UFC 79: Nemesis
Las Vegas, USA
29 Dec 2007
Lightweight
VS
89%
Bocek
11%
Evans
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
MB
Mark Bocek
12 – 5
5'8"75" reachOrthodox44 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 17
DE
Doug Evans
13 – 10
Well-Rounded2-fight slide45 yrsOrthodox5'9"
CFR 2

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Bocek

Bocek is a strong favourite at 89% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 15 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Bocek has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 38 points.

Bocek has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Bocek's chin rating of 60 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Bocek
Evans
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"
Height
+5'9"
75"
Reach
44+
Age
45
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Bocek
Evans
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
16.8
2.1
47.6
Performance Avg
0.0
38
Quality of Victory
0
48
Momentum Score
0
Bocek
Evans
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.0
0.3
41%
Strike Accuracy
21%
1.2
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
5
Head
3
3
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
2Distance2
3Clinch1
3Ground0
Bocek
Evans
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
0.7
5.2
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.0
3.6
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Bocek
Evans
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
60
76
Moderate
Verdict
Moderate
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
12 fights ago
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
13/17 fights
Chin rating based on
2/23 fights
Bocek
Evans
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
48
0
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
Bocek
Evans
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
0%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
4
Submission Wins
0
4
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Bocek
Evans
Striking1.2 / 0.0Volume5.2 / 0.0Grappling5.2 / 0.0Wrestling3.6 / 0.0Submission5.0 / 0.0Pressure5.3 / 0.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
5.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
3.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
5.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
5.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
Bocek
Strike Zones
Evans
Bocek
Attacking
5HEAD3BODY0LEGS8 landed
Absorbing
3HEAD0BODY0LEGS3 absorbed
Evans
Attacking
3HEAD0BODY0LEGS3 landed
Absorbing
5HEAD3BODY0LEGS8 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Bocek targets the head (63% of attacks) — Evans absorbs 63% of strikes there
🎯Evans targets the head (100% of attacks) — Bocek absorbs 100% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Bocek
RND
Evans
0/0R00/0

Bocek · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.7
0101.5L4.5W4.0L5.5W5.0W5.0W5.9L5.0W5.5L4.5W4.5W5.7L4.5W2007-072009-042011-042014-04
WinLossTrend

Evans · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.2
0102.8L5.5L2007-062007-12
WinLossTrend

Bocek · Last 5

W · Dec · R3
Mike de la TorreRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Bisping vs Kennedy · 2014-04
L · Dec · R3
Rafael Dos AnjosRating 5.7
Decision
UFC 154: St-Pierre vs Condit · 2012-11
W · Dec · R3
John AlessioRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 145: Jones vs Evans · 2012-04
W · Dec · R3
Nik LentzRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 140: Jones vs Machida · 2011-12
L · Dec · R3
Benson HendersonRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 129: St-Pierre vs Shields · 2011-04

Evans · Last 2

L · Dec · R3
Mark BocekRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 79: Nemesis · 2007-12
L · KO · R2
Roger HuertaRating 2.8
KO/TKO
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Pulver vs. Team Penn Finale · 2007-06

News & Media

Mark Bocek · Doug Evans
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