UFC Fight Night: Jedrzejczyk vs Penne
Berlin, Germany
20 Jun 2015
Featherweight
VS
47%
Siver
53%
Kawajiri
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
DS
Dennis Siver
23 – 11
5'6"70" reachOrthodox47 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 14
TK
Tatsuya Kawajiri
"Crusher"
36 – 11
Well-Rounded2-fight slide48 yrsOrthodox69" reach5'7"
CFR 16

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Kawajiri

This is a genuine toss-up — Siver at 47% vs Kawajiri at 53% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Striking split: Siver throws more volume but Kawajiri connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Siver's chin rating of 4 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Siver
Kawajiri
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"
Height
+5'7"
70"+
Reach
69"
47+
Age
48
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Siver
Kawajiri
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
14.3
16.1
46.1
Performance Avg
39.9
37
Quality of Victory
33
43
Momentum Score
55
Siver
Kawajiri
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.5
0.3
34%
Strike Accuracy
36%
3.7
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.0
3 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
2
Head
8
0
Body
1
2
Leg
0
RangeRange
4Distance5
0Clinch0
0Ground4
Siver
Kawajiri
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
0.2
2.7
Grappling Style Score (/10)
4.3
1.9
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
3.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Siver
Kawajiri
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
4
94
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
3
KO/TKO Losses
0
2
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
21/34 fights
Chin rating based on
6/47 fights
Siver
Kawajiri
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
43
55
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
Upcoming
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Siver
Kawajiri
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
42%
33%
3
KO / TKO Wins
0
2
Submission Wins
1
7
Decision Wins
2

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Siver
Kawajiri
Striking3.7 / 1.0Volume5.9 / 6.3Grappling2.7 / 4.3Wrestling1.9 / 3.0Submission1.7 / 3.3Pressure4.7 / 3.8
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.0
2.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.3
1.9
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.0
1.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.3
4.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.8
5.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.3
Siver
Strike Zones
Kawajiri
Siver
Attacking
2HEAD0BODY2LEGS4 landed
Absorbing
8HEAD1BODY0LEGS9 absorbed
Kawajiri
Attacking
8HEAD1BODY0LEGS9 landed
Absorbing
2HEAD0BODY2LEGS4 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Siver targets the head (50% of attacks) — Kawajiri absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Kawajiri targets the head (89% of attacks) — Siver absorbs 89% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Siver
RND
Kawajiri
0/0R00/0

Siver · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.3
0101.5L5.2W5.5L1.5L5.5W5.0W5.2W5.5L4.5W5.0W4.5W4.5W1.5L4.5W4.5W4.5L4.5W4.1L5.5L4.5W2007-042009-062011-022013-072017-06
WinLossTrend

Kawajiri · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.3
0105.2W6.0L4.5W4.5W5.5L6.0L2014-012014-042015-062015-122016-022016-08
WinLossTrend

Siver · Last 5

W · Dec · R3
BJ PennRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Chiesa vs. Lee · 2017-06
L · Dec · R3
Tatsuya KawajiriRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Jedrzejczyk vs Penne · 2015-06
L · KO · R2
Conor McGregorRating 4.1
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: McGregor vs Siver · 2015-01
W · Dec · R3
Charles RosaRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Nelson vs Story · 2014-10
Upcoming
Manvel Gamburyan
UFC 168: Weidman vs Silva 2 · 2013-12

Kawajiri · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Cub SwansonRating 6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Caceres · 2016-08
L · Dec · R3
Dennis BermudezRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Cowboy vs Cowboy · 2016-02
W · Dec · R3
Jason KnightRating 4.5
Decision
The Ultimate Fighter: Team McGregor vs. Team Faber Finale · 2015-12
W · Dec · R3
Dennis SiverRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Jedrzejczyk vs Penne · 2015-06
L · Dec · R3
Clay GuidaRating 6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Minotauro vs Nelson · 2014-04

News & Media

Dennis Siver · Tatsuya Kawajiri
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