UFC Fight Night: Diaz vs Guillard
Oklahoma City, USA
16 Sept 2009
Light Heavyweight
VS
50%
Stann
50%
Cantwell
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Stann
This is a genuine toss-up — Stann at 50% vs Cantwell at 50% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Stann has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Stann's chin rating of 50 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Stann
Cantwell
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"
Height
+6'2"
74"
Reach
+75"
45
Age
+39
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Stann
Cantwell
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
16.5
16.7
48.8
Performance Avg
39.1
45
Quality of Victory
54
35
Momentum Score
33
Stann
Cantwell
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.5
1.2
43%
Strike Accuracy
32%
6.1
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.3
3 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
9
Head
9
3
Body
6
5
Leg
1
RangeRange
14Distance15
3Clinch1
0Ground0
Stann
Cantwell
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
2.1
/ 10
8.0
/ 10
1.5
Wrestling Style (/10)
5.6
1.7
Submission Style (/10)
10.0
1
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Stann
Cantwell
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
50
90
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
2
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
11/18 fights
Chin rating based on
6/13 fights
Stann
Cantwell
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
35
33
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
5-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
L · Sub · R2
W · KO · R2
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Stann
Cantwell
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
67%
100%
3
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
1
2
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Stann
Cantwell
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.3
2.1
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
8.0
1.5
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
5.6
1.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
10.0
6.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.5
3.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.3
StannCantwell
Strike Zones
Stann
Attacking
17 landedAbsorbing
16 absorbedCantwell
Attacking
16 landedAbsorbing
17 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Stann targets the head (53% of attacks) — Cantwell absorbs 53% of strikes there
🎯Cantwell targets the head (56% of attacks) — Stann absorbs 56% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Stann
RND
Cantwell
0/0R00/0
Stann · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.3WinLossTrend
Cantwell · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.4WinLossTrend
Stann · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Wanderlei SilvaRating 2.1KO/TKO
UFC on FUEL TV: Silva vs. Stann · 2013-03
L · Dec · R3
Michael BispingRating 5.5Decision
UFC 152: Jones vs Belfort · 2012-09
W · KO · R1
Alessio SakaraRating 5KO/TKO
UFC on FUEL TV: Gustafsson vs Silva · 2012-04
L · Sub · R2
Chael SonnenRating 2.8Submission
UFC 136: Edgar vs Maynard 3 · 2011-10
W · KO · R2
Jorge SantiagoRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC 130: Rampage vs Hamill · 2011-05
Cantwell · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Riki FukudaRating 5.5Decision
UFC 144: Edgar vs Henderson · 2012-02
L · Dec · R3
Mike MassenzioRating 5.5Decision
UFC 136: Edgar vs Maynard 3 · 2011-10
L · Dec · R3
Cyrille DiabateRating 5.5Decision
UFC Live: Sanchez vs Kampmann · 2011-03
L · Dec · R3
Brian StannRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Diaz vs Guillard · 2009-09
L · Dec · R3
Luiz CaneRating 5.5Decision
UFC 97: Redemption · 2009-04