UFC 19: Ultimate Young Guns
Bay St. Louis, USA
5 Mar 1999
Middleweight
VS
44%
Ortiz
56%
Mezger
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 9:56
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Mezger
This is a genuine toss-up — Ortiz at 44% vs Mezger at 56% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Mezger has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Ortiz's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Ortiz
Mezger
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"+
Height
6'1"
74"
Reach
51+
Age
58
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Ortiz
Mezger
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
20.4
26.1
57.3
Performance Avg
69.1
57
Quality of Victory
62
85
Momentum Score
95
Ortiz
Mezger
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.0
1.7
51%
Strike Accuracy
61%
5.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
6.6
7 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
22
Head
1
4
Body
0
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
0Distance1
2Clinch1
24Ground0
Ortiz
Mezger
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
1.9
/ 10
2.6
/ 10
1.3
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.8
1.3
Submission Style (/10)
2.5
2
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Ortiz
Mezger
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
78
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Moderate
5
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.4 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
27/31 fights
Chin rating based on
5/44 fights
Ortiz
Mezger
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
85
95
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R2
W · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R1
W · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R2
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
Ortiz
Mezger
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
60%
75%
7
KO / TKO Wins
2
2
Submission Wins
1
6
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Ortiz
Mezger
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.6
1.9
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.6
1.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.8
1.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.5
5.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.7
3.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.6
OrtizMezger
Strike Zones
Ortiz
Attacking
26 landedAbsorbing
2 absorbedMezger
Attacking
2 landedAbsorbing
26 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Ortiz targets the head (85% of attacks) — Mezger absorbs 85% of strikes there
🎯Mezger targets the head (50% of attacks) — Ortiz absorbs 50% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Ortiz
RND
Mezger
0/0R00/0
Ortiz · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.4WinLossTrend
Mezger · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.1WinLossTrend
Ortiz · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Forrest GriffinRating 5.5Decision
UFC 148: Silva vs Sonnen 2 · 2012-07
L · KO · R1
Rogerio NogueiraRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 140: Jones vs Machida · 2011-12
L · KO · R2
Rashad EvansRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC 133: Evans vs Ortiz 2 · 2011-08
W · Sub · R1
Ryan BaderRating 5Submission
UFC 132: Cruz vs Faber · 2011-07
L · Dec · R3
Matt HamillRating 5.5Decision
UFC 121: Lesnar vs Velasquez · 2010-10
Mezger · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Tito OrtizRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 19: Ultimate Young Guns · 1999-03
W · Sub · R1
Tito OrtizRating 5Submission
UFC 13: The Ultimate Force · 1997-05
W · Dec · R2
Christophe LeningerRating 4.2Decision
UFC 13: The Ultimate Force · 1997-05
W · KO · R1
John DowdyRating 5KO/TKO
UFC 5: The Return of the Beast · 1995-04
W · KO · R1
Jason FairnRating 5KO/TKO
UFC 4: Revenge of the Warriors · 1994-12