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All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Rodriguez
Las Vegas, USA
13 Nov 2021
Women's Flyweight
VS
41%
Calvillo
59%
Lee
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 5:00
CC
Cynthia Calvillo
9 – 6
5'4"64" reachOrthodox39 yrs5-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 30
Andrea
Andrea Lee
"KGB"
13 – 11
Well-Rounded6-fight slide37 yrsOrthodox69" reach5'6"
CFR 43
★ Official Result
Andrea LeewinsKO/TKOR2 · 5:00
def. Cynthia Calvillo · UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Rodriguez

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Lee
→
Actual result
Lee wins
KO/TKO · R2
Pre-fight analysis

This is a genuine toss-up — Calvillo at 41% vs Lee at 59% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 13 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Striking split: Calvillo throws more volume but Lee connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Calvillo's chin rating of 48 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
CalvilloLee
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Calvillo
Lee
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'4"
Height
+5'6"
64"
Reach
+69"
39
Age
+37
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Calvillo
Lee
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
29.8
43.1
42.8
Performance Avg
35.8
38
Quality of Victory
36
25
Momentum Score
53
Calvillo
Lee
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.1
1.4
42%
Strike Accuracy
45%
1.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
2.7
0 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
7
Head
19
11
Body
18
4
Leg
4
RangeRange
22Distance40
0Clinch1
0Ground0
Calvillo
Lee
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
5.2
Grappling Style Score (/10)
3.0
3.6
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.1
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Calvillo
Lee
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
48
82
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Never stopped
2
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
—
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
13/15 fights
Chin rating based on
14/24 fights
Calvillo
Lee
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
25
53
5-fight 📉 slide
Current form
6-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Calvillo
Lee
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
40%
0
KO / TKO Wins
1
3
Submission Wins
1
3
Decision Wins
3

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Calvillo
Lee
Striking1.0 / 2.7Volume5.0 / 5.5Grappling5.2 / 3.0Wrestling3.6 / 2.1Submission5.0 / 2.0Pressure5.0 / 3.9
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.7
5.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.0
3.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.1
5.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.0
5.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.9
5.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.5
Calvillo
Strike Zones
Lee
Calvillo
Attacking
7HEAD11BODY4LEGS22 landed
Absorbing
19HEAD18BODY4LEGS41 absorbed
Lee
Attacking
19HEAD18BODY4LEGS41 landed
Absorbing
7HEAD11BODY4LEGS22 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Calvillo targets the body (50% of attacks) — Lee absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Lee targets the head (46% of attacks) — Calvillo absorbs 46% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Calvillo
RND
Lee
0/0R00/0

Calvillo · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.8
0105.0W5.5W4.7W5.8L5.0W4.5W4.5W5.8L2.3L3.2L5.5L6.0L2017-032017-122020-062021-112023-04
WinLossTrend

Lee · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.8
0104.8W4.5W5.5W5.7L6.3L5.5L5.2W5.2W6.2L6.5L7.0L6.3L6.5L6.1L2018-052020-022022-052024-062025-03
WinLossTrend

Calvillo · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Loopy GodinezRating 6
Decision
UFC 287: Pereira vs. Adesanya 2 · 2023-04
L · Dec · R3
Nina NunesRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Vera vs. Cruz · 2022-08
L · KO · R2
Andrea LeeRating 3.2
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Rodriguez · 2021-11
L · KO · R1
Jessica AndradeRating 2.3
KO/TKO
UFC 266: Volkanovski vs. Ortega · 2021-09
L · Dec · R3
Katlyn CerminaraRating 5.8
Decision
UFC 255: Figueiredo vs. Perez · 2020-11

Lee · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
JJ AldrichRating 6.1
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Almabayev · 2025-03
L · Dec · R3
Montana De La RosaRating 6.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Imavov · 2024-06
L · Dec · R3
Miranda MaverickRating 6.3
Decision
UFC 298: Volkanovski vs. Topuria · 2024-02
L · Dec · R3
Natalia SilvaRating 7
Decision
UFC 292: Sterling vs. O'Malley · 2023-08
L · Dec · R3
Maycee BarberRating 6.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Vera vs. Sandhagen · 2023-03

News & Media

Cynthia Calvillo · Andrea Lee
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