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All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs. Jacare
Sao Paulo, Brazil
16 Nov 2019
Light Heavyweight
VS
69%
Blachowicz
31%
Souza
Win Probability
Decision
Round 5 · 5:00
Jan
Jan Blachowicz
2911
6'2"78" reachOrthodox43 yrs3-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 44
JS
Jacare Souza
2610
Pressure Fighter4-fight slide46 yrsOrthodox72" reach6'1"
CFR 20
★ Official Result
Jan BlachowiczwinsDecisionR5 · 5:00
def. Jacare Souza · UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs. Jacare

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Blachowicz
Actual result
Blachowicz wins
Decision · R5
Pre-fight analysis

Blachowicz holds a meaningful edge at 69% per the CFR ratings — but Souza has real paths to victory.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 25 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Risk flags

Blachowicz's chin rating of 32 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Souza has a chin rating of 36 — a potential KO vulnerability.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
BlachowiczSouza
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
Strike Accuracy
Blachowicz
Souza
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'2"+
Height
6'1"
78"+
Reach
72"
43+
Age
46
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Blachowicz
Souza
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
44.0
19.5
51.8
Performance Avg
54.6
48
Quality of Victory
53
20
Momentum Score
56
Blachowicz
Souza
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
5.3
/ 10
5.6
/ 10
5.8
Style: Pressure
7.9
4.5
Style: Volume
2.0
5 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
4 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
11
Head
1
0
Body
0
4
Leg
0
RangeRange
13Distance1
2Clinch0
0Ground0
Blachowicz
Souza
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.3
/ 10
3.8
/ 10
1.6
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.7
1.7
Submission Style (/10)
4.4
2
Submission wins
4
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Blachowicz
Souza
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
32
36
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
2
KO/TKO Losses
2
1
Sub Losses
1
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.5 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
Strikes absorbed / min
23/40 fights
Chin rating based on
16/36 fights
Blachowicz
Souza
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
20
56
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
Upcoming
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Upcoming
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R5
L · Dec · R5
W · KO · R3
Blachowicz
Souza
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
58%
89%
5
KO / TKO Wins
4
2
Submission Wins
4
5
Decision Wins
1

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Blachowicz
Souza
Striking5.3 / 5.6Volume4.5 / 2.0Grappling2.3 / 3.8Wrestling1.6 / 2.7Submission1.7 / 4.4Pressure5.8 / 7.9
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.6
2.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.8
1.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.7
1.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
4.4
5.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.9
4.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
2.0
Blachowicz
Strike Zones
Souza
Blachowicz
Attacking
11HEAD0BODY4LEGS15 landed
Absorbing
1HEAD0BODY0LEGS1 absorbed
Souza
Attacking
1HEAD0BODY0LEGS1 landed
Absorbing
11HEAD0BODY4LEGS15 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Blachowicz targets the head (73% of attacks) — Souza absorbs 73% of strikes there
🎯Souza targets the head (100% of attacks) — Blachowicz absorbs 100% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Blachowicz
RND
Souza
0/0R00/0

Blachowicz · Last 5

L · KO · R1
Navajo Stirling
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Medic vs. Rodriguez · 2026-08
Upcoming
Bogdan Guskov
Decision
UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan 2 · 2025-12
L · Dec · R3
Carlos Ulberg
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. Brady · 2025-03
L · Dec · R3
Alex Pereira
Decision
UFC 291: Poirier vs. Gaethje 2 · 2023-07
Upcoming
Magomed Ankalaev
Decision
UFC 282: Blachowicz vs. Ankalaev · 2022-12

Souza · Last 5

L · Sub · R1
Andre Muniz
Submission
UFC 262: Oliveira vs. Chandler · 2021-05
L · KO · R1
Kevin Holland
KO/TKO
UFC 256: Figueiredo vs. Moreno · 2020-12
L · Dec · R5
Jan Blachowicz
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs. Jacare · 2019-11
L · Dec · R5
Jack Hermansson
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Jacare vs. Hermansson · 2019-04
W · KO · R3
Chris Weidman
KO/TKO
UFC 230: Cormier vs. Lewis · 2018-11

News & Media

Jan Blachowicz · Jacare Souza
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