UFC Fight Night: Cejudo vs. Song
Seattle, USA
22 Feb 2025
Light Heavyweight
VS
64%
Menifield
36%
Walker
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Menifield
Menifield holds a meaningful edge at 64% per the CFR ratings — but Walker has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 23 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Menifield has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 19 points.
Striking split: Menifield throws more volume but Walker connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Menifield's chin rating of 8 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Menifield
Walker
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"
Height
+6'4"
76"
Reach
+78"
38
Age
+26
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Menifield
Walker
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
52.6
29.5
51.6
Performance Avg
28.3
44
Quality of Victory
25
75
Momentum Score
27
Menifield
Walker
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.4
0.8
51%
Strike Accuracy
54%
5.3
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.7
4 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
23
Head
9
8
Body
6
2
Leg
8
RangeRange
31Distance18
2Clinch5
0Ground0
Menifield
Walker
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
2.6
/ 10
2.4
/ 10
1.8
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.7
2.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
2
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Menifield
Walker
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
8
76
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Moderate
4
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
18/23 fights
Chin rating based on
4/9 fights
Menifield
Walker
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
75
27
Upcoming
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
Last 5
Upcoming
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Menifield
Walker
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
60%
0%
4
KO / TKO Wins
0
2
Submission Wins
0
4
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Menifield
Walker
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.7
2.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
1.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
2.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.1
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
1.0
4.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.7
MenifieldWalker
Strike Zones
Menifield
Attacking
33 landedAbsorbing
23 absorbedWalker
Attacking
23 landedAbsorbing
33 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Menifield targets the head (70% of attacks) — Walker absorbs 70% of strikes there
🎯Walker targets the head (39% of attacks) — Menifield absorbs 39% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Menifield
RND
Walker
0/0R00/0
Menifield · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.9WinLossTrend
Walker · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.0WinLossTrend
Menifield · Last 5
Upcoming
Zhang MingyangUFC Fight Night: Song vs. Figueiredo · 2026-05
L · KO · R1
Volkan OezdemirRating 2.3KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Hooker · 2025-11
W · Dec · R3
Oumar SyRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Usman vs. Buckley · 2025-06
W · Dec · R3
Julius WalkerRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Cejudo vs. Song · 2025-02
L · KO · R2
Azamat MurzakanovRating 4.6KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Nurmagomedov · 2024-08
Walker · Last 4
Upcoming
Abdul Rakhman YakhyaevUFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Torres · 2026-06
L · KO · R2
Dustin JacobyRating 4.1KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Bautista vs. Oliveira · 2026-02
W · Dec · R3
Rafael CerqueiraRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Hernandez · 2025-08
L · Dec · R3
Alonzo MenifieldRating 6.4Decision
UFC Fight Night: Cejudo vs. Song · 2025-02