UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Aldana
Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates
3 Oct 2020
Bantamweight
VS
95%
Phillips
5%
Else
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 0:44
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Phillips
Phillips is a strong favourite at 95% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 46 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Phillips has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 33 points.
Striking split: Phillips throws more volume but Else connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Else has a chin rating of 56 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Phillips
Else
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"
Height
+5'9"
72"+
Reach
71"
30+
Age
39
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
Phillips
Else
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
48.8
2.5
44.0
Performance Avg
0.0
33
Quality of Victory
0
58
Momentum Score
0
Phillips
Else
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.2
0.8
38%
Strike Accuracy
47%
2.9
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
1 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
6
Head
0
0
Body
2
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
1Distance2
0Clinch0
5Ground0
Phillips
Else
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
2.9
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.0
2.0
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Phillips
Else
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
92
56
Never stopped
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
0
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
0
—
KO round context
Avg R1.5 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
10/17 fights
Chin rating based on
2/16 fights
Phillips
Else
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
58
0
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R2
Phillips
Else
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
33%
0%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
0
4
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Phillips
Else
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
2.9
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
2.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
1.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.1
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
6.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
PhillipsElse
Strike Zones
Phillips
Attacking
6 landedAbsorbing
2 absorbedElse
Attacking
2 landedAbsorbing
6 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Phillips targets the head (100% of attacks) — Else absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Else targets the body (100% of attacks) — Phillips absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Phillips
RND
Else
0/0R00/0
Phillips · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.6WinLossTrend
Else · QOF Timeline
Avg: 2.8WinLossTrend
Phillips · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Charles JourdainRating 6.3Decision
UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Malott · 2026-04
L · Dec · R3
Vinicius OliveiraRating 6.5Decision
UFC 318: Holloway vs. Poirier 3 · 2025-07
L · Dec · R3
Rob FontRating 6.7Decision
UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs. Pereira · 2024-10
W · Dec · R3
Pedro MunhozRating 5Decision
UFC 299: O'Malley vs. Vera 2 · 2024-03
W · Dec · R3
Raoni BarcelosRating 5.3Decision
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Font · 2023-08
Else · Last 2
L · KO · R1
AoriqilengRating 2.3KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lemos vs. Andrade · 2022-04
L · KO · R2
Kyler PhillipsRating 3.4KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Aldana · 2020-10
