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UFC 271: Adesanya vs. Whittaker 2
Houston, USA
12 Feb 2022
Middleweight
VS
31%
Dobson
69%
Malkoun
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
AJ
AJ Dobson
73
6'1"76" reachOrthodox34 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 24
Jacob
Jacob Malkoun
"Mamba"
103
Well-Rounded3-fight win streak30 yrsOrthodox73" reach5'9"
CFR 54
★ Official Result
Jacob MalkounwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. AJ Dobson · UFC 271: Adesanya vs. Whittaker 2

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Malkoun
Actual result
Malkoun wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis

Malkoun holds a meaningful edge at 69% per the CFR ratings — but Dobson has real paths to victory.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 30 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Malkoun has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
DobsonMalkoun
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
Strike Accuracy
Dobson
Malkoun
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"+
Height
5'9"
76"+
Reach
73"
34
Age
+30
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Dobson
Malkoun
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
24.0
54.2
25.0
Performance Avg
44.7
25
Quality of Victory
30
22
Momentum Score
98
Dobson
Malkoun
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.1
1.3
37%
Strike Accuracy
61%
0.5
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.0
0 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
6
Head
25
1
Body
5
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
4Distance5
0Clinch0
3Ground26
Dobson
Malkoun
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.3
Sub Attempts / fight
2.4
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.0
1.7
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.4
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Dobson
Malkoun
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
74
74
Moderate
Verdict
Moderate
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
8 fights ago
Strikes absorbed / min
4/10 fights
Chin rating based on
9/13 fights
Dobson
Malkoun
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
22
98
Current form
3-fight 🔥 win streak
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
L · R1
W · Dec · R3
Dobson
Malkoun
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
17%
0
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
5

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Dobson
Malkoun
Striking0.5 / 3.0Volume8.5 / 8.0Grappling2.4 / 2.0Wrestling1.7 / 1.4Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure0.8 / 3.2
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.0
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.0
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.4
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
0.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.2
8.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.0
Dobson
Strike Zones
Malkoun
Dobson
Attacking
6HEAD1BODY0LEGS7 landed
Absorbing
25HEAD5BODY1LEGS31 absorbed
Malkoun
Attacking
25HEAD5BODY1LEGS31 landed
Absorbing
6HEAD1BODY0LEGS7 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Dobson targets the head (86% of attacks) — Malkoun absorbs 86% of strikes there
🎯Malkoun targets the head (81% of attacks) — Dobson absorbs 81% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Dobson
RND
Malkoun
0/0R00/0

Dobson · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.8
0106.5L5.5L4.5W2.9L2022-022022-102023-082024-03
WinLossTrend

Malkoun · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.9
0101.5L6.0W4.5W6.8L4.5W4.5L5.7W4.8W5.6W2020-102022-062024-032026-05
WinLossTrend

Dobson · Last 4

L · KO · R1
Edmen ShahbazyanRating 2.9
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Ribas vs. Namajunas · 2024-03
W · Dec · R3
Tafon NchukwiRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Dos Anjos · 2023-08
L · Dec · R3
Armen PetrosyanRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 280: Oliveira vs. Makhachev · 2022-10
L · Dec · R3
Jacob MalkounRating 6.5
Decision
UFC 271: Adesanya vs. Whittaker 2 · 2022-02

Malkoun · Last 5

W · Dec · R3
Gerald MeerschaertRating 5.6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Della Maddalena vs. Prates · 2026-05
W · Dec · R3
Torrez FinneyRating 4.8
Decision
UFC 325: Volkanovski vs. Lopes 2 · 2026-01
W · KO · R2
Andre PetroskiRating 5.7
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Fiorot · 2024-03
L · R1
Cody BrundageRating 4.5
UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Gamrot · 2023-09
W · Dec · R3
Nick MaximovRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Araujo · 2022-10

News & Media

AJ Dobson · Jacob Malkoun
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