METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 305: Du Plessis vs. Adesanya
Perth, Australia
17 Aug 2024
Featherweight
VS
55%
Jenkins
45%
Burns
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 3 · 0:48
★ Official Result
Jack JenkinswinsKO/TKOR3 · 0:48
def. Herbert Burns · UFC 305: Du Plessis vs. Adesanya
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Jenkins
→
Actual result
Jenkins wins
KO/TKO · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Jenkins at 55% vs Burns at 45% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 9 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Burns has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 26 points.
Jenkins has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Jenkins's chin rating of 66 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Burns has a chin rating of 12 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
JenkinsBurns
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Jenkins
Burns
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"
Height
+5'9"
68"
Reach
+73"
32+
Age
38
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
Jenkins
Burns
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
51.3
42.8
45.4
Performance Avg
47.5
31
Quality of Victory
57
81
Momentum Score
39
Jenkins
Burns
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.8
0.6
61%
Strike Accuracy
42%
3.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.7
1 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
12
Head
1
1
Body
1
1
Leg
1
RangeRange
6Distance2
0Clinch1
8Ground0
Jenkins
Burns
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.8
/ 10
4.0
/ 10
1.3
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.8
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
5.0
0
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Jenkins
Burns
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
66
12
Moderate
Verdict
4 consec. KOs
1
KO/TKO Losses
4
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.3 stoppage
3 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
6/18 fights
Chin rating based on
6/17 fights
Jenkins
Burns
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
81
39
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R3
W · KO · R3
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R3
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R2
W · Sub · R1
Jenkins
Burns
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
25%
100%
1
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
1
3
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Jenkins
Burns
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.7
1.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.0
1.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.8
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
5.0
3.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.0
7.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.7
JenkinsBurns
Strike Zones
Jenkins
Attacking
14 landedAbsorbing
3 absorbedBurns
Attacking
3 landedAbsorbing
14 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Jenkins targets the head (86% of attacks) — Burns absorbs 86% of strikes there
🎯Burns targets the head (33% of attacks) — Jenkins absorbs 33% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Jenkins
RND
Burns
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Jenkins · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.7WinLossTrend
Burns · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.3WinLossTrend
Jenkins · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Ramon TaverasRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Ulberg vs. Reyes · 2025-09
L · Sub · R3
Gabriel SantosRating 4.7Submission
UFC 312: Du Plessis vs. Strickland 2 · 2025-02
W · KO · R3
Herbert BurnsRating 5.9KO/TKO
UFC 305: Du Plessis vs. Adesanya · 2024-08
L · KO · R2
Chepe MariscalRating 3.8KO/TKO
UFC 293: Adesanya vs. Strickland · 2023-09
W · Dec · R3
Jamall EmmersRating 5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Topuria · 2023-06
Burns · Last 5
L · KO · R3
Jack JenkinsRating 4.8KO/TKO
UFC 305: Du Plessis vs. Adesanya · 2024-08
L · KO · R2
Julio ArceRating 3.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Fiorot · 2024-03
L · KO · R2
Bill AlgeoRating 3KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. Rodriguez · 2022-07
L · KO · R2
Daniel PinedaRating 3.6KO/TKO
UFC 252: Miocic vs. Cormier 3 · 2020-08
W · Sub · R1
Evan DunhamRating 5Submission
UFC 250: Nunes vs. Spencer · 2020-06