UFC 293: Adesanya vs. Strickland
Sydney, Australia
9 Sept 2023
Lightweight
VS
87%
Haqparast
13%
Quinones
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Haqparast
Haqparast is a strong favourite at 87% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 41 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Haqparast has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 32 points.
Haqparast has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Haqparast's chin rating of 50 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Haqparast
Quinones
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"+
Height
5'9"
72"+
Reach
70"
30
Age
30
Southpaw
Stance
Southpaw
Haqparast
Quinones
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
48.0
6.9
45.6
Performance Avg
0.0
32
Quality of Victory
0
72
Momentum Score
0
Haqparast
Quinones
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.7
2.3
48%
Strike Accuracy
36%
3.3
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
2 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
46
Head
34
23
Body
11
0
Leg
5
RangeRange
68Distance49
1Clinch1
0Ground0
Haqparast
Quinones
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
1.9
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
1.3
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Haqparast
Quinones
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
50
96
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
2
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
15/24 fights
Chin rating based on
2/10 fights
Haqparast
Quinones
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
72
0
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Haqparast
Quinones
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
20%
0%
2
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
8
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Haqparast
Quinones
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
1.9
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
1.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
3.4
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
7.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
HaqparastQuinones
Strike Zones
Haqparast
Attacking
69 landedAbsorbing
50 absorbedQuinones
Attacking
50 landedAbsorbing
69 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Haqparast targets the head (67% of attacks) — Quinones absorbs 67% of strikes there
🎯Quinones targets the head (68% of attacks) — Haqparast absorbs 68% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Haqparast
RND
Quinones
0/0R00/0
Haqparast · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.9WinLossTrend
Quinones · QOF Timeline
Avg: 6.5WinLossTrend
Haqparast · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Quillan SalkilldRating 3.6KO/TKO
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W · KO · R1
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UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Gutierrez · 2023-12
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UFC 293: Adesanya vs. Strickland · 2023-09
Quinones · Last 2
L · Dec · R3
MarQuel MederosRating 6.8Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Imavov · 2024-02
L · Dec · R3
Nasrat HaqparastRating 6.2Decision
UFC 293: Adesanya vs. Strickland · 2023-09