METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Dos Santos vs. Ivanov
Boise, USA
14 Jul 2018
Flyweight
VS
84%
Rosa
16%
Garcia
Win Probability
Submission
Round 2 · 2:00
★ Official Result
Mark De La RosawinsSubmissionR2 · 2:00
def. Elias Garcia · UFC Fight Night: Dos Santos vs. Ivanov
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Rosa
→
Actual result
Rosa wins
Submission · R2
Pre-fight analysis
Rosa is a strong favourite at 84% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 11 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Rosa has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 37 points.
Risk flags
Rosa's chin rating of 60 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
RosaGarcia
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Rosa
Garcia
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"+
Height
5'5"
65"
Reach
+67"
32+
Age
33
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Rosa
Garcia
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
13.0
2.4
33.8
Performance Avg
0.0
37
Quality of Victory
0
33
Momentum Score
0
Rosa
Garcia
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.6
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
4.4
Style: Pressure
0.0
4.6
Style: Volume
0.0
0 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
7
Head
4
0
Body
1
1
Leg
1
RangeRange
5Distance5
3Clinch1
0Ground0
Rosa
Garcia
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
5.2
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
3.6
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
5.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
1
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Rosa
Garcia
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
60
86
Moderate
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
1
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
7/16 fights
Chin rating based on
2/8 fights
Rosa
Garcia
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
33
0
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
Rosa
Garcia
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
0%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Rosa
Garcia
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
5.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
3.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
5.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.4
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
4.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
RosaGarcia
Strike Zones
Rosa
Attacking
8 landedAbsorbing
6 absorbedGarcia
Attacking
6 landedAbsorbing
8 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Rosa targets the head (88% of attacks) — Garcia absorbs 88% of strikes there
🎯Garcia targets the head (67% of attacks) — Rosa absorbs 67% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Rosa
RND
Garcia
0/0R00/0
Rosa · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Jordan EspinosaDecision
UFC Fight Night: Eye vs. Calvillo · 2020-06
L · KO · R2
Raulian PaivaKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Anderson vs. Blachowicz · 2020-02
L · Dec · R3
Kai Kara-FranceDecision
UFC Fight Night: Andrade vs. Zhang · 2019-08
L · Dec · R3
Alex PerezDecision
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Gaethje · 2019-03
W · Dec · R3
Joby SanchezDecision
UFC Fight Night: Korean Zombie vs. Rodriguez · 2018-11
Garcia · Last 2
L · Dec · R3
Kai Kara-FranceDecision
UFC Fight Night: Dos Santos vs. Tuivasa · 2018-12
L · Sub · R2
Mark De La RosaSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Dos Santos vs. Ivanov · 2018-07