking Style Score (/10)
8.8
1 KOs
KO Finishes
4 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
12
Head
23
6
Body
3
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
12Distance18
1Clinch6
6Ground2
Mazany
Cachoeira
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
1.2
/ 10
0.5
/ 10
0.8
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.3
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Mazany
Cachoeira
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
24
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
KO risk
4
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
4
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
8/13 fights
Chin rating based on
14/21 fights
Mazany
Cachoeira
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
30
82
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R3
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
Last 5
Upcoming
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
L · Sub · R3
Mazany
Cachoeira
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
80%
1
KO / TKO Wins
4
0
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Mazany
Cachoeira
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
8.8
1.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.5
0.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.3
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.8
4.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
2.4
MazanyCachoeira
Strike Zones
Mazany
Attacking
19 landedAbsorbing
26 absorbedCachoeira
Attacking
26 landedAbsorbing
19 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Mazany targets the head (63% of attacks) — Cachoeira absorbs 63% of strikes there
🎯Cachoeira targets the head (88% of attacks) — Mazany absorbs 88% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Mazany
RND
Cachoeira
0/0R00/0
Mazany · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.6WinLossTrend
Cachoeira · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.9WinLossTrend
Mazany · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Shanna YoungRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Vera · 2022-04
L · KO · R2
Priscila CachoeiraRating 3.7KO/TKO
UFC 262: Oliveira vs. Chandler · 2021-05
W · KO · R3
Rachael OstovichRating 5.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Clark · 2020-11
L · KO · R1
Julia AvilaRating 2.3KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Eye vs. Calvillo · 2020-06
L · KO · R1
Macy ChiassonRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC 235: Jones vs. Smith · 2019-03
Cachoeira · Last 5
Upcoming
Chelsea ChandlerUFC Fight Night: Muhammad vs. Bonfim · 2026-06
L · Dec · R3
Klaudia SygulaRating 5.9Decision
UFC Fight Night: Bautista vs. Oliveira · 2026-02
L · KO · R1
Joselyne EdwardsRating 2.9KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Hernandez · 2025-08
W · KO · R1
Josiane NunesRating 5.8KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Dolidze 2 · 2025-03
L · Sub · R3
Jasmine JasudaviciusRating 4.9Submission
UFC 297: Strickland vs. Du Plessis · 2024-01