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All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC 145: Jones vs Evans
Atlanta, USA
21 Apr 2012
Lightweight
VS
88%
Bocek
12%
Alessio
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
MB
Mark Bocek
125
5'8"75" reachOrthodox44 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 17
JA
John Alessio
"The Natural"
3517
Well-Rounded5-fight slide47 yrsOrthodox72" reach5'10"
CFR 2
★ Official Result
Mark BocekwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. John Alessio · UFC 145: Jones vs Evans

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Bocek
Actual result
Bocek wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis

Bocek is a strong favourite at 88% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 15 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Bocek has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 38 points.

Risk flags

Bocek's chin rating of 60 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
BocekAlessio
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
Strike Accuracy
Bocek
Alessio
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"
Height
+5'10"
75"+
Reach
72"
44+
Age
47
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Bocek
Alessio
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
16.8
2.2
47.6
Performance Avg
0.0
38
Quality of Victory
0
48
Momentum Score
0
Bocek
Alessio
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.2
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
5.3
Style: Pressure
0.0
5.2
Style: Volume
0.0
0 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
8
Head
12
0
Body
2
6
Leg
4
RangeRange
8Distance15
2Clinch3
4Ground0
Bocek
Alessio
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
5.2
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
3.6
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
5.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
4
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Bocek
Alessio
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
60
80
Moderate
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
12 fights ago
Last KO loss
Strikes absorbed / min
13/17 fights
Chin rating based on
5/52 fights
Bocek
Alessio
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
48
0
Current form
5-fight 📉 slide
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
Bocek
Alessio
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
0%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
4
Submission Wins
0
4
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Bocek
Alessio
Striking1.2 / 0.0Volume5.2 / 0.0Grappling5.2 / 0.0Wrestling3.6 / 0.0Submission5.0 / 0.0Pressure5.3 / 0.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
5.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
3.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
5.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
5.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
Bocek
Strike Zones
Alessio
Bocek
Attacking
8HEAD0BODY6LEGS14 landed
Absorbing
12HEAD2BODY4LEGS18 absorbed
Alessio
Attacking
12HEAD2BODY4LEGS18 landed
Absorbing
8HEAD0BODY6LEGS14 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Bocek targets the head (57% of attacks) — Alessio absorbs 57% of strikes there
🎯Alessio targets the head (67% of attacks) — Bocek absorbs 67% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Bocek
RND
Alessio
0/0R00/0

Bocek · Last 5

W · Dec · R3
Mike de la Torre
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Bisping vs Kennedy · 2014-04
L · Dec · R3
Rafael Dos Anjos
Decision
UFC 154: St-Pierre vs Condit · 2012-11
W · Dec · R3
John Alessio
Decision
UFC 145: Jones vs Evans · 2012-04
W · Dec · R3
Nik Lentz
Decision
UFC 140: Jones vs Machida · 2011-12
L · Dec · R3
Benson Henderson
Decision
UFC 129: St-Pierre vs Shields · 2011-04

Alessio · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Shane Roller
Decision
UFC 148: Silva vs Sonnen 2 · 2012-07
L · Dec · R3
Mark Bocek
Decision
UFC 145: Jones vs Evans · 2012-04
L · Dec · R3
Thiago Alves
Decision
Ortiz vs Shamrock 3: The Final Chapter · 2006-10
L · Dec · R3
Diego Sanchez
Decision
UFC 60: Hughes vs Gracie · 2006-05
L · Sub · R2
Pat Miletich
Submission
UFC 26: Ultimate Field Of Dreams · 2000-06

News & Media

Mark Bocek · John Alessio
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