UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Aliskerov
Riyadh, Saudi Arabia
22 Jun 2024
Bantamweight
VS
45%
Long
55%
Lee
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Xiao
Xiao Long
27 – 11
5'8"70" reachOrthodox28 yrs2-fight slideKnockout Artist
CFR 50
CL
ChangHo Lee
11 – 2
Well-Rounded32 yrsOrthodox69" reach5'8"
CFR 60

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Lee

This is a genuine toss-up — Long at 45% vs Lee at 55% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 10 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Long has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 10 points.

Lee has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Long
Lee
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"
Height
5'8"
70"+
Reach
69"
28+
Age
32
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Long
Lee
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
50.2
60.3
40.0
Performance Avg
50.7
50
Quality of Victory
40
43
Momentum Score
85
Long
Lee
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.6
1.6
50%
Strike Accuracy
72%
10.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
6.3
1 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
7
Head
9
8
Body
13
3
Leg
0
RangeRange
10Distance5
8Clinch17
0Ground0
Long
Lee
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.4
0.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.2
0.0
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.8
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Long
Lee
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
94
98
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
4/38 fights
Chin rating based on
3/13 fights
Long
Lee
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
43
85
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
Long
Lee
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
50%
1
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
0
0
Decision Wins
1

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Long
Lee
Striking10.0 / 6.3Volume0.5 / 5.3Grappling0.0 / 1.2Wrestling0.0 / 0.8Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure7.8 / 5.5
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
10.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.3
0.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.2
0.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.8
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
7.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.5
0.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.3
Long
Strike Zones
Lee
Long
Attacking
7HEAD8BODY3LEGS18 landed
Absorbing
9HEAD13BODY0LEGS22 absorbed
Lee
Attacking
9HEAD13BODY0LEGS22 landed
Absorbing
7HEAD8BODY3LEGS18 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Long targets the body (44% of attacks) — Lee absorbs 44% of strikes there
🎯Lee targets the body (59% of attacks) — Long absorbs 59% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Long
RND
Lee
0/0R00/0

Long · QOF Timeline

Avg: 6.5
0106.8L6.0W6.7L6.6L2024-062024-112025-082026-03
WinLossTrend

Lee · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.4
0105.3W5.2W5.8L2024-062025-042025-11
WinLossTrend

Long · Last 4

L · Dec · R3
Cody GarbrandtRating 6.6
Decision
UFC 326: Holloway vs. Oliveira 2 · 2026-03
L · Dec · R3
SuYoung YouRating 6.7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Zhang · 2025-08
W · KO · R3
Quang LeRating 6
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Figueiredo · 2024-11
L · Dec · R3
ChangHo LeeRating 6.8
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Aliskerov · 2024-06

Lee · Last 3

L · Dec · R3
Timmy CuambaRating 5.8
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Garcia vs. Onama · 2025-11
W · KO · R2
Cortavious RomiousRating 5.2
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Murphy · 2025-04
W · Dec · R3
Xiao LongRating 5.3
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Aliskerov · 2024-06

News & Media

Xiao Long · ChangHo Lee
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