UFC Fight Night: Lee vs. Iaquinta
Milwaukee, USA
15 Dec 2018
Welterweight
VS
38%
Ottow
62%
Grant
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Grant
Grant holds a meaningful edge at 62% per the CFR ratings — but Ottow has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 9 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Striking split: Grant throws more volume but Ottow connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Ottow's chin rating of 32 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Grant has a chin rating of 50 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Ottow
Grant
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"
Height
+6'1"
72"
Reach
+76"
39+
Age
41
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
Ottow
Grant
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
14.1
23.2
40.2
Performance Avg
37.0
34
Quality of Victory
37
53
Momentum Score
59
Ottow
Grant
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.3
1.5
38%
Strike Accuracy
36%
3.5
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.1
1 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
1
Head
8
5
Body
3
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
3Distance8
2Clinch3
1Ground0
Ottow
Grant
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.2
Sub Attempts / fight
—
1.8
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.6
1.3
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.1
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Ottow
Grant
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
32
50
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
3
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.3 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.5 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
8/24 fights
Chin rating based on
8/17 fights
Ottow
Grant
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
53
59
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
Ottow
Grant
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
25%
33%
1
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Ottow
Grant
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.1
1.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.6
1.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.1
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
3.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.5
7.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.1
OttowGrant
Strike Zones
Ottow
Attacking
6 landedAbsorbing
11 absorbedGrant
Attacking
11 landedAbsorbing
6 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Ottow targets the body (83% of attacks) — Grant absorbs 83% of strikes there
🎯Grant targets the head (73% of attacks) — Ottow absorbs 73% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Ottow
RND
Grant
0/0R00/0
Ottow · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.8WinLossTrend
Grant · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.5WinLossTrend
Ottow · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Alex MoronoRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Dos Santos · 2019-03
W · Dec · R3
Dwight GrantRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lee vs. Iaquinta · 2018-12
L · KO · R2
Sage NorthcuttRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dos Santos vs. Ivanov · 2018-07
W · KO · R1
Mike PyleRating 5KO/TKO
UFC 222: Cyborg vs. Kunitskaya · 2018-03
L · KO · R1
Li JingliangRating 2.3KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Bisping vs. Gastelum · 2017-11
Grant · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Dustin StoltzfusRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. Rodriguez · 2022-07
L · KO · R2
Sergey KhandozhkoRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lemos vs. Andrade · 2022-04
L · Dec · R3
Francisco TrinaldoRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Costa vs. Vettori · 2021-10
W · Dec · R3
Stefan SekulicRating 4.5Decision
UFC 261: Usman vs. Masvidal 2 · 2021-04
L · KO · R1
Daniel RodriguezRating 2.4KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Munhoz vs. Edgar · 2020-08