UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Craig
Las Vegas, USA
18 Nov 2023
Bantamweight
VS
48%
Anheliger
52%
Johnson
Win Probability
Submission
Round 3 · 4:49
Chad
Chad Anheliger
"The Monster"
13 – 8
5'6"64" reachOrthodox39 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 43
Jose
Jose Johnson
"Zhakwarius"
16 – 10
Submission Hunter2-fight slide31 yrsOrthodox71" reach6'0"
CFR 46

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Johnson

This is a genuine toss-up — Anheliger at 48% vs Johnson at 52% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Striking split: Anheliger throws more volume but Johnson connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Anheliger
Johnson
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"
Height
+6'0"
64"
Reach
+71"
39
Age
+31
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Anheliger
Johnson
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
42.9
46.4
38.5
Performance Avg
37.0
38
Quality of Victory
45
63
Momentum Score
43
Anheliger
Johnson
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.5
1.3
46%
Strike Accuracy
68%
5.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.5
1 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
8
Head
25
1
Body
1
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
7Distance10
0Clinch0
2Ground17
Anheliger
Johnson
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.5
1.2
Grappling Style Score (/10)
8.0
0.8
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
5.6
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Anheliger
Johnson
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
84
74
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
2
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
5/21 fights
Chin rating based on
4/26 fights
Anheliger
Johnson
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
63
43
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R3
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R3
L · Sub · R1
Anheliger
Johnson
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
100%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
1
1
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Anheliger
Johnson
Striking5.8 / 0.5Volume4.8 / 0.5Grappling1.2 / 8.0Wrestling0.8 / 5.6Submission0.0 / 10.0Pressure4.7 / 7.8
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.5
1.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
8.0
0.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
5.6
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
10.0
4.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.8
4.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.5
Anheliger
Strike Zones
Johnson
Anheliger
Attacking
8HEAD1BODY0LEGS9 landed
Absorbing
25HEAD1BODY1LEGS27 absorbed
Johnson
Attacking
25HEAD1BODY1LEGS27 landed
Absorbing
8HEAD1BODY0LEGS9 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Anheliger targets the head (89% of attacks) — Johnson absorbs 89% of strikes there
🎯Johnson targets the head (93% of attacks) — Anheliger absorbs 93% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Anheliger
RND
Johnson
0/0R00/0

Anheliger · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.3
0105.5W6.1L4.6L4.5W5.7L2022-022022-092023-112024-032024-11
WinLossTrend

Johnson · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.3
0102.5L5.9W6.6L2.1L2023-082023-112024-062025-01
WinLossTrend

Anheliger · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Cody GibsonRating 5.7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Albazi · 2024-11
W · Dec · R3
Charalampos GrigoriouRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Tuivasa vs. Tybura · 2024-03
L · Sub · R3
Jose JohnsonRating 4.6
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Craig · 2023-11
L · Dec · R3
AlatengheiliRating 6.1
Decision
UFC 279: Diaz vs. Ferguson · 2022-09
W · KO · R3
Jesse StraderRating 5.5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Hill · 2022-02

Johnson · Last 4

L · Sub · R1
Felipe BunesRating 2.1
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Ribas 2 · 2025-01
L · Dec · R3
Asu AlmabayevRating 6.6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Perez vs. Taira · 2024-06
W · Sub · R3
Chad AnheligerRating 5.9
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Craig · 2023-11
L · Sub · R1
Da'Mon BlackshearRating 2.5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Dos Anjos · 2023-08

News & Media

Chad Anheliger · Jose Johnson
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