UFC 131: Dos Santos vs Carwin
Vancouver, Canada
11 Jun 2011
Featherweight
VS
56%
Florian
44%
Nunes
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Florian
This is a genuine toss-up — Florian at 56% vs Nunes at 44% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Florian has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 20 points.
Striking split: Nunes throws more volume but Florian connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Florian's chin rating of 60 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Florian
Nunes
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"+
Height
5'6"
74"+
Reach
67"
49
Age
+43
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Florian
Nunes
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
17.7
14.1
55.4
Performance Avg
35.0
45
Quality of Victory
25
28
Momentum Score
55
Florian
Nunes
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.1
1.2
46%
Strike Accuracy
42%
3.1
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.0
2 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
15
Head
5
3
Body
3
4
Leg
2
RangeRange
13Distance7
2Clinch3
7Ground0
Florian
Nunes
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
5.1
/ 10
2.4
/ 10
3.5
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.7
5.8
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
7
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Florian
Nunes
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
60
94
Moderate
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
16 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
17/20 fights
Chin rating based on
6/26 fights
Florian
Nunes
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
28
55
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R3
W · Sub · R2
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Florian
Nunes
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
75%
0%
2
KO / TKO Wins
0
7
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Florian
Nunes
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.0
5.1
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
3.5
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
5.8
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
7.4
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
1.5
2.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
9.0
FlorianNunes
Strike Zones
Florian
Attacking
22 landedAbsorbing
10 absorbedNunes
Attacking
10 landedAbsorbing
22 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Florian targets the head (68% of attacks) — Nunes absorbs 68% of strikes there
🎯Nunes targets the head (50% of attacks) — Florian absorbs 50% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Florian
RND
Nunes
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Florian · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.8WinLossTrend
Nunes · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.0WinLossTrend
Florian · Last 5
L · Dec · R5
Jose AldoRating 6Decision
UFC 136: Edgar vs Maynard 3 · 2011-10
W · Dec · R3
Diego NunesRating 4.5Decision
UFC 131: Dos Santos vs Carwin · 2011-06
L · Dec · R3
Gray MaynardRating 5.5Decision
UFC 118: Edgar vs Penn 2 · 2010-08
W · Sub · R3
Takanori GomiRating 5.5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Florian vs Gomi · 2010-03
W · Sub · R2
Clay GuidaRating 5.7Submission
UFC 107: Penn vs Sanchez · 2009-12
Nunes · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Nik LentzRating 5.5Decision
UFC on FX: Belfort vs Bisping · 2013-01
W · Dec · R3
Bart PalaszewskiRating 4.5Decision
UFC on FX: Browne vs Bigfoot · 2012-10
L · Dec · R3
Dennis SiverRating 5.5Decision
UFC on FUEL TV: Gustafsson vs Silva · 2012-04
W · Dec · R3
Manvel GamburyanRating 4.5Decision
UFC 141: Lesnar vs Overeem · 2011-12
L · Dec · R3
Kenny FlorianRating 5.5Decision
UFC 131: Dos Santos vs Carwin · 2011-06