UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Stephens
Mexico City, Mexico
21 Sept 2019
Women's Bantamweight
VS
83%
Aldana
17%
Melo
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Irene
Irene Aldana
15 – 8
5'9"68" reachOrthodox38 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 51
VM
Vanessa Melo
11 – 8
Well-Rounded38 yrsOrthodox65" reach5'5"
CFR 10

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Aldana

Aldana is a strong favourite at 83% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 40 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Aldana has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 14 points.

Aldana has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Aldana
Melo
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"+
Height
5'5"
68"+
Reach
65"
38
Age
38
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Aldana
Melo
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
50.5
10.3
46.5
Performance Avg
25.0
39
Quality of Victory
25
81
Momentum Score
28
Aldana
Melo
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.1
1.4
45%
Strike Accuracy
36%
4.9
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.5
3 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
30
Head
16
7
Body
4
7
Leg
5
RangeRange
43Distance25
1Clinch0
0Ground0
Aldana
Melo
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
2.2
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.4
1.5
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Aldana
Melo
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
88
94
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
14/23 fights
Chin rating based on
4/19 fights
Aldana
Melo
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
81
28
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
W · KO · R3
W · KO · R1
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Aldana
Melo
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
0%
3
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
0
4
Decision Wins
1

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Aldana
Melo
Striking4.9 / 0.5Volume5.1 / 8.5Grappling2.2 / 2.4Wrestling1.5 / 1.7Submission1.3 / 0.0Pressure5.2 / 0.8
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.5
2.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
1.5
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
1.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.8
5.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.5
Aldana
Strike Zones
Melo
Aldana
Attacking
30HEAD7BODY7LEGS44 landed
Absorbing
16HEAD4BODY5LEGS25 absorbed
Melo
Attacking
16HEAD4BODY5LEGS25 landed
Absorbing
30HEAD7BODY7LEGS44 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Aldana targets the head (68% of attacks) — Melo absorbs 68% of strikes there
🎯Melo targets the head (64% of attacks) — Aldana absorbs 64% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Aldana
RND
Melo
0/0R00/0

Aldana · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.5
0105.5L5.8L4.5W4.5W5.5W6.1L4.5W5.4W5.6L5.1W6.8W6.7L5.2W6.0L2016-122019-052020-102023-122024-09
WinLossTrend

Melo · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.8
0106.3L6.2L6.2L4.5W2019-092019-112020-072021-01
WinLossTrend

Aldana · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Norma DumontRating 6
Decision
UFC 306: Riyadh Season Noche UFC · 2024-09
W · Dec · R3
Karol RosaRating 5.2
Decision
UFC 296: Edwards vs. Covington · 2023-12
L · Dec · R5
Amanda NunesRating 6.7
Decision
UFC 289: Nunes vs. Aldana · 2023-06
W · KO · R3
Macy ChiassonRating 6.8
KO/TKO
UFC 279: Diaz vs. Ferguson · 2022-09
W · KO · R1
Yana SantosRating 5.1
KO/TKO
UFC 264: Poirier vs. McGregor 3 · 2021-07

Melo · Last 4

W · Dec · R3
Sarah MorasRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Kattar · 2021-01
L · Dec · R3
Karol RosaRating 6.2
Decision
UFC 251: Usman vs. Masvidal · 2020-07
L · Dec · R3
Tracy CortezRating 6.2
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs. Jacare · 2019-11
L · Dec · R3
Irene AldanaRating 6.3
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Stephens · 2019-09

News & Media

Irene Aldana · Vanessa Melo
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