Nate Marquardt vs Wilson Gouveia — UFC Fight Analysis & Result

METRICS GUIDE

Every stat on this page, explained

All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC 95: Sanchez vs Stevenson

London, United Kingdom

21 Feb 2009

Middleweight

44%

Marquardt

56%

Gouveia

Win Probability

KO/TKO

Round 3 · 3:10

Nate Marquardt

"The Great"

35 – 19

6'0"74" reachOrthodox47 yrs3-fight slideWell-Rounded

CFR 17

Wilson Gouveia

14 – 8

Pressure Fighter2-fight slide47 yrsOrthodox76" reach6'1"

CFR 21

★ Official Result

Nate MarquardtwinsKO/TKOR3 · 3:10

def. Wilson Gouveia · UFC 95: Sanchez vs Stevenson

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result

We predicted

Gouveia

→

Actual result

Marquardt wins

KO/TKO · R3

Pre-fight analysis

This is a genuine toss-up — Marquardt at 44% vs Gouveia at 56% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Risk flags

Marquardt's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Gouveia has a chin rating of 32 — a potential KO vulnerability.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout

MarquardtGouveia

Sig. Strikes

0.0

Strikes / min (SLpM)

0.0

—

Strike Accuracy

—

Marquardt

Gouveia

Physical Matchup

Height · Reach · Age · Stance

6'0"

Height

+6'1"

74"

Reach

+76"

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

Marquardt

Gouveia

Composite Fighter Rating

Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability

16.8

21.0

48.6

Performance Avg

56.2

Quality of Victory

Momentum Score

Marquardt

Gouveia

Striking

Career averages · see This Fight stats above

5.7

/ 10

4.5

/ 10

6.4

Style: Pressure

8.8

3.5

Style: Volume

1.2

6 KO wins

Finish Rate (strikes)

2 KO wins

Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped

Strike targetStrike target

Head

Body

Leg

RangeRange

9Distance5

5Clinch0

0Ground0

Marquardt

Gouveia

Grappling

Career averages · see This Fight stats above

2.6

/ 10

5.3

/ 10

1.8

Wrestling Style (/10)

3.7

2.3

Submission Style (/10)

6.7

Submission wins

Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped

Marquardt

Gouveia

Durability / Chin

Resilience against knockouts and stoppages

2 consec. KOs

Verdict

2 consec. KOs

KO/TKO Losses

Sub Losses

Avg R1.2 stoppage

KO round context

Avg R2.0 stoppage

4 fights ago

Last KO loss

Most recent fight

—

Strikes absorbed / min

—

25/54 fights

Chin rating based on

10/22 fights

Marquardt

Gouveia

Form & Momentum

Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%

3-fight 📉 slide

Current form

2-fight 📉 slide

L · Dec · R3

W · KO · R2

L · KO · R1

Last 5

L · KO · R1

L · KO · R3

W · KO · R1

W · Sub · R2

L · KO · R2

Marquardt

Gouveia

Finish Rate

Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission

69%

100%

KO / TKO Wins

Submission Wins

Decision Wins

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Marquardt

Gouveia

Fighter 1

Fighter 2

5.7

Striking

KO power & stand-up volume

4.5

2.6

Grappling

Ground control & clinch

5.3

1.8

Wrestling

Takedown threat & defence

3.7

2.3

Submission

Submission attack frequency

6.7

6.4

Pressure

Clinch/ground work rate

8.8

3.5

Volume

Decision-pace fighting

1.2

Marquardt

Strike Zones

Gouveia

Marquardt

Attacking

14 landed

Absorbing

5 absorbed

Gouveia

Attacking

5 landed

Absorbing

14 absorbed

Targeting Overlap

🎯Marquardt targets the head (50% of attacks) — Gouveia absorbs 50% of strikes there

🎯Gouveia targets the head (100% of attacks) — Marquardt absorbs 100% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Marquardt

RND

Gouveia

0/0R00/0

0/0R10/0

Marquardt · Last 5

L · Dec · R3

Cezar Ferreira

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Pettis · 2017-11

L · Dec · R3

Vitor Belfort

Decision

UFC 212: Aldo vs. Holloway · 2017-06

L · Dec · R3

Sam Alvey

Decision

UFC on FOX: Shevchenko vs. Pena · 2017-01

W · KO · R2

Tamdan McCrory

KO/TKO

UFC Fight Night: Lineker vs. Dodson · 2016-10

L · KO · R1

Thiago Santos

KO/TKO

UFC 198: Werdum vs Miocic · 2016-05

Gouveia · Last 5

L · KO · R1

Alan Belcher

KO/TKO

UFC 107: Penn vs Sanchez · 2009-12

L · KO · R3

Nate Marquardt

KO/TKO

UFC 95: Sanchez vs Stevenson · 2009-02

W · KO · R1

Jason MacDonald

KO/TKO

The Ultimate Fighter: Team Nogueira vs. Team Mir Finale · 2008-12

W · Sub · R2

Ryan Jensen

Submission

UFC Fight Night: Diaz vs Neer · 2008-09

L · KO · R2

Goran Reljic

KO/TKO

UFC 84: Ill Will · 2008-05

News & Media

Nate Marquardt · Wilson Gouveia

← Back to fights