METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC on FOX: Dillashaw vs. Barao II
Chicago, USA
25 Jul 2015
Middleweight
VS
73%
Cummings
27%
Steele
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 0:43
DS
Dominique Steele
"Non-Stop Action-Packed"
14 – 9
Knockout Artist3-fight slide38 yrsOrthodox74" reach5'10"
CFR 15
★ Official Result
Zak CummingswinsKO/TKOR1 · 0:43
def. Dominique Steele · UFC on FOX: Dillashaw vs. Barao II
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Cummings
→
Actual result
Cummings wins
KO/TKO · R1
Pre-fight analysis
Cummings is a strong favourite at 73% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 27 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Striking split: Cummings throws more volume but Steele connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
CummingsSteele
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Cummings
Steele
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"+
Height
5'10"
75"+
Reach
74"
41
Age
+38
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Cummings
Steele
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
42.5
15.4
53.3
Performance Avg
38.0
41
Quality of Victory
50
63
Momentum Score
26
Cummings
Steele
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.5
0.6
39%
Strike Accuracy
44%
3.4
Striking Style Score (/10)
10.0
2 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
14
Head
1
0
Body
1
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
2Distance2
12Clinch0
0Ground0
Cummings
Steele
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
4.2
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.0
2.9
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Cummings
Steele
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
82
72
Never stopped
Verdict
Moderate
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
0
—
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
4 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
14/32 fights
Chin rating based on
5/23 fights
Cummings
Steele
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
63
26
2-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
W · KO · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R3
L · KO · R1
Cummings
Steele
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
60%
100%
2
KO / TKO Wins
1
4
Submission Wins
0
4
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Cummings
Steele
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
10.0
4.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
2.9
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
4.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.6
4.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.4
CummingsSteele
Strike Zones
Cummings
Attacking
14 landedAbsorbing
2 absorbedSteele
Attacking
2 landedAbsorbing
14 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Cummings targets the head (100% of attacks) — Steele absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Steele targets the head (50% of attacks) — Cummings absorbs 50% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Cummings
RND
Steele
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Cummings · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.0WinLossTrend
Steele · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.8WinLossTrend
Cummings · Last 5
W · KO · R3
Ed HermanRating 5.7KO/TKO
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W · Sub · R3
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Steele · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Luke JumeauRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Hunt · 2017-06
L · Dec · R3
Court McGeeRating 5.7Decision
UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Caceres · 2016-08
L · Dec · R3
Danny RobertsRating 5.5Decision
UFC 197: Jones vs Saint Preux · 2016-04
W · KO · R3
Dong Hyun MaRating 5.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Henderson vs Masvidal · 2015-11
L · KO · R1
Zak CummingsRating 1.9KO/TKO
UFC on FOX: Dillashaw vs. Barao II · 2015-07