UFC 119: Mir vs Cro Cop
Indianapolis, USA
25 Sept 2010
Lightweight
VS
88%
Tavares
12%
Audinwood
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 3:47
TT
Thiago Tavares
21 – 7
5'7"70" reachOrthodox41 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 18
PA
Pat Audinwood
"Awesomely Awesome"
11 – 2
Well-Rounded2-fight slide40 yrsOrthodox6'0"
CFR 2

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Tavares

Tavares is a strong favourite at 88% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 16 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Tavares has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 42 points.

Tavares has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Tavares's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Tavares
Audinwood
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"
Height
+6'0"
70"
Reach
41
Age
+40
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Tavares
Audinwood
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
18.0
2.4
48.8
Performance Avg
0.0
42
Quality of Victory
0
81
Momentum Score
0
Tavares
Audinwood
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.1
0.5
44%
Strike Accuracy
12%
2.2
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
1 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
5
Head
1
2
Body
2
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
1Distance3
0Clinch0
6Ground0
Tavares
Audinwood
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.4
Sub Attempts / fight
—
5.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.0
3.5
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Tavares
Audinwood
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
86
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
5
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.8 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
18/28 fights
Chin rating based on
2/13 fights
Tavares
Audinwood
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
81
0
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
W · Sub · R1
L · KO · R3
W · Sub · R1
W · Sub · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
Tavares
Audinwood
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
60%
0%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
5
Submission Wins
0
4
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Tavares
Audinwood
Striking2.2 / 0.0Volume4.4 / 0.0Grappling5.0 / 0.0Wrestling3.5 / 0.0Submission5.0 / 0.0Pressure6.0 / 0.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
5.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
3.5
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
5.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
4.4
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
Tavares
Strike Zones
Audinwood
Tavares
Attacking
5HEAD2BODY0LEGS7 landed
Absorbing
1HEAD2BODY0LEGS3 absorbed
Audinwood
Attacking
1HEAD2BODY0LEGS3 landed
Absorbing
5HEAD2BODY0LEGS7 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Tavares targets the head (71% of attacks) — Audinwood absorbs 71% of strikes there
🎯Audinwood targets the body (67% of attacks) — Tavares absorbs 67% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Tavares
RND
Audinwood
0/0R00/0

Tavares · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.5
0104.5W5.2W5.5L4.5W2.8L5.5L4.5W5.0W2.8L5.2W4.5W1.5L5.0W5.0W5.4L5.5W3.3L2007-042008-092012-012015-112016-07
WinLossTrend

Audinwood · QOF Timeline

Avg: 3.5
0101.5L5.5L2010-092010-12
WinLossTrend

Tavares · Last 5

L · KO · R1
Dooho ChoiRating 3.3
KO/TKO
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Joanna vs. Team Cláudia Finale · 2016-07
W · Sub · R1
Clay GuidaRating 5.5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Belfort vs Henderson 3 · 2015-11
L · KO · R3
Brian OrtegaRating 5.4
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Boetsch vs Henderson · 2015-06
W · Sub · R1
Robert PeraltaRating 5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Bader vs Saint Preux · 2014-08
W · Sub · R1
Justin SalasRating 5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Belfort vs Henderson 2 · 2013-11

Audinwood · Last 2

L · Dec · R3
John MakdessiRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 124: St-Pierre vs Koscheck 2 · 2010-12
L · Sub · R1
Thiago TavaresRating 1.5
Submission
UFC 119: Mir vs Cro Cop · 2010-09

News & Media

Thiago Tavares · Pat Audinwood
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