UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Topuria
Jacksonville, USA
24 Jun 2023
Women's Strawweight
VS
45%
Ricci
55%
Robertson
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Robertson
This is a genuine toss-up — Ricci at 45% vs Robertson at 55% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 11 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Striking split: Ricci throws more volume but Robertson connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Robertson has a chin rating of 58 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Ricci
Robertson
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'1"
Height
+5'5"
61"
Reach
+63"
31
Age
31
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Ricci
Robertson
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
48.5
59.1
48.1
Performance Avg
55.0
38
Quality of Victory
45
53
Momentum Score
74
Ricci
Robertson
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.5
1.2
38%
Strike Accuracy
52%
2.7
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.5
1 KOs
KO Finishes
3 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
26
Head
13
7
Body
11
7
Leg
4
RangeRange
37Distance27
3Clinch1
0Ground0
Ricci
Robertson
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
0.3
2.9
Grappling Style Score (/10)
4.7
2.0
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
3.3
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Ricci
Robertson
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
72
58
Moderate
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
10 fights ago
Last KO loss
14 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
11/16 fights
Chin rating based on
20/25 fights
Ricci
Robertson
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
53
74
Current form
5-fight 🔥 win streak
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
Ricci
Robertson
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
29%
71%
1
KO / TKO Wins
3
1
Submission Wins
7
5
Decision Wins
4
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Ricci
Robertson
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.5
2.9
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.7
2.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.3
1.4
Submission
Submission attack frequency
5.0
3.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.1
7.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.7
RicciRobertson
Strike Zones
Ricci
Attacking
40 landedAbsorbing
28 absorbedRobertson
Attacking
28 landedAbsorbing
40 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Ricci targets the head (65% of attacks) — Robertson absorbs 65% of strikes there
🎯Robertson targets the head (46% of attacks) — Ricci absorbs 46% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Ricci
RND
Robertson
0/0R00/0
Ricci · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.3WinLossTrend
Robertson · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.2WinLossTrend
Ricci · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Virna JandirobaRating 6.2Decision
UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Duncan · 2026-04
W · KO · R2
Amanda RibasRating 5.4KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. De Ridder · 2025-07
L · Dec · R3
Yan XiaonanRating 6.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Figueiredo · 2024-11
W · Dec · R3
Angela HillRating 4.6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Borralho · 2024-08
W · Dec · R3
Tecia PenningtonRating 5.2Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Nascimento · 2024-05
Robertson · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Amanda LemosRating 5.6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Vallejos · 2026-03
W · KO · R2
Marina RodriguezRating 5.9KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Figueiredo · 2025-05
W · Dec · R3
Luana PinheiroRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Magny vs. Prates · 2024-11
W · Dec · R3
Michelle Waterson-GomezRating 4.5Decision
UFC 303: Pereira vs. Prochazka 2 · 2024-06
W · KO · R2
Polyana VianaRating 5.5KO/TKO
UFC 297: Strickland vs. Du Plessis · 2024-01