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UFC Fight Night: Diaz vs Guillard
Oklahoma City, USA
16 Sept 2009
Light Heavyweight
VS
50%
Stann
50%
Cantwell
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
BS
Brian Stann
"All American"
126
6'1"74" reachOrthodox45 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 17
SC
Steve Cantwell
"The Robot"
76
Submission Hunter5-fight slide39 yrsOrthodox75" reach6'2"
CFR 17
★ Official Result
Brian StannwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Steve Cantwell · UFC Fight Night: Diaz vs Guillard

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Stann
Actual result
Stann wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis

This is a genuine toss-up — Stann at 50% vs Cantwell at 50% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Risk flags

Stann's chin rating of 50 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
StannCantwell
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
Strike Accuracy
Stann
Cantwell
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"
Height
+6'2"
74"
Reach
+75"
45
Age
+39
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Stann
Cantwell
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
16.5
16.7
48.8
Performance Avg
39.1
45
Quality of Victory
54
35
Momentum Score
33
Stann
Cantwell
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
6.1
/ 10
0.3
/ 10
6.3
Style: Pressure
7.5
3.8
Style: Volume
0.3
3 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
9
Head
9
3
Body
6
5
Leg
1
RangeRange
14Distance15
3Clinch1
0Ground0
Stann
Cantwell
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.1
/ 10
8.0
/ 10
1.5
Wrestling Style (/10)
5.6
1.7
Submission Style (/10)
10.0
1
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Stann
Cantwell
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
50
90
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
2
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Strikes absorbed / min
11/18 fights
Chin rating based on
6/13 fights
Stann
Cantwell
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
35
33
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
5-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
L · Sub · R2
W · KO · R2
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Stann
Cantwell
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
67%
100%
3
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
1
2
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Stann
Cantwell
Striking6.1 / 0.3Volume3.8 / 0.3Grappling2.1 / 8.0Wrestling1.5 / 5.6Submission1.7 / 10.0Pressure6.3 / 7.5
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.3
2.1
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
8.0
1.5
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
5.6
1.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
10.0
6.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.5
3.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.3
Stann
Strike Zones
Cantwell
Stann
Attacking
9HEAD3BODY5LEGS17 landed
Absorbing
9HEAD6BODY1LEGS16 absorbed
Cantwell
Attacking
9HEAD6BODY1LEGS16 landed
Absorbing
9HEAD3BODY5LEGS17 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Stann targets the head (53% of attacks) — Cantwell absorbs 53% of strikes there
🎯Cantwell targets the head (56% of attacks) — Stann absorbs 56% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Stann
RND
Cantwell
0/0R00/0

Stann · Last 5

L · KO · R2
Wanderlei Silva
KO/TKO
UFC on FUEL TV: Silva vs. Stann · 2013-03
L · Dec · R3
Michael Bisping
Decision
UFC 152: Jones vs Belfort · 2012-09
W · KO · R1
Alessio Sakara
KO/TKO
UFC on FUEL TV: Gustafsson vs Silva · 2012-04
L · Sub · R2
Chael Sonnen
Submission
UFC 136: Edgar vs Maynard 3 · 2011-10
W · KO · R2
Jorge Santiago
KO/TKO
UFC 130: Rampage vs Hamill · 2011-05

Cantwell · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Riki Fukuda
Decision
UFC 144: Edgar vs Henderson · 2012-02
L · Dec · R3
Mike Massenzio
Decision
UFC 136: Edgar vs Maynard 3 · 2011-10
L · Dec · R3
Cyrille Diabate
Decision
UFC Live: Sanchez vs Kampmann · 2011-03
L · Dec · R3
Brian Stann
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Diaz vs Guillard · 2009-09
L · Dec · R3
Luiz Cane
Decision
UFC 97: Redemption · 2009-04

News & Media

Brian Stann · Steve Cantwell
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