METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Lee vs. Iaquinta
Milwaukee, USA
15 Dec 2018
Welterweight
VS
38%
Ottow
62%
Grant
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Zak OttowwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Dwight Grant · UFC Fight Night: Lee vs. Iaquinta
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Grant
→
Actual result
Ottow wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Grant holds a meaningful edge at 62% per the CFR ratings — but Ottow has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 9 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Risk flags
Ottow's chin rating of 32 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Grant has a chin rating of 50 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
OttowGrant
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Ottow
Grant
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"
Height
+6'1"
72"
Reach
+76"
39+
Age
41
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
Ottow
Grant
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
14.1
23.2
40.2
Performance Avg
37.0
34
Quality of Victory
37
53
Momentum Score
59
Ottow
Grant
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.5
/ 10
4.1
/ 10
3.3
Style: Pressure
3.5
7.0
Style: Volume
6.1
1 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
1 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
1
Head
8
5
Body
3
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
3Distance8
2Clinch3
1Ground0
Ottow
Grant
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.8
/ 10
1.6
/ 10
1.3
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.1
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Ottow
Grant
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
32
50
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
3
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.3 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.5 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
8/24 fights
Chin rating based on
8/17 fights
Ottow
Grant
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
53
59
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
Ottow
Grant
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
25%
33%
1
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Ottow
Grant
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.1
1.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.6
1.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.1
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
3.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.5
7.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.1
OttowGrant
Strike Zones
Ottow
Attacking
6 landedAbsorbing
11 absorbedGrant
Attacking
11 landedAbsorbing
6 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Ottow targets the body (83% of attacks) — Grant absorbs 83% of strikes there
🎯Grant targets the head (73% of attacks) — Ottow absorbs 73% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Ottow
RND
Grant
0/0R00/0
Ottow · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Alex MoronoKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Dos Santos · 2019-03
W · Dec · R3
Dwight GrantDecision
UFC Fight Night: Lee vs. Iaquinta · 2018-12
L · KO · R2
Sage NorthcuttKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dos Santos vs. Ivanov · 2018-07
W · KO · R1
Mike PyleKO/TKO
UFC 222: Cyborg vs. Kunitskaya · 2018-03
L · KO · R1
Li JingliangKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Bisping vs. Gastelum · 2017-11
Grant · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Dustin StoltzfusDecision
UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. Rodriguez · 2022-07
L · KO · R2
Sergey KhandozhkoKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lemos vs. Andrade · 2022-04
L · Dec · R3
Francisco TrinaldoDecision
UFC Fight Night: Costa vs. Vettori · 2021-10
W · Dec · R3
Stefan SekulicDecision
UFC 261: Usman vs. Masvidal 2 · 2021-04
L · KO · R1
Daniel RodriguezKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Munhoz vs. Edgar · 2020-08