UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Rodriguez
Las Vegas, USA
13 Nov 2021
Women's Flyweight
VS
41%
Calvillo
59%
Lee
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Lee
This is a genuine toss-up — Calvillo at 41% vs Lee at 59% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 13 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Striking split: Calvillo throws more volume but Lee connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Calvillo's chin rating of 48 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Calvillo
Lee
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'4"
Height
+5'6"
64"
Reach
+69"
38
Age
+37
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Calvillo
Lee
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
29.8
43.1
42.8
Performance Avg
35.8
38
Quality of Victory
36
25
Momentum Score
53
Calvillo
Lee
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.1
1.4
42%
Strike Accuracy
45%
1.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
2.7
0 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
7
Head
19
11
Body
18
4
Leg
4
RangeRange
22Distance40
0Clinch1
0Ground0
Calvillo
Lee
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
5.2
Grappling Style Score (/10)
3.0
3.6
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.1
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Calvillo
Lee
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
48
82
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Never stopped
2
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
—
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
13/15 fights
Chin rating based on
14/24 fights
Calvillo
Lee
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
25
53
5-fight 📉 slide
Current form
6-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Calvillo
Lee
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
40%
0
KO / TKO Wins
1
3
Submission Wins
1
3
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Calvillo
Lee
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.7
5.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.0
3.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.1
5.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.0
5.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.9
5.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.5
CalvilloLee
Strike Zones
Calvillo
Attacking
22 landedAbsorbing
41 absorbedLee
Attacking
41 landedAbsorbing
22 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Calvillo targets the body (50% of attacks) — Lee absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Lee targets the head (46% of attacks) — Calvillo absorbs 46% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Calvillo
RND
Lee
0/0R00/0
Calvillo · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.8WinLossTrend
Lee · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.8WinLossTrend
Calvillo · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Loopy GodinezRating 6Decision
UFC 287: Pereira vs. Adesanya 2 · 2023-04
L · Dec · R3
Nina NunesRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Vera vs. Cruz · 2022-08
L · KO · R2
Andrea LeeRating 3.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Rodriguez · 2021-11
L · KO · R1
Jessica AndradeRating 2.3KO/TKO
UFC 266: Volkanovski vs. Ortega · 2021-09
L · Dec · R3
Katlyn CerminaraRating 5.8Decision
UFC 255: Figueiredo vs. Perez · 2020-11
Lee · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
JJ AldrichRating 6.1Decision
UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Almabayev · 2025-03
L · Dec · R3
Montana De La RosaRating 6.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Imavov · 2024-06
L · Dec · R3
Miranda MaverickRating 6.3Decision
UFC 298: Volkanovski vs. Topuria · 2024-02
L · Dec · R3
Natalia SilvaRating 7Decision
UFC 292: Sterling vs. O'Malley · 2023-08
L · Dec · R3
Maycee BarberRating 6.5Decision
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