UFC Fight Night: Dos Santos vs. Ivanov
Boise, USA
14 Jul 2018
Flyweight
VS
84%
Rosa
16%
Garcia
Win Probability
Submission
Round 2 · 2:00
MD
Mark De La Rosa
"Bumblebee"
11 – 5
5'6"65" reachOrthodox31 yrs4-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 13
EG
Elias Garcia
6 – 2
Well-Rounded2-fight slide33 yrsSouthpaw67" reach5'5"
CFR 2

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Rosa

Rosa is a strong favourite at 84% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 11 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Rosa has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 37 points.

Rosa has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Rosa's chin rating of 60 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Rosa
Garcia
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"+
Height
5'5"
65"
Reach
+67"
31+
Age
33
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Rosa
Garcia
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
13.0
2.4
33.8
Performance Avg
0.0
37
Quality of Victory
0
33
Momentum Score
0
Rosa
Garcia
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.0
0.5
31%
Strike Accuracy
24%
0.6
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
7
Head
4
0
Body
1
1
Leg
1
RangeRange
5Distance5
3Clinch1
0Ground0
Rosa
Garcia
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.7
5.2
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.0
3.6
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Rosa
Garcia
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
60
86
Moderate
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
1
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
7/16 fights
Chin rating based on
2/8 fights
Rosa
Garcia
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
33
0
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
Rosa
Garcia
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
0%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Rosa
Garcia
Striking0.6 / 0.0Volume4.6 / 0.0Grappling5.2 / 0.0Wrestling3.6 / 0.0Submission5.0 / 0.0Pressure4.4 / 0.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
5.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
3.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
5.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.4
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
4.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
Rosa
Strike Zones
Garcia
Rosa
Attacking
7HEAD0BODY1LEGS8 landed
Absorbing
4HEAD1BODY1LEGS6 absorbed
Garcia
Attacking
4HEAD1BODY1LEGS6 landed
Absorbing
7HEAD0BODY1LEGS8 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Rosa targets the head (88% of attacks) — Garcia absorbs 88% of strikes there
🎯Garcia targets the head (67% of attacks) — Rosa absorbs 67% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Rosa
RND
Garcia
0/0R00/0

Rosa · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.9
0102.8L5.2W4.5W6.8L6.4L2.8L5.5L2017-122018-112019-082020-06
WinLossTrend

Garcia · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.6
0102.8L6.4L2018-072018-12
WinLossTrend

Rosa · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Jordan EspinosaRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Eye vs. Calvillo · 2020-06
L · KO · R2
Raulian PaivaRating 2.8
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Anderson vs. Blachowicz · 2020-02
L · Dec · R3
Kai Kara-FranceRating 6.4
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Andrade vs. Zhang · 2019-08
L · Dec · R3
Alex PerezRating 6.8
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Gaethje · 2019-03
W · Dec · R3
Joby SanchezRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Korean Zombie vs. Rodriguez · 2018-11

Garcia · Last 2

L · Dec · R3
Kai Kara-FranceRating 6.4
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dos Santos vs. Tuivasa · 2018-12
L · Sub · R2
Mark De La RosaRating 2.8
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Dos Santos vs. Ivanov · 2018-07

News & Media

Mark De La Rosa · Elias Garcia
← Back to fights