UFC Fight Night: Ngannou vs. Dos Santos
Minneapolis, USA
29 Jun 2019
Light Heavyweight
VS
99%
Anders
1%
Moreira
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 1:18
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Anders
Anders is a strong favourite at 99% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 50 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Anders has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 41 points.
Anders has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Anders's chin rating of 32 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Moreira has a chin rating of 22 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Anders
Moreira
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"
Height
+6'4"
75"
Reach
+76"
39
Age
+37
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Anders
Moreira
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
50.9
0.6
45.4
Performance Avg
0.0
41
Quality of Victory
0
79
Momentum Score
0
Anders
Moreira
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.7
1.1
53%
Strike Accuracy
46%
6.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
5 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
11
Head
0
0
Body
1
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
5Distance2
2Clinch0
4Ground0
Anders
Moreira
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
1.2
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.0
0.8
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Anders
Moreira
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
32
22
KO risk
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
2
KO/TKO Losses
3
1
Sub Losses
1
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.3 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
20/27 fights
Chin rating based on
4/14 fights
Anders
Moreira
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
79
0
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R2
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
Anders
Moreira
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
0%
5
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
5
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Anders
Moreira
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
1.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
0.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.1
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
5.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
AndersMoreira
Strike Zones
Anders
Attacking
11 landedAbsorbing
2 absorbedMoreira
Attacking
2 landedAbsorbing
11 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Anders targets the head (100% of attacks) — Moreira absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Moreira targets the body (50% of attacks) — Anders absorbs 50% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Anders
RND
Moreira
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Anders · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.0WinLossTrend
Moreira · QOF Timeline
Avg: 2.4WinLossTrend
Anders · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Brad TavaresRating 4.5Decision
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L · KO · R1
Christian Leroy DuncanRating 3KO/TKO
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W · KO · R2
Chris WeidmanRating 6.1KO/TKO
UFC 310: Pantoja vs. Asakura · 2024-12
W · Dec · R3
Jamie PickettRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Gaziev · 2024-03
L · Dec · R3
Marc-Andre BarriaultRating 5.5Decision
UFC 289: Nunes vs. Aldana · 2023-06
Moreira · Last 4
L · KO · R2
Ike VillanuevaRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Chiesa vs. Magny · 2021-01
L · Sub · R1
Paul CraigRating 2.2Submission
UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Stephens · 2019-09
L · KO · R1
Eryk AndersRating 2.3KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Ngannou vs. Dos Santos · 2019-06
L · KO · R1
Alonzo MenifieldRating 2.4KO/TKO
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