UFC Fight Night: Swanson vs. Lobov
Nashville, USA
22 Apr 2017
Women's Strawweight
VS
75%
Penne
25%
Taylor
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Penne
Penne is a strong favourite at 75% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 24 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Penne has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Penne's chin rating of 38 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Penne
Taylor
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'5"+
Height
5'0"
67"+
Reach
60"
43
Age
+36
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Penne
Taylor
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
36.1
12.3
34.1
Performance Avg
31.0
35
Quality of Victory
25
63
Momentum Score
40
Penne
Taylor
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.0
1.0
32%
Strike Accuracy
30%
0.7
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.8
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
12
Head
11
7
Body
4
0
Leg
6
RangeRange
15Distance20
4Clinch1
0Ground0
Penne
Taylor
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
4.3
/ 10
2.4
/ 10
3.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.7
3.3
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
1
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Penne
Taylor
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
38
94
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Never stopped
2
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.5 stoppage
KO round context
—
6 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
9/23 fights
Chin rating based on
5/13 fights
Penne
Taylor
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
63
40
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Penne
Taylor
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
33%
0%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Penne
Taylor
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.8
4.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
3.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
3.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
3.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
1.2
6.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.8
PenneTaylor
Strike Zones
Penne
Attacking
19 landedAbsorbing
21 absorbedTaylor
Attacking
21 landedAbsorbing
19 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Penne targets the head (63% of attacks) — Taylor absorbs 63% of strikes there
🎯Taylor targets the head (52% of attacks) — Penne absorbs 52% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Penne
RND
Taylor
0/0R00/0
Penne · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.5WinLossTrend
Taylor · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.7WinLossTrend
Penne · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Elise ReedRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs. Pereira · 2024-10
L · Sub · R2
Tabatha RicciRating 3.4Submission
UFC 285: Jones vs. Gane · 2023-03
L · Dec · R3
Emily DucoteRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. Rodriguez · 2022-07
W · Sub · R1
Karolina KowalkiewiczRating 5Submission
UFC 265: Lewis vs. Gane · 2021-08
W · Dec · R3
Loopy GodinezRating 5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Gastelum · 2021-04
Taylor · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Zhang WeiliRating 7.3Decision
UFC 227: Dillashaw vs. Garbrandt 2 · 2018-08
L · Dec · R3
JJ AldrichRating 6.1Decision
UFC Fight Night: Stephens vs. Choi · 2018-01
W · Dec · R3
Jessica PenneRating 4.6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Swanson vs. Lobov · 2017-04
W · Dec · R3
Seo Hee HamRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Brunson · 2016-11
L · Dec · R3
Maryna MorozRating 6.1Decision
UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Caceres · 2016-08
