UFC 250: Nunes vs. Spencer
Las Vegas, USA
6 Jun 2020
Bantamweight
VS
46%
Sterling
54%
Sandhagen
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 1:28
Aljamain
Aljamain Sterling
"Funk Master"
26 – 5
5'7"71" reachOrthodox36 yrs2-fight win streakWell-Rounded
CFR 54
Cory
Cory Sandhagen
18 – 6
Well-Rounded34 yrsSwitch70" reach5'11"
CFR 64

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Sandhagen

This is a genuine toss-up — Sterling at 46% vs Sandhagen at 54% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 10 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Sterling has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Sterling's chin rating of 50 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Sterling
Sandhagen
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"
Height
+5'11"
71"+
Reach
70"
36
Age
+34
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
Sterling
Sandhagen
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
54.2
64.2
54.2
Performance Avg
53.8
38
Quality of Victory
44
71
Momentum Score
100
Sterling
Sandhagen
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.4
1.3
52%
Strike Accuracy
44%
2.7
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.9
2 KOs
KO Finishes
5 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
0
Head
0
0
Body
1
2
Leg
0
RangeRange
2Distance1
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Sterling
Sandhagen
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
3.2
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.6
2.3
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.1
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Sterling
Sandhagen
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
50
80
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
2
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
—
4 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
23/31 fights
Chin rating based on
17/24 fights
Sterling
Sandhagen
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
71
100
2-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
W · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
Last 5
Upcoming
L · Dec · R5
W · KO · R2
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
Sterling
Sandhagen
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
33%
55%
2
KO / TKO Wins
5
4
Submission Wins
1
12
Decision Wins
5

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Sterling
Sandhagen
Striking2.7 / 5.9Volume6.5 / 4.3Grappling3.2 / 1.6Wrestling2.3 / 1.1Submission2.2 / 0.9Pressure4.7 / 5.9
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.9
3.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.6
2.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.1
2.2
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.9
4.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.9
6.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.3
Sterling
Strike Zones
Sandhagen
Sterling
Attacking
0HEAD0BODY2LEGS2 landed
Absorbing
0HEAD1BODY0LEGS1 absorbed
Sandhagen
Attacking
0HEAD1BODY0LEGS1 landed
Absorbing
0HEAD0BODY2LEGS2 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Sterling targets the legs (100% of attacks) — Sandhagen absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Sandhagen targets the body (100% of attacks) — Sterling absorbs 100% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Sterling
RND
Sandhagen
0/0R00/0

Sterling · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.1
0104.7W5.5W5.5W5.2W5.5L5.5L4.5W4.5W1.5L4.5W5.3W4.5W5.0W6.5W5.9W6.0W5.2W6.0W3.6L5.0W6.8L5.9W5.5W2014-022017-042019-062023-082026-04
WinLossTrend

Sandhagen · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.5
0105.2W5.2W6.1W4.5W4.5W2.5L5.1W5.0W5.6L7.0L5.7W5.3W5.7W6.8L6.2W6.8L2018-012019-082021-072023-082025-10
WinLossTrend

Sterling · Last 5

W · Dec · R5
Youssef ZalalRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs. Zalal · 2026-04
W · Dec · R5
Brian OrtegaRating 5.9
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Zhang · 2025-08
L · Dec · R3
Movsar EvloevRating 6.8
Decision
UFC 310: Pantoja vs. Asakura · 2024-12
W · Dec · R3
Calvin KattarRating 5
Decision
UFC 300: Pereira vs. Hill · 2024-04
L · KO · R2
Sean O'MalleyRating 3.6
KO/TKO
UFC 292: Sterling vs. O'Malley · 2023-08

Sandhagen · Last 5

Upcoming
Mario Bautista
UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2 · 2026-07
L · Dec · R5
Merab DvalishviliRating 6.8
Decision
UFC 320: Ankalaev vs. Pereira 2 · 2025-10
W · KO · R2
Deiveson FigueiredoRating 6.2
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Figueiredo · 2025-05
L · Dec · R5
Umar NurmagomedovRating 6.8
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Nurmagomedov · 2024-08
W · Dec · R5
Rob FontRating 5.7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Font · 2023-08

News & Media

Aljamain Sterling · Cory Sandhagen
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