UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Penn
Phoenix, USA
15 Jan 2017
Heavyweight
VS
6%
Smoliakov
94%
Asker
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 2:41
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Asker
Asker is a strong favourite at 94% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 18 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Asker has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 55 points.
Striking split: Asker throws more volume but Smoliakov connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Smoliakov's chin rating of 44 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Asker has a chin rating of 34 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Smoliakov
Asker
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'2"+
Height
6'0"
74"
Reach
74"
43
Age
+40
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
Smoliakov
Asker
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
1.2
18.8
0.0
Performance Avg
48.9
0
Quality of Victory
55
0
Momentum Score
59
Smoliakov
Asker
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.6
2.5
42%
Strike Accuracy
34%
0.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.8
0 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
2
Head
19
3
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
5Distance2
0Clinch0
0Ground17
Smoliakov
Asker
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
0.0
/ 10
4.0
/ 10
0.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.8
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
5.0
0
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Smoliakov
Asker
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
44
34
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
KO risk
2
KO/TKO Losses
3
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
3/12 fights
Chin rating based on
5/13 fights
Smoliakov
Asker
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
0
59
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R2
Last 5
L · KO · R1
W · Sub · R2
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
Smoliakov
Asker
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
100%
0
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
1
0
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Smoliakov
Asker
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.8
0.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.0
0.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.8
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
5.0
0.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.2
0.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.8
SmoliakovAsker
Strike Zones
Smoliakov
Attacking
5 landedAbsorbing
19 absorbedAsker
Attacking
19 landedAbsorbing
5 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Smoliakov targets the body (60% of attacks) — Asker absorbs 60% of strikes there
🎯Asker targets the head (100% of attacks) — Smoliakov absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Smoliakov
RND
Asker
0/0R00/0
Smoliakov · QOF Timeline
Avg: 1.9WinLossTrend
Asker · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.2WinLossTrend
Smoliakov · Last 3
L · KO · R1
Greg HardyRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Jacare vs. Hermansson · 2019-04
L · KO · R1
Cyril AskerRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Penn · 2017-01
L · Sub · R2
Luis HenriqueRating 2.8Submission
UFC on FOX: Holm vs. Shevchenko · 2016-07
Asker · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Tai TuivasaRating 1.9KO/TKO
UFC 221: Romero vs. Rockhold · 2018-02
W · Sub · R2
Hu YaozongRating 5.2Submission
UFC Fight Night: Bisping vs. Gastelum · 2017-11
L · KO · R1
Walt HarrisRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Correia · 2017-06
W · KO · R1
Dmitrii SmoliakovRating 5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Penn · 2017-01
L · KO · R1
Jared CannonierRating 2.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Rothwell vs Dos Santos · 2016-04