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All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs. Jacare
Sao Paulo, Brazil
16 Nov 2019
Light Heavyweight
VS
70%
Blachowicz
30%
Souza
Win Probability
Decision
Round 5 · 5:00
Jan
Jan Blachowicz
29 – 11
6'2"78" reachOrthodox43 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 46
JS
Jacare Souza
26 – 10
Pressure Fighter4-fight slide46 yrsOrthodox72" reach6'1"
CFR 20
★ Official Result
Jan BlachowiczwinsDecisionR5 · 5:00
def. Jacare Souza · UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs. Jacare

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Blachowicz
→
Actual result
Blachowicz wins
Decision · R5
Pre-fight analysis

Blachowicz is a strong favourite at 70% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 27 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Souza has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Blachowicz's chin rating of 54 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Souza has a chin rating of 36 — a potential KO vulnerability.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
BlachowiczSouza
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Blachowicz
Souza
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'2"+
Height
6'1"
78"+
Reach
72"
43+
Age
46
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Blachowicz
Souza
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
46.4
19.5
53.0
Performance Avg
54.6
48
Quality of Victory
53
20
Momentum Score
56
Blachowicz
Souza
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.3
1.5
51%
Strike Accuracy
56%
5.4
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.6
5 KOs
KO Finishes
4 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
11
Head
1
0
Body
0
4
Leg
0
RangeRange
13Distance1
2Clinch0
0Ground0
Blachowicz
Souza
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
2.3
Grappling Style Score (/10)
3.8
1.6
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Blachowicz
Souza
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
54
36
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
2
1
Sub Losses
1
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.5 stoppage
11 fights ago
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
22/40 fights
Chin rating based on
16/36 fights
Blachowicz
Souza
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
20
56
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
Upcoming
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Upcoming
W · KO · R3
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R5
L · Dec · R5
W · KO · R3
Blachowicz
Souza
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
58%
89%
5
KO / TKO Wins
4
2
Submission Wins
4
5
Decision Wins
1

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Blachowicz
Souza
Striking5.4 / 5.6Volume4.5 / 2.0Grappling2.3 / 3.8Wrestling1.6 / 2.7Submission1.7 / 4.4Pressure5.9 / 7.9
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.6
2.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.8
1.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.7
1.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
4.4
5.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.9
4.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
2.0
Blachowicz
Strike Zones
Souza
Blachowicz
Attacking
11HEAD0BODY4LEGS15 landed
Absorbing
1HEAD0BODY0LEGS1 absorbed
Souza
Attacking
1HEAD0BODY0LEGS1 landed
Absorbing
11HEAD0BODY4LEGS15 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Blachowicz targets the head (73% of attacks) — Souza absorbs 73% of strikes there
🎯Souza targets the head (100% of attacks) — Blachowicz absorbs 100% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Blachowicz
RND
Souza
0/0R00/0

Blachowicz · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.3
0105.0W5.5L5.5L4.5W5.5L5.5L5.2W5.5W4.5W6.5W2.8L5.3W4.5W5.0W6.2W5.9W2.5L5.4W7.6L7.4L2014-102017-042019-022021-032025-03
WinLossTrend

Souza · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.9
0105.0W5.0W4.5W5.2W5.0W5.5L5.0W5.0W3.7L5.3W5.8L6.3W6.4L6.1L2.1L2.4L2013-052015-042017-042019-042021-05
WinLossTrend

Blachowicz · Last 5

Upcoming
Bogdan Guskov
Decision
UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan 2 · 2025-12
L · Dec · R3
Carlos UlbergRating 7.4
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. Brady · 2025-03
L · Dec · R3
Alex PereiraRating 7.6
Decision
UFC 291: Poirier vs. Gaethje 2 · 2023-07
Upcoming
Magomed Ankalaev
Decision
UFC 282: Blachowicz vs. Ankalaev · 2022-12
W · KO · R3
Aleksandar RakicRating 5.4
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs. Rakic · 2022-05

Souza · Last 5

L · Sub · R1
Andre MunizRating 2.4
Submission
UFC 262: Oliveira vs. Chandler · 2021-05
L · KO · R1
Kevin HollandRating 2.1
KO/TKO
UFC 256: Figueiredo vs. Moreno · 2020-12
L · Dec · R5
Jan BlachowiczRating 6.1
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs. Jacare · 2019-11
L · Dec · R5
Jack HermanssonRating 6.4
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Jacare vs. Hermansson · 2019-04
W · KO · R3
Chris WeidmanRating 6.3
KO/TKO
UFC 230: Cormier vs. Lewis · 2018-11

News & Media

Jan Blachowicz · Jacare Souza
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