METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 259: Blachowicz vs. Adesanya
Las Vegas, USA
6 Mar 2021
Bantamweight
VS
69%
Bautista
31%
Jones
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 0:47
★ Official Result
Trevin JoneswinsKO/TKOR2 · 0:47
def. Mario Bautista · UFC 259: Blachowicz vs. Adesanya
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Bautista
→
Actual result
Jones wins
KO/TKO · R2
Pre-fight analysis
Bautista holds a meaningful edge at 69% per the CFR ratings — but Jones has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 31 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Jones has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 18 points.
Risk flags
Bautista's chin rating of 64 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
BautistaJones
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Bautista
Jones
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"+
Height
5'7"
69"
Reach
+70"
33+
Age
36
Switch
Stance
Southpaw
Bautista
Jones
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
56.3
25.7
54.5
Performance Avg
41.0
38
Quality of Victory
55
73
Momentum Score
26
Bautista
Jones
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.4
/ 10
10.0
/ 10
5.3
Style: Pressure
7.6
6.3
Style: Volume
0.4
1 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
1 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
2
Head
6
1
Body
0
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
3Distance3
0Clinch0
0Ground4
Bautista
Jones
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
4.1
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
2.9
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
3.3
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
4
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Bautista
Jones
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
64
82
Moderate
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
1
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
11 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
15/20 fights
Chin rating based on
6/23 fights
Bautista
Jones
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
73
26
2-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R3
W · KO · R2
Bautista
Jones
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
42%
100%
1
KO / TKO Wins
1
4
Submission Wins
0
7
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Bautista
Jones
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
10.0
4.1
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
2.9
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
3.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.6
6.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.4
BautistaJones
Strike Zones
Bautista
Attacking
3 landedAbsorbing
7 absorbedJones
Attacking
7 landedAbsorbing
3 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Bautista targets the head (67% of attacks) — Jones absorbs 67% of strikes there
🎯Jones targets the head (86% of attacks) — Bautista absorbs 86% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Bautista
RND
Jones
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Bautista · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Cory SandhagenDecision
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W · Sub · R2
Vinicius OliveiraSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Bautista vs. Oliveira · 2026-02
L · Dec · R3
Umar NurmagomedovDecision
UFC 321: Aspinall vs. Gane · 2025-10
W · Dec · R3
Patchy MixDecision
UFC 316: Dvalishvili vs. O'Malley 2 · 2025-06
W · Dec · R3
Jose AldoDecision
UFC 307: Pereira vs. Rountree Jr. · 2024-10
Jones · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Cody GarbrandtDecision
UFC 285: Jones vs. Gane · 2023-03
L · Dec · R3
Raoni BarcelosDecision
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Yan · 2022-10
L · Dec · R3
Javid BasharatDecision
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Ankalaev · 2022-03
L · Sub · R3
Saidyokub KakhramonovSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Gastelum · 2021-08
W · KO · R2
Mario BautistaKO/TKO
UFC 259: Blachowicz vs. Adesanya · 2021-03