METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
★ Championship Bout · Ultimate Fighter 4 Middleweight Tournament
The Ultimate Fighter: The Comeback Finale
Las Vegas, USA
11 Nov 2006
Ultimate Fighter 4 Middleweight Tournament
VS
58%
Lutter
42%
Cote
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 2:18
TL
CFR 22
★ Official Result
Travis LutterwinsSubmissionR1 · 2:18
def. Patrick Cote · The Ultimate Fighter: The Comeback Finale
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Lutter
→
Actual result
Lutter wins
Submission · R1
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Lutter at 58% vs Cote at 42% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Lutter has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 40 points.
Cote has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Lutter's chin rating of 52 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Cote has a chin rating of 8 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
LutterCote
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Lutter
Cote
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"
Height
5'11"
75"
Reach
75"
53
Age
+46
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Lutter
Cote
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
22.2
16.1
59.8
Performance Avg
41.8
78
Quality of Victory
38
59
Momentum Score
79
Lutter
Cote
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.0
1.0
10%
Strike Accuracy
49%
5.7
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.0
1 KOs
KO Finishes
4 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
0
Head
0
0
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
0Distance0
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Lutter
Cote
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.2
4.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.2
2.8
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.8
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Lutter
Cote
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
52
8
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
2
2
Sub Losses
3
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R3.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
6/16 fights
Chin rating based on
21/34 fights
Lutter
Cote
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
59
79
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R2
L · Sub · R2
W · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R3
W · KO · R2
W · KO · R3
W · Dec · R3
Lutter
Cote
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
40%
1
KO / TKO Wins
4
1
Submission Wins
0
0
Decision Wins
6
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Lutter
Cote
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.0
4.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.2
2.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.8
5.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
8.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.2
0.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.0
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Lutter
RND
Cote
0/0R00/0
Lutter · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.0WinLossTrend
Cote · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.6WinLossTrend
Lutter · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Rich FranklinRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC 83: Serra vs St-Pierre 2 · 2008-04
L · Sub · R2
Anderson SilvaRating 2.8Submission
UFC 67: All or Nothing · 2007-02
W · Sub · R1
Patrick CoteRating 5Submission
The Ultimate Fighter: The Comeback Finale · 2006-11
L · Dec · R3
Trevor PrangleyRating 5.5Decision
UFC 54: Boiling Point · 2005-08
L · Sub · R2
Matt LindlandRating 2.8Submission
UFC 52: Couture vs Liddell 2 · 2005-04
Cote · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Thiago AlvesRating 5.5Decision
UFC 210: Cormier vs. Johnson 2 · 2017-04
L · KO · R3
Donald CerroneRating 4KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: MacDonald vs Thompson · 2016-06
W · KO · R2
Ben SaundersRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dillashaw vs Cruz · 2016-01
W · KO · R3
Joshua BurkmanRating 5.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs Oliveira · 2015-08
W · Dec · R3
Joe RiggsRating 4.5Decision
UFC 186: Johnson vs Horiguchi · 2015-04