Brendan Schaub vs Matt Mitrione — UFC Fight Analysis & Result

METRICS GUIDE

Every stat on this page, explained

All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC 165: Jones vs Gustafsson

Toronto, Canada

21 Sept 2013

Heavyweight

42%

Schaub

58%

Mitrione

Win Probability

Submission

Round 1 · 4:06

Brendan Schaub

"Big Brown"

10 – 5

6'4"78" reachOrthodox43 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded

CFR 16

Matt Mitrione

12 – 5

Knockout Artist2-fight slide48 yrsSwitch82" reach6'3"

CFR 22

★ Official Result

Brendan SchaubwinsSubmissionR1 · 4:06

def. Matt Mitrione · UFC 165: Jones vs Gustafsson

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result

We predicted

Mitrione

→

Actual result

Schaub wins

Submission · R1

Pre-fight analysis

This is a genuine toss-up — Schaub at 42% vs Mitrione at 58% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Risk flags

Schaub's chin rating of 10 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Mitrione has a chin rating of 30 — a potential KO vulnerability.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout

SchaubMitrione

Sig. Strikes

0.0

Strikes / min (SLpM)

0.0

—

Strike Accuracy

—

Schaub

Mitrione

Physical Matchup

Height · Reach · Age · Stance

6'4"+

Height

6'3"

78"

Reach

+82"

43+

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Switch

Schaub

Mitrione

Composite Fighter Rating

Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability

15.7

21.9

49.2

Performance Avg

58.4

Quality of Victory

Momentum Score

Schaub

Mitrione

Striking

Career averages · see This Fight stats above

6.1

/ 10

10.0

/ 10

6.3

Style: Pressure

8.2

3.8

Style: Volume

2.2

3 KO wins

Finish Rate (strikes)

8 KO wins

Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped

Strike targetStrike target

Head

Body

Leg

RangeRange

14Distance7

0Clinch0

0Ground0

Schaub

Mitrione

Grappling

Career averages · see This Fight stats above

2.1

/ 10

0.3

/ 10

1.5

Wrestling Style (/10)

0.2

1.7

Submission Style (/10)

0.0

Submission wins

Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped

Schaub

Mitrione

Durability / Chin

Resilience against knockouts and stoppages

2 consec. KOs

Verdict

KO risk

KO/TKO Losses

Sub Losses

Avg R1.0 stoppage

KO round context

Avg R2.0 stoppage

Most recent fight

Last KO loss

Most recent fight

—

Strikes absorbed / min

—

11/15 fights

Chin rating based on

14/17 fights

Schaub

Mitrione

Form & Momentum

Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%

2-fight 📉 slide

Current form

2-fight 📉 slide

L · KO · R1

L · Dec · R3

W · Sub · R1

W · Dec · R3

L · KO · R1

Last 5

L · KO · R3

L · Sub · R1

W · KO · R1

Schaub

Mitrione

Finish Rate

Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission

67%

89%

KO / TKO Wins

Submission Wins

Decision Wins

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Schaub

Mitrione

Fighter 1

Fighter 2

6.1

Striking

KO power & stand-up volume

10.0

2.1

Grappling

Ground control & clinch

0.3

1.5

Wrestling

Takedown threat & defence

0.2

1.7

Submission

Submission attack frequency

0.0

6.3

Pressure

Clinch/ground work rate

8.2

3.8

Volume

Decision-pace fighting

2.2

Schaub

Strike Zones

Mitrione

Schaub

Attacking

14 landed

Absorbing

7 absorbed

Mitrione

Attacking

7 landed

Absorbing

14 absorbed

Targeting Overlap

🎯Schaub targets the head (93% of attacks) — Mitrione absorbs 93% of strikes there

🎯Mitrione targets the head (57% of attacks) — Schaub absorbs 57% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Schaub

RND

Mitrione

0/0R00/0

Schaub · Last 5

L · KO · R1

Travis Browne

KO/TKO

UFC 181: Hendricks vs Lawler II · 2014-12

L · Dec · R3

Andrei Arlovski

Decision

UFC 174: Johnson vs Bagautinov · 2014-06

W · Sub · R1

Matt Mitrione

Submission

UFC 165: Jones vs Gustafsson · 2013-09

W · Dec · R3

Lavar Johnson

Decision

UFC 157: Rousey vs Carmouche · 2013-02

L · KO · R1

Ben Rothwell

KO/TKO

UFC 145: Jones vs Evans · 2012-04

Mitrione · Last 5

L · KO · R3

Travis Browne

KO/TKO

UFC Fight Night: Dillashaw vs Cruz · 2016-01

L · Sub · R1

Ben Rothwell

Submission

UFC Fight Night: Boetsch vs Henderson · 2015-06

W · KO · R1

Gabriel Gonzaga

KO/TKO

UFC on FOX: Dos Santos vs Miocic · 2014-12

W · KO · R1

Derrick Lewis

KO/TKO

UFC Fight Night: Jacare vs Mousasi · 2014-09

W · KO · R1

Shawn Jordan

KO/TKO

UFC Fight Night: Kim vs Hathaway · 2014-03

News & Media

Brendan Schaub · Matt Mitrione

← Back to fights