UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Woodley
Las Vegas, USA
19 Sept 2020
Welterweight
VS
37%
Cerrone
63%
Price
Win Probability
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Price
Price holds a meaningful edge at 63% per the CFR ratings — but Cerrone has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 20 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Striking split: Price throws more volume but Cerrone connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Cerrone's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Price has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Cerrone
Price
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"+
Height
6'0"
73"
Reach
+76"
43
Age
+36
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Cerrone
Price
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
28.2
48.4
53.0
Performance Avg
46.0
47
Quality of Victory
49
63
Momentum Score
65
Cerrone
Price
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.3
2.6
49%
Strike Accuracy
46%
5.6
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.8
10 KOs
KO Finishes
4 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
27
Head
19
10
Body
2
1
Leg
17
RangeRange
36Distance35
1Clinch0
1Ground3
Cerrone
Price
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
2.8
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.6
2.0
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.8
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Cerrone
Price
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
0
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
7
KO/TKO Losses
5
1
Sub Losses
3
Avg R1.1 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.6 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
38/53 fights
Chin rating based on
21/27 fights
Cerrone
Price
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
63
65
6-fight 📉 slide
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
L · Sub · R2
L · KO · R1
Upcoming
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Cerrone
Price
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
70%
75%
10
KO / TKO Wins
4
6
Submission Wins
2
7
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Cerrone
Price
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.8
2.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.6
2.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.8
2.6
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.5
6.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.5
3.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
2.8
CerronePrice
Strike Zones
Cerrone
Attacking
38 landedAbsorbing
38 absorbedPrice
Attacking
38 landedAbsorbing
38 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Cerrone targets the head (71% of attacks) — Price absorbs 71% of strikes there
🎯Price targets the head (50% of attacks) — Cerrone absorbs 50% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Cerrone
RND
Price
0/0R00/0
Cerrone · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.6WinLossTrend
Price · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.6WinLossTrend
Cerrone · Last 5
L · Sub · R2
Jim MillerRating 3.2Submission
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L · KO · R1
Alex MoronoRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Waterson · 2021-05
Upcoming
Niko PriceUFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Woodley · 2020-09
L · Dec · R3
Anthony PettisRating 5.5Decision
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L · KO · R1
Conor McGregorRating 3.5KO/TKO
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Price · Last 5
L · Sub · R1
Michael ChiesaRating 2.3Submission
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L · KO · R1
Nikolay VeretennikovRating 1.9KO/TKO
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L · Sub · R2
Jacobe SmithRating 5.1Submission
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L · Dec · R3
Themba GorimboRating 5.9Decision
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