METRICS GUIDE

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All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC Fight Night: Swanson vs. Lobov
Nashville, USA
22 Apr 2017
Women's Strawweight
VS
75%
Penne
25%
Taylor
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Jessica
Jessica Penne
14 – 9
5'5"67" reachOrthodox43 yrs3-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 36
DT
Danielle Taylor
"Dynamite"
9 – 4
Well-Rounded2-fight slide36 yrsOrthodox60" reach5'0"
CFR 12
★ Official Result
Danielle TaylorwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Jessica Penne · UFC Fight Night: Swanson vs. Lobov

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Penne
→
Actual result
Taylor wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis

Penne is a strong favourite at 75% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 24 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Risk flags

Penne's chin rating of 38 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
PenneTaylor
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Penne
Taylor
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'5"+
Height
5'0"
67"+
Reach
60"
43
Age
+36
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Penne
Taylor
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
36.1
12.3
34.1
Performance Avg
31.0
35
Quality of Victory
25
63
Momentum Score
40
Penne
Taylor
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.7
/ 10
0.8
/ 10
3.3
Style: Pressure
1.2
6.0
Style: Volume
8.8
0 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
12
Head
11
7
Body
4
0
Leg
6
RangeRange
15Distance20
4Clinch1
0Ground0
Penne
Taylor
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
4.3
/ 10
2.4
/ 10
3.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.7
3.3
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
1
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Penne
Taylor
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
38
94
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Never stopped
2
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.5 stoppage
KO round context
—
6 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
9/23 fights
Chin rating based on
5/13 fights
Penne
Taylor
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
63
40
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Penne
Taylor
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
33%
0%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
2

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Penne
Taylor
Striking0.7 / 0.8Volume6.0 / 8.8Grappling4.3 / 2.4Wrestling3.0 / 1.7Submission3.3 / 0.0Pressure3.3 / 1.2
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.8
4.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
3.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
3.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
3.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
1.2
6.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.8
Penne
Strike Zones
Taylor
Penne
Attacking
12HEAD7BODY0LEGS19 landed
Absorbing
11HEAD4BODY6LEGS21 absorbed
Taylor
Attacking
11HEAD4BODY6LEGS21 landed
Absorbing
12HEAD7BODY0LEGS19 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Penne targets the head (63% of attacks) — Taylor absorbs 63% of strikes there
🎯Taylor targets the head (52% of attacks) — Penne absorbs 52% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Penne
RND
Taylor
0/0R00/0

Penne · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Elise Reed
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs. Pereira · 2024-10
L · Sub · R2
Tabatha Ricci
Submission
UFC 285: Jones vs. Gane · 2023-03
L · Dec · R3
Emily Ducote
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. Rodriguez · 2022-07
W · Sub · R1
Karolina Kowalkiewicz
Submission
UFC 265: Lewis vs. Gane · 2021-08
W · Dec · R3
Loopy Godinez
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Gastelum · 2021-04

Taylor · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Zhang Weili
Decision
UFC 227: Dillashaw vs. Garbrandt 2 · 2018-08
L · Dec · R3
JJ Aldrich
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Stephens vs. Choi · 2018-01
W · Dec · R3
Jessica Penne
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Swanson vs. Lobov · 2017-04
W · Dec · R3
Seo Hee Ham
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Brunson · 2016-11
L · Dec · R3
Maryna Moroz
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Caceres · 2016-08

News & Media

Jessica Penne · Danielle Taylor
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