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All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC Fight Night: Muhammad vs. Bonfim
Las Vegas, USA
6 Jun 2026
Light Heavyweight
VS
63%
Baraniewski
37%
Tafa
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 1:25
Iwo
Iwo Baraniewski
"Rudy"
80
6'0"73" reachOrthodox27 yrs3-fight win streakKnockout Artist
CFR 83
Junior
Junior Tafa
"The Juggernaut"
75
Knockout Artist29 yrsOrthodox75" reach6'3"
CFR 49
★ Official Result
Iwo BaraniewskiwinsKO/TKOR1 · 1:25
def. Junior Tafa · UFC Fight Night: Muhammad vs. Bonfim

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Baraniewski
Iwo Baraniewski by TKO, Round 1. Baraniewski sets a ferocious early pace, backs
Actual result
Baraniewski wins
KO/TKO · R1
Pre-fight analysis

The undefeated Polish finisher who knocked someone out in 28 seconds faces his first serious test at light heavyweight.

Iwo Baraniewski is a perfect 8-0 and has not yet seen a third round as a professional. The Polish light heavyweight finished Austen Lane in 28 seconds on the UFC London card in March — not a gift finish, not a sloppy opponent, but a calculated first-punch obliteration of a UFC veteran. He is young (27), tall, and fights with a pressure-intensity that our model captures at 10.0 out of 10 on the str…

Baraniewski intel

Baraniewski prepared for Elekana — a grappler/submission specialist — and now pivots to a different challenge in Tafa, a natural heavyweight striker. The short-notice adjustment tests his camp's tactical flexibility. No injury news; he appears in excellent physical condition.

Tafa intel

Tafa steps in on short notice replacing Elekana, returning to a weight class where he was previously submitted. His power is his primary asset and he will need to land something significant early to derail the Baraniewski freight train.

Key angles

Can Tafa land his power shot before Baraniewski's tempo and output overwhelm him?

Baraniewski's zero grappling game means if Tafa can clinch and rough him up, the dynamic shifts

Short-notice replacement dynamics — Tafa may be underprepared for Baraniewski's specific style

Baraniewski's ceiling test — 28-second finishes against UFC vets are impressive, but heavyweight-sized power is different

Risk flags

Tafa is a natural heavyweight and a single clean shot could change the fight instantly

Baraniewski has never been tested deep into a fight — his chin and gas tank remain genuinely unknown quantities

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
BaraniewskiTafa
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
Strike Accuracy
Baraniewski
Tafa
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"
Height
+6'3"
73"
Reach
+75"
27+
Age
29
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Baraniewski
Tafa
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
82.8
48.6
76.0
Performance Avg
48.3
60
Quality of Victory
58
100
Momentum Score
39
Baraniewski
Tafa
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
10.0
/ 10
10.0
/ 10
10.0
Style: Pressure
8.0
2.0
Style: Volume
0.7
3 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
3 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
2
Head
0
1
Body
0
3
Leg
0
RangeRange
4Distance0
0Clinch0
2Ground0
Baraniewski
Tafa
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
🥊
Pure striking matchup
Neither fighter has significant grappling in their history
0
Submission wins
0
Baraniewski
Tafa
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
100
18
Never stopped
Verdict
KO risk
0
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
3
KO round context
Avg R1.5 stoppage
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
Strikes absorbed / min
4/8 fights
Chin rating based on
9/12 fights
Baraniewski
Tafa
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
39
3-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
Upcoming
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
L · Sub · R2
L · Sub · R2
W · KO · R2
Baraniewski
Tafa
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
100%
3
KO / TKO Wins
3
0
Submission Wins
0
0
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Baraniewski
Tafa
Striking10.0 / 10.0Volume2.0 / 0.7Grappling0.0 / 0.0Wrestling0.0 / 0.0Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure10.0 / 8.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
10.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
10.0
0.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
0.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
10.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.0
2.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.7
Baraniewski
Strike Zones
Tafa
Baraniewski
Attacking
2HEAD1BODY3LEGS6 landed
Absorbing
0HEAD0BODY0LEGS0 absorbed
Tafa
Attacking
0HEAD0BODY0LEGS0 landed
Absorbing
2HEAD1BODY3LEGS6 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Baraniewski targets the legs (50% of attacks) — Tafa absorbs 50% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Baraniewski
RND
Tafa
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Baraniewski · Last 4

Upcoming
Alonzo Menifield
UFC 331: Van vs. Pantoja 2 · 2026-09
W · KO · R1
Junior Tafa
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Muhammad vs. Bonfim · 2026-06
W · KO · R1
Austen Lane
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Evloev vs. Murphy · 2026-03
W · KO · R1
Ibo Aslan
KO/TKO
UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan 2 · 2025-12

Tafa · Last 5

L · KO · R1
Iwo Baraniewski
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Muhammad vs. Bonfim · 2026-06
W · KO · R1
Kevin Christian
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Della Maddalena vs. Prates · 2026-05
L · Sub · R2
Billy Elekana
Submission
UFC 325: Volkanovski vs. Lopes 2 · 2026-01
L · Sub · R2
Tuco Tokkos
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Teixeira · 2025-07
W · KO · R2
Sean Sharaf
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Taira · 2024-10

News & Media

Iwo Baraniewski · Junior Tafa
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