UFC 95: Sanchez vs Stevenson
London, United Kingdom
21 Feb 2009
Middleweight
VS
44%
Marquardt
56%
Gouveia
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 3 · 3:10
NM
Nate Marquardt
"The Great"
35 – 19
6'0"74" reachOrthodox47 yrs3-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 17
WG
Wilson Gouveia
14 – 8
Pressure Fighter2-fight slide47 yrsOrthodox76" reach6'1"
CFR 21

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Gouveia

This is a genuine toss-up — Marquardt at 44% vs Gouveia at 56% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Striking split: Gouveia throws more volume but Marquardt connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Marquardt's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Gouveia has a chin rating of 32 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Marquardt
Gouveia
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"
Height
+6'1"
74"
Reach
+76"
47
Age
47
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Marquardt
Gouveia
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
16.8
21.0
48.6
Performance Avg
56.2
46
Quality of Victory
54
59
Momentum Score
72
Marquardt
Gouveia
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.1
1.8
52%
Strike Accuracy
42%
5.7
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.5
6 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
7
Head
5
2
Body
0
5
Leg
0
RangeRange
9Distance5
5Clinch0
0Ground0
Marquardt
Gouveia
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
2.6
Grappling Style Score (/10)
5.3
1.8
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
3.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Marquardt
Gouveia
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
32
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
5
KO/TKO Losses
3
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.2 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
4 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
25/54 fights
Chin rating based on
10/22 fights
Marquardt
Gouveia
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
59
72
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R3
W · KO · R1
W · Sub · R2
L · KO · R2
Marquardt
Gouveia
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
69%
100%
6
KO / TKO Wins
2
3
Submission Wins
4
4
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Marquardt
Gouveia
Striking5.7 / 4.5Volume3.5 / 1.2Grappling2.6 / 5.3Wrestling1.8 / 3.7Submission2.3 / 6.7Pressure6.4 / 8.8
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.5
2.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
5.3
1.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.7
2.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
6.7
6.4
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.8
3.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
1.2
Marquardt
Strike Zones
Gouveia
Marquardt
Attacking
7HEAD2BODY5LEGS14 landed
Absorbing
5HEAD0BODY0LEGS5 absorbed
Gouveia
Attacking
5HEAD0BODY0LEGS5 landed
Absorbing
7HEAD2BODY5LEGS14 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Marquardt targets the head (50% of attacks) — Gouveia absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Gouveia targets the head (100% of attacks) — Marquardt absorbs 100% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Marquardt
RND
Gouveia
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Marquardt · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.5
0104.5W4.5W5.2W4.5W1.5L5.2W5.5L5.0W5.5W5.0W5.5L5.0W5.5L4.5W1.5L1.5L5.0W5.5L3.1L5.2W1.5L5.2W5.5L5.5L5.5L2005-082008-092013-032016-102017-11
WinLossTrend

Gouveia · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.4
0105.5L5.0W5.2W5.0W5.2W2.8L5.2W5.0W4.0L1.5L2006-062007-052008-092009-12
WinLossTrend

Marquardt · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Cezar FerreiraRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Pettis · 2017-11
L · Dec · R3
Vitor BelfortRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 212: Aldo vs. Holloway · 2017-06
L · Dec · R3
Sam AlveyRating 5.5
Decision
UFC on FOX: Shevchenko vs. Pena · 2017-01
W · KO · R2
Tamdan McCroryRating 5.2
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lineker vs. Dodson · 2016-10
L · KO · R1
Thiago SantosRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC 198: Werdum vs Miocic · 2016-05

Gouveia · Last 5

L · KO · R1
Alan BelcherRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC 107: Penn vs Sanchez · 2009-12
L · KO · R3
Nate MarquardtRating 4
KO/TKO
UFC 95: Sanchez vs Stevenson · 2009-02
W · KO · R1
Jason MacDonaldRating 5
KO/TKO
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Nogueira vs. Team Mir Finale · 2008-12
W · Sub · R2
Ryan JensenRating 5.2
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Diaz vs Neer · 2008-09
L · KO · R2
Goran ReljicRating 2.8
KO/TKO
UFC 84: Ill Will · 2008-05

News & Media

Nate Marquardt · Wilson Gouveia
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