METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC on FOX: Diaz vs Miller
East Rutherford, USA
5 May 2012
Lightweight
VS
48%
Castillo
52%
Cholish
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Danny CastillowinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. John Cholish · UFC on FOX: Diaz vs Miller
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Cholish
→
Actual result
Castillo wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Castillo at 48% vs Cholish at 52% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Cholish has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 21 points.
Risk flags
Castillo's chin rating of 46 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
CastilloCholish
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Castillo
Cholish
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"
Height
+5'11"
71"
Reach
+74"
47
Age
+42
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Castillo
Cholish
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
17.2
18.7
40.6
Performance Avg
46.3
34
Quality of Victory
55
89
Momentum Score
43
Castillo
Cholish
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.9
/ 10
10.0
/ 10
3.5
Style: Pressure
8.0
6.7
Style: Volume
0.7
2 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
1 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
9
Head
7
2
Body
0
8
Leg
2
RangeRange
9Distance8
7Clinch1
3Ground0
Castillo
Cholish
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.7
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
1.2
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Castillo
Cholish
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
46
86
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
2
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
14/27 fights
Chin rating based on
3/11 fights
Castillo
Cholish
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
89
43
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
Last 5
L · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
Castillo
Cholish
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
29%
100%
2
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
0
5
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Castillo
Cholish
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
10.0
1.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
1.2
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
3.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.0
6.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.7
CastilloCholish
Strike Zones
Castillo
Attacking
19 landedAbsorbing
9 absorbedCholish
Attacking
9 landedAbsorbing
19 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Castillo targets the head (47% of attacks) — Cholish absorbs 47% of strikes there
🎯Cholish targets the head (78% of attacks) — Castillo absorbs 78% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Castillo
RND
Cholish
0/0R00/0
Castillo · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Nik LentzDecision
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Jim MillerDecision
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L · KO · R2
Paul FelderKO/TKO
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L · Dec · R3
Tony FergusonDecision
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W · KO · R2
Charlie BrennemanKO/TKO
UFC 172: Jones vs Teixeira · 2014-04
Cholish · Last 3
L · Sub · R2
Gleison TibauSubmission
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L · Dec · R3
Danny CastilloDecision
UFC on FOX: Diaz vs Miller · 2012-05
W · KO · R2
Mitch ClarkeKO/TKO
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