UFC on FOX: Johnson vs. Benavidez 2
Sacramento, USA
14 Dec 2013
Welterweight
VS
72%
McGee
28%
LaFlare
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: McGee
McGee is a strong favourite at 72% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 24 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
McGee has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 11 points.
Striking split: McGee throws more volume but LaFlare connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
McGee's chin rating of 14 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
LaFlare has a chin rating of 54 — a potential KO vulnerability.
McGee
LaFlare
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"
Height
+6'1"
75"+
Reach
74"
41+
Age
42
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
McGee
LaFlare
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
38.7
14.9
40.1
Performance Avg
43.0
36
Quality of Victory
25
50
Momentum Score
60
McGee
LaFlare
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.6
1.0
39%
Strike Accuracy
42%
0.9
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.4
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
9
Head
10
4
Body
6
2
Leg
1
RangeRange
11Distance14
0Clinch3
4Ground0
McGee
LaFlare
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
0.2
3.9
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.4
2.8
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
McGee
LaFlare
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
14
54
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
KO risk
3
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.5 stoppage
3 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
24/37 fights
Chin rating based on
10/17 fights
McGee
LaFlare
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
50
60
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
McGee
LaFlare
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
27%
0%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
3
Submission Wins
0
8
Decision Wins
7
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
McGee
LaFlare
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.4
3.9
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
2.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
2.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
3.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
2.1
6.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
9.4
McGeeLaFlare
Strike Zones
McGee
Attacking
15 landedAbsorbing
17 absorbedLaFlare
Attacking
17 landedAbsorbing
15 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯McGee targets the head (60% of attacks) — LaFlare absorbs 60% of strikes there
🎯LaFlare targets the head (59% of attacks) — McGee absorbs 59% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
McGee
RND
LaFlare
0/0R00/0
McGee · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.0WinLossTrend
LaFlare · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.5WinLossTrend
McGee · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Michael ChiesaRating 6.3Decision
UFC Fight Night: Usman vs. Buckley · 2025-06
W · Sub · R1
Tim MeansRating 5.1Submission
UFC 307: Pereira vs. Rountree Jr. · 2024-10
L · Dec · R3
Alex MoronoRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Curtis 2 · 2024-04
L · KO · R1
Matt BrownRating 1.9KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Almeida · 2023-05
L · KO · R1
Jeremiah WellsRating 2.9KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Emmett · 2022-06
LaFlare · Last 5
L · KO · R3
Anthony Rocco MartinRating 4KO/TKO
UFC 229: Khabib vs. McGregor · 2018-10
W · Dec · R3
Alex GarciaRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Lee · 2018-04
L · KO · R2
Alex OliveiraRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Weidman vs. Gastelum · 2017-07
W · Dec · R3
Roan CarneiroRating 4.5Decision
UFC 208: Holm vs. De Randamie · 2017-02
W · Dec · R3
Mike PierceRating 4.5Decision
The Ultimate Fighter: Team McGregor vs. Team Faber Finale · 2015-12
