METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 200: Tate vs Nunes
Las Vegas, USA
9 Jul 2016
Bantamweight
VS
54%
Dillashaw
46%
Assuncao
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
TJ DillashawwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Raphael Assuncao · UFC 200: Tate vs Nunes
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Dillashaw
→
Actual result
Dillashaw wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Dillashaw at 54% vs Assuncao at 46% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Dillashaw has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 24 points.
Risk flags
Dillashaw's chin rating of 30 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Assuncao has a chin rating of 6 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
DillashawAssuncao
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Dillashaw
Assuncao
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"+
Height
5'5"
67"+
Reach
66"
40+
Age
44
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Dillashaw
Assuncao
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
36.6
31.4
62.3
Performance Avg
44.2
56
Quality of Victory
32
100
Momentum Score
61
Dillashaw
Assuncao
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
6.8
/ 10
2.9
/ 10
6.5
Style: Pressure
3.6
4.5
Style: Volume
7.3
7 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
2 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
9
Head
13
7
Body
5
8
Leg
4
RangeRange
24Distance22
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Dillashaw
Assuncao
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.5
/ 10
2.5
/ 10
1.1
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.7
0.8
Submission Style (/10)
0.8
1
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Dillashaw
Assuncao
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
30
6
KO risk
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
3
KO/TKO Losses
3
0
Sub Losses
2
Avg R1.3 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.7 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
18/23 fights
Chin rating based on
19/38 fights
Dillashaw
Assuncao
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
61
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R5
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R2
Last 5
L · Sub · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
Dillashaw
Assuncao
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
62%
25%
7
KO / TKO Wins
2
1
Submission Wins
1
5
Decision Wins
9
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Dillashaw
Assuncao
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.9
1.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.5
1.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
0.8
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.8
6.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.6
4.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
7.3
DillashawAssuncao
Strike Zones
Dillashaw
Attacking
24 landedAbsorbing
22 absorbedAssuncao
Attacking
22 landedAbsorbing
24 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Dillashaw targets the head (38% of attacks) — Assuncao absorbs 38% of strikes there
🎯Assuncao targets the head (59% of attacks) — Dillashaw absorbs 59% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Dillashaw
RND
Assuncao
0/0R00/0
Dillashaw · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Aljamain SterlingKO/TKO
UFC 280: Oliveira vs. Makhachev · 2022-10
W · Dec · R5
Cory SandhagenDecision
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Dillashaw · 2021-07
L · KO · R1
Henry CejudoKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Cejudo vs. Dillashaw · 2019-01
W · KO · R1
Cody GarbrandtKO/TKO
UFC 227: Dillashaw vs. Garbrandt 2 · 2018-08
W · KO · R2
Cody GarbrandtKO/TKO
UFC 217: Bisping vs. St-Pierre · 2017-11
Assuncao · Last 5
L · Sub · R3
Davey GrantSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Dvalishvili · 2023-03
W · Dec · R3
Victor HenryDecision
UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Araujo · 2022-10
L · KO · R2
Ricky SimonKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Daukaus · 2021-12
L · KO · R2
Cody GarbrandtKO/TKO
UFC 250: Nunes vs. Spencer · 2020-06
L · Dec · R3
Cory SandhagenDecision
UFC 241: Cormier vs. Miocic 2 · 2019-08