METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 305: Du Plessis vs. Adesanya
Perth, Australia
17 Aug 2024
Featherweight
VS
52%
Jenkins
48%
Burns
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 3 · 0:48
★ Official Result
Jack JenkinswinsKO/TKOR3 · 0:48
def. Herbert Burns · UFC 305: Du Plessis vs. Adesanya
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Jenkins
→
Actual result
Jenkins wins
KO/TKO · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Jenkins at 52% vs Burns at 48% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Burns has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 26 points.
Risk flags
Jenkins's chin rating of 64 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Burns has a chin rating of 12 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
JenkinsBurns
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Jenkins
Burns
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"
Height
+5'9"
68"
Reach
+73"
32+
Age
38
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
Jenkins
Burns
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
46.1
42.8
41.6
Performance Avg
47.5
31
Quality of Victory
57
66
Momentum Score
39
Jenkins
Burns
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.6
/ 10
5.7
/ 10
3.5
Style: Pressure
8.0
7.1
Style: Volume
0.7
1 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
1 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
12
Head
1
1
Body
1
1
Leg
1
RangeRange
6Distance2
0Clinch1
8Ground0
Jenkins
Burns
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.8
/ 10
4.0
/ 10
1.3
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.8
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
5.0
0
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Jenkins
Burns
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
64
12
Moderate
Verdict
4 consec. KOs
1
KO/TKO Losses
4
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.3 stoppage
4 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
7/18 fights
Chin rating based on
6/17 fights
Jenkins
Burns
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
66
39
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R3
W · KO · R3
L · KO · R2
Last 5
L · KO · R3
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R2
W · Sub · R1
Jenkins
Burns
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
25%
100%
1
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
1
3
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Jenkins
Burns
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.7
1.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.0
1.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.8
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
5.0
3.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.0
7.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.7
JenkinsBurns
Strike Zones
Jenkins
Attacking
14 landedAbsorbing
3 absorbedBurns
Attacking
3 landedAbsorbing
14 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Jenkins targets the head (86% of attacks) — Burns absorbs 86% of strikes there
🎯Burns targets the head (33% of attacks) — Jenkins absorbs 33% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Jenkins
RND
Burns
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Jenkins · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Sean WoodsonDecision
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W · Dec · R3
Ramon TaverasDecision
UFC Fight Night: Ulberg vs. Reyes · 2025-09
L · Sub · R3
Gabriel SantosSubmission
UFC 312: Du Plessis vs. Strickland 2 · 2025-02
W · KO · R3
Herbert BurnsKO/TKO
UFC 305: Du Plessis vs. Adesanya · 2024-08
L · KO · R2
Chepe MariscalKO/TKO
UFC 293: Adesanya vs. Strickland · 2023-09
Burns · Last 5
L · KO · R3
Jack JenkinsKO/TKO
UFC 305: Du Plessis vs. Adesanya · 2024-08
L · KO · R2
Julio ArceKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Fiorot · 2024-03
L · KO · R2
Bill AlgeoKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. Rodriguez · 2022-07
L · KO · R2
Daniel PinedaKO/TKO
UFC 252: Miocic vs. Cormier 3 · 2020-08
W · Sub · R1
Evan DunhamSubmission
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