METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Aliskerov
Riyadh, Saudi Arabia
22 Jun 2024
Bantamweight
VS
44%
Long
56%
Lee
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
ChangHo LeewinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Xiao Long · UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Aliskerov
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Lee
→
Actual result
Lee wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Long at 44% vs Lee at 56% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 14 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Long has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 10 points.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
LongLee
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Long
Lee
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"
Height
5'8"
70"+
Reach
69"
28+
Age
32
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Long
Lee
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
46.5
60.3
38.0
Performance Avg
50.7
50
Quality of Victory
40
39
Momentum Score
85
Long
Lee
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
10.0
/ 10
6.3
/ 10
7.6
Style: Pressure
5.5
0.4
Style: Volume
5.3
1 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
1 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
7
Head
9
8
Body
13
3
Leg
0
RangeRange
10Distance5
8Clinch17
0Ground0
Long
Lee
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.0
/ 10
1.2
/ 10
0.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.8
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Long
Lee
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
72
98
Moderate
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
5/38 fights
Chin rating based on
3/13 fights
Long
Lee
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
39
85
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
Long
Lee
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
50%
1
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
0
0
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Long
Lee
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
10.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.3
0.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.2
0.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.8
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
7.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.5
0.4
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.3
LongLee
Strike Zones
Long
Attacking
18 landedAbsorbing
22 absorbedLee
Attacking
22 landedAbsorbing
18 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Long targets the body (44% of attacks) — Lee absorbs 44% of strikes there
🎯Lee targets the body (59% of attacks) — Long absorbs 59% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Long
RND
Lee
0/0R00/0
Long · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Francesco NuzziKO/TKO
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W · KO · R3
Quang LeKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Figueiredo · 2024-11
L · Dec · R3
ChangHo LeeDecision
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Aliskerov · 2024-06
Lee · Last 3
L · Dec · R3
Timmy CuambaDecision
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W · KO · R2
Cortavious RomiousKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Murphy · 2025-04
W · Dec · R3
Xiao LongDecision
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Aliskerov · 2024-06