METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC on FOX: Diaz vs Miller
East Rutherford, USA
5 May 2012
Lightweight
VS
48%
Castillo
52%
Cholish
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Danny CastillowinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. John Cholish · UFC on FOX: Diaz vs Miller
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Cholish
→
Actual result
Castillo wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Castillo at 48% vs Cholish at 52% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Cholish has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 21 points.
Cholish has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Castillo's chin rating of 46 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
CastilloCholish
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Castillo
Cholish
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"
Height
+5'11"
71"
Reach
+74"
46
Age
+42
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Castillo
Cholish
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
17.2
18.7
40.6
Performance Avg
46.3
34
Quality of Victory
55
89
Momentum Score
43
Castillo
Cholish
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.9
1.6
44%
Strike Accuracy
51%
3.9
Striking Style Score (/10)
10.0
2 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
9
Head
7
2
Body
0
8
Leg
2
RangeRange
9Distance8
7Clinch1
3Ground0
Castillo
Cholish
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
0.5
1.7
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.0
1.2
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Castillo
Cholish
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
46
86
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
2
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
14/27 fights
Chin rating based on
3/11 fights
Castillo
Cholish
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
89
43
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
Last 5
L · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
Castillo
Cholish
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
29%
100%
2
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
0
5
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Castillo
Cholish
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
10.0
1.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
1.2
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
3.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.0
6.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.7
CastilloCholish
Strike Zones
Castillo
Attacking
19 landedAbsorbing
9 absorbedCholish
Attacking
9 landedAbsorbing
19 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Castillo targets the head (47% of attacks) — Cholish absorbs 47% of strikes there
🎯Cholish targets the head (78% of attacks) — Castillo absorbs 78% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Castillo
RND
Cholish
0/0R00/0
Castillo · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.8WinLossTrend
Cholish · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.5WinLossTrend
Castillo · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Nik LentzRating 5.5Decision
UFC on FOX: Dos Anjos vs. Cowboy 2 · 2015-12
L · Dec · R3
Jim MillerRating 5.9Decision
UFC on FOX: Dillashaw vs. Barao II · 2015-07
L · KO · R2
Paul FelderRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC 182: Jones vs Cormier · 2015-01
L · Dec · R3
Tony FergusonRating 6Decision
UFC 177: Dillashaw vs Soto · 2014-08
W · KO · R2
Charlie BrennemanRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC 172: Jones vs Teixeira · 2014-04
Cholish · Last 3
L · Sub · R2
Gleison TibauRating 2.8Submission
UFC on FX: Belfort vs. Rockhold · 2013-05
L · Dec · R3
Danny CastilloRating 5.5Decision
UFC on FOX: Diaz vs Miller · 2012-05
W · KO · R2
Mitch ClarkeRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC 140: Jones vs Machida · 2011-12