★ Championship Bout · Ultimate Fighter 4 Middleweight Tournament
The Ultimate Fighter: The Comeback Finale
Las Vegas, USA
11 Nov 2006
Ultimate Fighter 4 Middleweight Tournament
VS
58%
Lutter
42%
Cote
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 2:18
TL
Travis Lutter
"The Serial Killer"
10 – 6
5'11"75" reachOrthodox53 yrs2-fight slidePressure Fighter
CFR 22
PC
Patrick Cote
"The Predator"
23 – 11
Well-Rounded2-fight slide46 yrsOrthodox75" reach5'11"
CFR 16

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Lutter

This is a genuine toss-up — Lutter at 58% vs Cote at 42% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Lutter has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 40 points.

Cote has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Lutter's chin rating of 52 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Cote has a chin rating of 8 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Lutter
Cote
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"
Height
5'11"
75"
Reach
75"
53
Age
+46
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Lutter
Cote
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
22.2
16.1
59.8
Performance Avg
41.8
78
Quality of Victory
38
59
Momentum Score
79
Lutter
Cote
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.0
1.0
10%
Strike Accuracy
49%
5.7
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.0
1 KOs
KO Finishes
4 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
0
Head
0
0
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
0Distance0
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Lutter
Cote
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.2
4.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.2
2.8
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.8
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Lutter
Cote
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
52
8
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
2
2
Sub Losses
3
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R3.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
6/16 fights
Chin rating based on
21/34 fights
Lutter
Cote
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
59
79
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R2
L · Sub · R2
W · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R3
W · KO · R2
W · KO · R3
W · Dec · R3
Lutter
Cote
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
40%
1
KO / TKO Wins
4
1
Submission Wins
0
0
Decision Wins
6

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Lutter
Cote
Striking5.7 / 5.0Volume0.7 / 5.0Grappling4.0 / 1.2Wrestling2.8 / 0.8Submission5.0 / 0.0Pressure8.0 / 4.2
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.0
4.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.2
2.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.8
5.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
8.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.2
0.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.0

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Lutter
RND
Cote
0/0R00/0

Lutter · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.0
0105.2W2.8L5.5L5.0W2.8L2.8L2004-102005-042005-082006-112007-022008-04
WinLossTrend

Cote · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.6
0105.5L4.0L5.5L1.5L4.5W5.0W5.0W4.5W2.8L2.8L5.5L5.5L4.0W4.5W4.5W6.1L4.5W5.5W5.2W4.0L5.5L2004-102008-012012-112016-012017-04
WinLossTrend

Lutter · Last 5

L · KO · R2
Rich FranklinRating 2.8
KO/TKO
UFC 83: Serra vs St-Pierre 2 · 2008-04
L · Sub · R2
Anderson SilvaRating 2.8
Submission
UFC 67: All or Nothing · 2007-02
W · Sub · R1
Patrick CoteRating 5
Submission
The Ultimate Fighter: The Comeback Finale · 2006-11
L · Dec · R3
Trevor PrangleyRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 54: Boiling Point · 2005-08
L · Sub · R2
Matt LindlandRating 2.8
Submission
UFC 52: Couture vs Liddell 2 · 2005-04

Cote · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Thiago AlvesRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 210: Cormier vs. Johnson 2 · 2017-04
L · KO · R3
Donald CerroneRating 4
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: MacDonald vs Thompson · 2016-06
W · KO · R2
Ben SaundersRating 5.2
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dillashaw vs Cruz · 2016-01
W · KO · R3
Joshua BurkmanRating 5.5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs Oliveira · 2015-08
W · Dec · R3
Joe RiggsRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 186: Johnson vs Horiguchi · 2015-04

News & Media

Travis Lutter · Patrick Cote
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