The Ultimate Fighter: The Comeback Finale
Las Vegas, USA
11 Nov 2006
Lightweight
VS
56%
Thomas
44%
Clementi
Win Probability
Submission
Round 2 · 3:11
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Thomas
This is a genuine toss-up — Thomas at 56% vs Clementi at 44% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Thomas has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Thomas's chin rating of 62 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Clementi has a chin rating of 60 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Thomas
Clementi
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"
Height
5'9"
Reach
72"
49+
Age
50
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Thomas
Clementi
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
19.2
14.9
43.1
Performance Avg
44.4
35
Quality of Victory
41
100
Momentum Score
26
Thomas
Clementi
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.8
0.6
39%
Strike Accuracy
38%
1.1
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.0
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
16
Head
6
2
Body
1
1
Leg
2
RangeRange
9Distance5
9Clinch4
1Ground0
Thomas
Clementi
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.5
4.6
Grappling Style Score (/10)
5.8
3.3
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
4.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Thomas
Clementi
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
62
60
Moderate
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
3
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
8 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
9/35 fights
Chin rating based on
10/68 fights
Thomas
Clementi
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
26
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
W · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
Thomas
Clementi
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
40%
60%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
2
Submission Wins
3
3
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Thomas
Clementi
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.0
4.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
5.8
3.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
4.0
4.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
6.0
4.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.7
5.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.2
ThomasClementi
Strike Zones
Thomas
Attacking
19 landedAbsorbing
9 absorbedClementi
Attacking
9 landedAbsorbing
19 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Thomas targets the head (84% of attacks) — Clementi absorbs 84% of strikes there
🎯Clementi targets the head (67% of attacks) — Thomas absorbs 67% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Thomas
RND
Clementi
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Thomas · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.3WinLossTrend
Clementi · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.4WinLossTrend
Thomas · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Josh NeerRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Florian vs Lauzon · 2008-04
L · Sub · R1
Kenny FlorianRating 1.5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Thomas vs Florian · 2007-09
W · Sub · R2
Jeremy StephensRating 5.8Submission
UFC 71: Liddell vs Jackson · 2007-05
W · Dec · R3
Clay GuidaRating 5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Evans vs Salmon · 2007-01
W · Sub · R2
Rich ClementiRating 5.2Submission
The Ultimate Fighter: The Comeback Finale · 2006-11
Clementi · Last 5
L · Sub · R1
Gleison TibauRating 1.5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Lauzon vs Stephens · 2009-02
L · Dec · R3
Gray MaynardRating 5.5Decision
UFC 90: Silva vs Cote · 2008-10
W · Dec · R3
Terry EtimRating 4.5Decision
UFC 84: Ill Will · 2008-05
W · Dec · R3
Sam StoutRating 4.5Decision
UFC 83: Serra vs St-Pierre 2 · 2008-04
W · Sub · R1
Melvin GuillardRating 5Submission
UFC 79: Nemesis · 2007-12