UFC 200: Tate vs Nunes
Las Vegas, USA
9 Jul 2016
Bantamweight
VS
54%
Dillashaw
46%
Assuncao
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
TD
TJ Dillashaw
18 – 5
5'6"67" reachOrthodox40 yrsStriker
CFR 37
RA
Raphael Assuncao
28 – 10
Well-Rounded43 yrsOrthodox66" reach5'5"
CFR 31

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Dillashaw

This is a genuine toss-up — Dillashaw at 54% vs Assuncao at 46% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Dillashaw has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 24 points.

Dillashaw has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Dillashaw's chin rating of 30 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Assuncao has a chin rating of 6 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Dillashaw
Assuncao
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"+
Height
5'5"
67"+
Reach
66"
40+
Age
43
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Dillashaw
Assuncao
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
36.6
31.4
62.3
Performance Avg
44.2
56
Quality of Victory
32
100
Momentum Score
61
Dillashaw
Assuncao
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.6
1.2
45%
Strike Accuracy
43%
6.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
2.9
7 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
9
Head
13
7
Body
5
8
Leg
4
RangeRange
24Distance22
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Dillashaw
Assuncao
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
1.5
/ 10
2.5
/ 10
1.1
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.7
0.8
Submission Style (/10)
0.8
1
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Dillashaw
Assuncao
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
30
6
KO risk
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
3
KO/TKO Losses
3
0
Sub Losses
2
Avg R1.3 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.7 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
18/23 fights
Chin rating based on
19/38 fights
Dillashaw
Assuncao
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
61
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R5
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R2
Last 5
L · Sub · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
Dillashaw
Assuncao
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
62%
25%
7
KO / TKO Wins
2
1
Submission Wins
1
5
Decision Wins
9

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Dillashaw
Assuncao
Striking6.8 / 2.9Volume4.5 / 7.3Grappling1.5 / 2.5Wrestling1.1 / 1.7Submission0.8 / 0.8Pressure6.5 / 3.6
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.9
1.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.5
1.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
0.8
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.8
6.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.6
4.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
7.3
Dillashaw
Strike Zones
Assuncao
Dillashaw
Attacking
9HEAD7BODY8LEGS24 landed
Absorbing
13HEAD5BODY4LEGS22 absorbed
Assuncao
Attacking
13HEAD5BODY4LEGS22 landed
Absorbing
9HEAD7BODY8LEGS24 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Dillashaw targets the head (38% of attacks) — Assuncao absorbs 38% of strikes there
🎯Assuncao targets the head (59% of attacks) — Dillashaw absorbs 59% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Dillashaw
RND
Assuncao
0/0R00/0

Dillashaw · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.8
0101.5L4.5W5.0W5.2W5.0W5.5L4.5W5.5W5.5W5.4W5.5L4.5W4.5W6.2W6.1W3.0L6.0W3.1L2011-122013-102016-012019-012022-10
WinLossTrend

Assuncao · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.6
0101.5L4.5W5.2W4.5W5.2W4.6W5.0W4.5W5.6L5.5W4.5W5.5W5.7W1.5L7.0L3.8L3.4L5.4W4.8L2011-032013-102017-062020-062023-03
WinLossTrend

Dillashaw · Last 5

L · KO · R2
Aljamain SterlingRating 3.1
KO/TKO
UFC 280: Oliveira vs. Makhachev · 2022-10
W · Dec · R5
Cory SandhagenRating 6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Dillashaw · 2021-07
L · KO · R1
Henry CejudoRating 3
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Cejudo vs. Dillashaw · 2019-01
W · KO · R1
Cody GarbrandtRating 6.1
KO/TKO
UFC 227: Dillashaw vs. Garbrandt 2 · 2018-08
W · KO · R2
Cody GarbrandtRating 6.2
KO/TKO
UFC 217: Bisping vs. St-Pierre · 2017-11

Assuncao · Last 5

L · Sub · R3
Davey GrantRating 4.8
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Dvalishvili · 2023-03
W · Dec · R3
Victor HenryRating 5.4
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Araujo · 2022-10
L · KO · R2
Ricky SimonRating 3.4
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Daukaus · 2021-12
L · KO · R2
Cody GarbrandtRating 3.8
KO/TKO
UFC 250: Nunes vs. Spencer · 2020-06
L · Dec · R3
Cory SandhagenRating 7
Decision
UFC 241: Cormier vs. Miocic 2 · 2019-08

News & Media

TJ Dillashaw · Raphael Assuncao
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