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All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC 119: Mir vs Cro Cop
Indianapolis, USA
25 Sept 2010
Lightweight
VS
88%
Tavares
12%
Audinwood
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 3:47
TT
Thiago Tavares
217
5'7"70" reachOrthodox41 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 18
PA
Pat Audinwood
"Awesomely Awesome"
112
Well-Rounded2-fight slide40 yrsOrthodox6'0"
CFR 2
★ Official Result
Thiago TavareswinsSubmissionR1 · 3:47
def. Pat Audinwood · UFC 119: Mir vs Cro Cop

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Tavares
Actual result
Tavares wins
Submission · R1
Pre-fight analysis

Tavares is a strong favourite at 88% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 16 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Tavares has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 42 points.

Risk flags

Tavares's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
TavaresAudinwood
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
Strike Accuracy
Tavares
Audinwood
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"
Height
+6'0"
70"
Reach
41
Age
+40
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Tavares
Audinwood
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
18.0
2.4
48.8
Performance Avg
0.0
42
Quality of Victory
0
81
Momentum Score
0
Tavares
Audinwood
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.2
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
6.0
Style: Pressure
0.0
4.4
Style: Volume
0.0
1 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
5
Head
1
2
Body
2
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
1Distance3
0Clinch0
6Ground0
Tavares
Audinwood
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
5.0
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
3.5
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
5.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
5
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Tavares
Audinwood
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
86
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
5
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.8 stoppage
KO round context
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Strikes absorbed / min
18/28 fights
Chin rating based on
2/13 fights
Tavares
Audinwood
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
81
0
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
W · Sub · R1
L · KO · R3
W · Sub · R1
W · Sub · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
Tavares
Audinwood
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
60%
0%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
5
Submission Wins
0
4
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Tavares
Audinwood
Striking2.2 / 0.0Volume4.4 / 0.0Grappling5.0 / 0.0Wrestling3.5 / 0.0Submission5.0 / 0.0Pressure6.0 / 0.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
5.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
3.5
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
5.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
4.4
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
Tavares
Strike Zones
Audinwood
Tavares
Attacking
5HEAD2BODY0LEGS7 landed
Absorbing
1HEAD2BODY0LEGS3 absorbed
Audinwood
Attacking
1HEAD2BODY0LEGS3 landed
Absorbing
5HEAD2BODY0LEGS7 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Tavares targets the head (71% of attacks) — Audinwood absorbs 71% of strikes there
🎯Audinwood targets the body (67% of attacks) — Tavares absorbs 67% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Tavares
RND
Audinwood
0/0R00/0

Tavares · Last 5

L · KO · R1
Dooho Choi
KO/TKO
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Joanna vs. Team Cláudia Finale · 2016-07
W · Sub · R1
Clay Guida
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Belfort vs Henderson 3 · 2015-11
L · KO · R3
Brian Ortega
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Boetsch vs Henderson · 2015-06
W · Sub · R1
Robert Peralta
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Bader vs Saint Preux · 2014-08
W · Sub · R1
Justin Salas
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Belfort vs Henderson 2 · 2013-11

Audinwood · Last 2

L · Dec · R3
John Makdessi
Decision
UFC 124: St-Pierre vs Koscheck 2 · 2010-12
L · Sub · R1
Thiago Tavares
Submission
UFC 119: Mir vs Cro Cop · 2010-09

News & Media

Thiago Tavares · Pat Audinwood
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