UFC 91: Couture vs Lesnar
Las Vegas, USA
15 Nov 2008
Middleweight
VS
59%
Maia
41%
Quarry
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 2:13
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Maia
This is a genuine toss-up — Maia at 59% vs Quarry at 41% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 10 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Quarry has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Maia's chin rating of 38 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Quarry has a chin rating of 44 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Maia
Quarry
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"+
Height
6'0"
72"
Reach
72"
48+
Age
54
Southpaw
Stance
Open Stance
Maia
Quarry
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
32.4
22.7
50.8
Performance Avg
57.1
40
Quality of Victory
49
100
Momentum Score
100
Maia
Quarry
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.5
2.3
41%
Strike Accuracy
46%
1.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
8.5
1 KOs
KO Finishes
5 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
2
Head
0
0
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
0Distance0
0Clinch0
2Ground0
Maia
Quarry
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
5.1
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.7
3.6
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.5
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Maia
Quarry
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
38
44
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
2
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.5 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
33/39 fights
Chin rating based on
10/16 fights
Maia
Quarry
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
100
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Sub · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
Maia
Quarry
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
55%
71%
1
KO / TKO Wins
5
11
Submission Wins
0
10
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Maia
Quarry
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
8.5
5.1
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.7
3.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.5
5.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.1
5.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.7
MaiaQuarry
Strike Zones
Maia
Attacking
2 landedAbsorbing
0 absorbedQuarry
Attacking
0 landedAbsorbing
2 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Maia targets the head (100% of attacks) — Quarry absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Maia
RND
Quarry
0/0R00/0
Maia · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.0WinLossTrend
Quarry · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.0WinLossTrend
Maia · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Belal MuhammadRating 6.6Decision
UFC 263: Adesanya vs. Vettori 2 · 2021-06
L · KO · R1
Gilbert BurnsRating 1.7KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lee vs. Oliveira · 2020-03
W · Sub · R3
Ben AskrenRating 5.2Submission
UFC Fight Night: Maia vs. Askren · 2019-10
W · Dec · R3
Anthony Rocco MartinRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Ngannou vs. Dos Santos · 2019-06
W · Sub · R1
Lyman GoodRating 5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Assuncao vs. Moraes 2 · 2019-02
Quarry · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Jorge RiveraRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Florian vs Gomi · 2010-03
W · Dec · R3
Tim CredeurRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Diaz vs Guillard · 2009-09
W · KO · R1
Jason MacDonaldRating 5KO/TKO
UFC 97: Redemption · 2009-04
L · Sub · R1
Demian MaiaRating 1.5Submission
UFC 91: Couture vs Lesnar · 2008-11
W · Dec · R3
Kalib StarnesRating 4.5Decision
UFC 83: Serra vs St-Pierre 2 · 2008-04